- Lead
- 2,789
- Total
- 9,427
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- 75.0%
Marquette County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.0% of 12,632 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,480
- Total
- 9,065
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- 74.0%
- Lead
- 1,901
- Total
- 7,891
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- 66.6%
- Lead
- 22
- Total
- 8,105
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 414
- Total
- 7,846
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 819
- Total
- 8,477
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 85
- Total
- 7,194
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 651
- Total
- 6,119
- vs nation
- D+2.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,7462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,6812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Waushara County, WI · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.0%9,473 participants ÷ 12,632 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.9%–64.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,955 | 11,948 | 66.6% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,236 | 12,062 | 60.0% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,120 | 12,321 | 74.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,390 | 12,543 | 58.9% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,473 | 12,632 | 75.0% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 9,426 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF PACKWAUKEE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF PACKWAUKEE WARDS 1-3 | 330 | 600 | 12 | 942 | 35.0% | 63.7% | R+28.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF MONTELLO WARDS 1-4CITY OF MONTELLO WARDS 1-4 | 327 | 448 | 4 | 779 | 42.0% | 57.5% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONTELLO WARDS 1-4TOWN OF MONTELLO WARDS 1-4 | 251 | 501 | 9 | 761 | 33.0% | 65.8% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BUFFALO WARDS 1-3TOWN OF BUFFALO WARDS 1-3 | 255 | 405 | 13 | 673 | 37.9% | 60.2% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF WESTFIELD WARDS 1-3VILLAGE OF WESTFIELD WARDS 1-3 | 218 | 369 | 13 | 600 | 36.3% | 61.5% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OXFORD WARDS 1-2TOWN OF OXFORD WARDS 1-2 | 191 | 391 | 9 | 591 | 32.3% | 66.2% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SPRINGFIELD WARD 1TOWN OF SPRINGFIELD WARD 1 | 179 | 358 | 15 | 552 | 32.4% | 64.9% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WESTFIELD WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WESTFIELD WARDS 1-2 | 169 | 340 | 11 | 520 | 32.5% | 65.4% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DOUGLAS WARD 1TOWN OF DOUGLAS WARD 1 | 183 | 327 | 6 | 516 | 35.5% | 63.4% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MECAN WARD 1TOWN OF MECAN WARD 1 | 197 | 304 | 8 | 509 | 38.7% | 59.7% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HARRIS WARD 1TOWN OF HARRIS WARD 1 | 159 | 328 | 7 | 494 | 32.2% | 66.4% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NESHKORO WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NESHKORO WARDS 1-2 | 102 | 310 | 8 | 420 | 24.3% | 73.8% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SHIELDS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SHIELDS WARDS 1-2 | 118 | 257 | 6 | 381 | 31.0% | 67.5% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CRYSTAL LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF CRYSTAL LAKE WARD 1 | 117 | 242 | 3 | 362 | 32.3% | 66.9% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF OXFORD WARD 1VILLAGE OF OXFORD WARD 1 | 108 | 204 | 2 | 314 | 34.4% | 65.0% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MOUNDVILLE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MOUNDVILLE WARDS 1-2 | 113 | 169 | 0 | 282 | 40.1% | 59.9% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEWTON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NEWTON WARDS 1-2 | 71 | 193 | 3 | 267 | 26.6% | 72.3% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ENDEAVOR WARD 1VILLAGE OF ENDEAVOR WARD 1 | 85 | 150 | 2 | 237 | 35.9% | 63.3% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF NESHKORO WARD 1VILLAGE OF NESHKORO WARD 1 | 79 | 145 | 2 | 226 | 35.0% | 64.2% | R+29.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.0% |
| 1896 | −27.6% |
| 1900 | −28.1% |
| 1904 | −34.8% |
| 1908 | −31.4% |
| 1912 | +1.9% |
| 1916 | −19.4% |
| 1920 | −54.7% |
| 1924 | −14.7% |
| 1928 | −31.8% |
| 1932 | +29.0% |
| 1936 | −3.7% |
| 1940 | −43.9% |
| 1944 | −47.3% |
| 1948 | −29.6% |
| 1952 | −60.3% |
| 1956 | −48.1% |
| 1960 | −40.4% |
| 1964 | +1.2% |
| 1968 | −29.5% |
| 1972 | −26.7% |
| 1976 | −1.7% |
| 1980 | −17.1% |
| 1984 | −24.9% |
| 1988 | −10.7% |
| 1992 | +3.1% |
| 1996 | +10.6% |
| 2000 | −1.2% |
| 2004 | −9.7% |
| 2008 | +5.3% |
| 2012 | +0.3% |
| 2016 | −24.1% |
| 2020 | −27.4% |
| 2024 | −29.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+166 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,244 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,886 in average income, against $72,301 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.5 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Marquette County, WI itself (R+29.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Columbia County, WI112R+4.6
- Dane County, WI49D+51.5
- Green Lake County, WI27R+36.3
- Sauk County, WI27R+1.7
- Adams County, WI24R+25.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Columbia County, WI87
- Waushara County, WI41
- Adams County, WI34
- Dane County, WI34
- Green Lake County, WI27
- Winnebago County, WI23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +15 |
| 2012 | −118 |
| 2013 | −52 |
| 2014 | −86 |
| 2015 | +85 |
| 2016 | +69 |
| 2017 | +199 |
| 2018 | +183 |
| 2019 | +187 |
| 2021 | +305 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | +172 |
| 2024 | +1 |
| 2025 | +166 |
With roughly 15,800 residents spread across lakes and farmland, Marquette County delivered a nearly 30-point Republican margin in 2024, consistent with the rightward drift seen across rural central Wisconsin over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.6 points.
A population of 15,746, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,681 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Waushara County and Juneau County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marquette County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.