- Lead
- 970
- Total
- 1,572
- vs nation
- D+63.2
- Turnout
- 53.4%
Menominee County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.4% of 2,963 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,025
- Total
- 1,590
- vs nation
- D+60.0
- Turnout
- 51.8%
- Lead
- 735
- Total
- 1,308
- vs nation
- D+54.1
- Turnout
- 45.2%
- Lead
- 1,012
- Total
- 1,377
- vs nation
- D+69.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,072
- Total
- 1,448
- vs nation
- D+66.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,124
- Total
- 1,710
- vs nation
- D+68.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 724
- Total
- 1,233
- vs nation
- D+58.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 762
- Total
- 1,350
- vs nation
- D+47.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+61.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,2522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,1082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oglala Lakota County, SD · twin score 98.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.4%1,583 participants ÷ 2,963 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.8 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.7%–45.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,330 | 2,943 | 45.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,153 | 3,073 | 37.5% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,590 | 3,071 | 51.8% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,245 | 2,895 | 43.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,583 | 2,963 | 53.4% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
2 precincts · 1,572 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF MENOMINEE WARDS 1,3-5TOWN OF MENOMINEE WARDS 1,3-5 | 1,057 | 280 | 9 | 1,346 | 78.5% | 20.8% | D+57.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF MENOMINEE WARD 2TOWN OF MENOMINEE WARD 2 | 209 | 16 | 1 | 226 | 92.5% | 7.1% | D+85.4 |
Presidential margin, 1964–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1964 | +78.4% |
| 1968 | +47.6% |
| 1972 | +25.9% |
| 1976 | +39.4% |
| 1980 | +25.9% |
| 1984 | +35.7% |
| 1988 | +45.7% |
| 1992 | +38.5% |
| 1996 | +56.4% |
| 2000 | +58.7% |
| 2004 | +65.7% |
| 2008 | +74.0% |
| 2012 | +73.5% |
| 2016 | +56.2% |
| 2020 | +64.5% |
| 2024 | +61.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −168 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,889 in average income, against $50,691 for residents who stayed — 6% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.2 on average — 98 points more Republican-leaning than Menominee County, WI itself (D+61.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shawano County, WI52R+36.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Shawano County, WI50
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +24 |
| 2012 | −90 |
| 2013 | −63 |
| 2014 | +61 |
| 2015 | −60 |
| 2016 | −28 |
| 2017 | +31 |
| 2018 | −25 |
| 2019 | −53 |
| 2021 | +33 |
| 2022 | −90 |
| 2023 | +25 |
| 2024 | +65 |
| 2025 | +2 |
Menominee County is coterminous with the Menominee Indian Reservation, making it one of the few U.S. counties defined entirely by tribal sovereignty. That demographic reality produces the state's widest presidential margins, with Democrats routinely exceeding 80% of the vote.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.7 points.
A population of 4,252, a 13% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,108 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oglala Lakota County and Todd County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Menominee County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.