- Lead
- 4,671
- Total
- 14,553
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- 68.7%
Juneau County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.7% of 21,333 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,003
- Total
- 13,709
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Turnout
- 65.3%
- Lead
- 3,057
- Total
- 11,735
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- 56.4%
- Lead
- 831
- Total
- 11,827
- vs nation
- D+3.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,038
- Total
- 11,530
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 739
- Total
- 12,379
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 97
- Total
- 10,218
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,105
- Total
- 9,182
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,6892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,2702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Forest County, WI · twin score 92.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.7%14,663 participants ÷ 21,333 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.5%–57.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,735 | 20,805 | 56.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,187 | 20,889 | 48.8% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,743 | 21,041 | 65.3% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,843 | 21,212 | 51.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,663 | 21,333 | 68.7% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
31 precincts · 14,553 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF MAUSTON WARDS 1-7CITY OF MAUSTON WARDS 1-7 | 791 | 1,037 | 27 | 1,855 | 42.6% | 55.9% | R+13.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF NECEDAH WARDS 1-6TOWN OF NECEDAH WARDS 1-6 | 362 | 1,099 | 16 | 1,477 | 24.5% | 74.4% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LEMONWEIR WARDS 1-4TOWN OF LEMONWEIR WARDS 1-4 | 338 | 649 | 7 | 994 | 34.0% | 65.3% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LYNDON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF LYNDON WARDS 1-3 | 326 | 531 | 10 | 867 | 37.6% | 61.2% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEW LISBON WARDS 1-7CITY OF NEW LISBON WARDS 1-7 | 215 | 504 | 11 | 730 | 29.5% | 69.0% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF ELROY WARDS 1-6CITY OF ELROY WARDS 1-6 | 267 | 381 | 10 | 658 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GERMANTOWN WARD 1TOWN OF GERMANTOWN WARD 1 | 227 | 394 | 4 | 625 | 36.3% | 63.0% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GERMANTOWN WARDS 2-3TOWN OF GERMANTOWN WARDS 2-3 | 175 | 410 | 7 | 592 | 29.6% | 69.3% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LISBON WARD 1TOWN OF LISBON WARD 1 | 203 | 359 | 5 | 567 | 35.8% | 63.3% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF NECEDAH WARD 1VILLAGE OF NECEDAH WARD 1 | 160 | 335 | 8 | 503 | 31.8% | 66.6% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ARMENIA WARD 1TOWN OF ARMENIA WARD 1 | 140 | 313 | 9 | 462 | 30.3% | 67.7% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LINDINA WARD 1TOWN OF LINDINA WARD 1 | 180 | 266 | 3 | 449 | 40.1% | 59.2% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KILDARE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF KILDARE WARDS 1-3 | 132 | 294 | 4 | 430 | 30.7% | 68.4% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SUMMIT WARD 1TOWN OF SUMMIT WARD 1 | 122 | 300 | 7 | 429 | 28.4% | 69.9% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PLYMOUTH WARD 1TOWN OF PLYMOUTH WARD 1 | 130 | 271 | 7 | 408 | 31.9% | 66.4% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WONEWOC WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WONEWOC WARDS 1-2 | 123 | 282 | 2 | 407 | 30.2% | 69.3% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLEARFIELD WARD 1TOWN OF CLEARFIELD WARD 1 | 106 | 261 | 3 | 370 | 28.6% | 70.5% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FOUNTAIN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF FOUNTAIN WARDS 1-2 | 125 | 239 | 5 | 369 | 33.9% | 64.8% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF WONEWOC WARD 1VILLAGE OF WONEWOC WARD 1 | 128 | 222 | 5 | 355 | 36.1% | 62.5% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CAMP DOUGLAS WARD 1VILLAGE OF CAMP DOUGLAS WARD 1 | 104 | 219 | 6 | 329 | 31.6% | 66.6% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ORANGE WARD 1TOWN OF ORANGE WARD 1 | 81 | 226 | 1 | 308 | 26.3% | 73.4% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MARION WARD 1TOWN OF MARION WARD 1 | 68 | 195 | 0 | 263 | 25.9% | 74.1% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF LYNDON STATION WARD 1VILLAGE OF LYNDON STATION WARD 1 | 105 | 145 | 2 | 252 | 41.7% | 57.5% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CUTLER WARD 1TOWN OF CUTLER WARD 1 | 63 | 163 | 2 | 228 | 27.6% | 71.5% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SEVEN MILE CREEK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SEVEN MILE CREEK WARDS 1-2 | 73 | 131 | 8 | 212 | 34.4% | 61.8% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF UNION CENTER WARD 1VILLAGE OF UNION CENTER WARD 1 | 35 | 93 | 2 | 130 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLEARFIELD WARD 2TOWN OF CLEARFIELD WARD 2 | 19 | 78 | 1 | 98 | 19.4% | 79.6% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HUSTLER WARD 1VILLAGE OF HUSTLER WARD 1 | 42 | 55 | 1 | 98 | 42.9% | 56.1% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FINLEY WARD 1TOWN OF FINLEY WARD 1 | 13 | 47 | 0 | 60 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KINGSTON WARD 1TOWN OF KINGSTON WARD 1 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 4.2% | 91.7% | R+87.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LISBON WARD 2TOWN OF LISBON WARD 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +0.8% |
| 1896 | −25.2% |
| 1900 | −28.9% |
| 1904 | −43.1% |
| 1908 | −17.9% |
| 1912 | −2.7% |
| 1916 | −21.8% |
| 1920 | −66.9% |
| 1924 | −24.6% |
| 1928 | −16.3% |
| 1932 | +39.4% |
| 1936 | +17.9% |
| 1940 | −22.0% |
| 1944 | −24.6% |
| 1948 | −13.3% |
| 1952 | −46.7% |
| 1956 | −35.6% |
| 1960 | −21.3% |
| 1964 | +21.2% |
| 1968 | −17.3% |
| 1972 | −23.5% |
| 1976 | +3.0% |
| 1980 | −16.8% |
| 1984 | −28.0% |
| 1988 | −13.1% |
| 1992 | +1.1% |
| 1996 | +12.0% |
| 2000 | −0.9% |
| 2004 | −6.0% |
| 2008 | +9.0% |
| 2012 | +7.0% |
| 2016 | −26.1% |
| 2020 | −29.2% |
| 2024 | −32.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+138 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +556 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,921 in average income, against $64,376 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.8 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Juneau County, WI itself (R+32.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Monroe County, WI115R+26.0
- Sauk County, WI102R+1.7
- Adams County, WI49R+25.8
- Dane County, WI37D+51.5
- La Crosse County, WI32D+9.4
- Columbia County, WI29R+4.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Monroe County, WI121
- Sauk County, WI100
- La Crosse County, WI43
- Adams County, WI41
- Dane County, WI28
- Columbia County, WI27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +25 |
| 2012 | +70 |
| 2013 | −193 |
| 2014 | −182 |
| 2015 | −59 |
| 2016 | +61 |
| 2017 | +144 |
| 2018 | +126 |
| 2019 | +78 |
| 2021 | +35 |
| 2022 | +169 |
| 2023 | −14 |
| 2024 | +158 |
| 2025 | +138 |
Juneau County's sparse population — spread across dairy farms and Central Sands wetlands — reflects a broader rural Wisconsin pattern of accelerating Republican presidential margins, reaching R+32 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.1 points.
A population of 26,689, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,270 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Forest County and Marquette County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Juneau County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.