- Lead
- 6,077
- Total
- 32,019
- vs nation
- D+20.5
- Turnout
- 68.1%
Apache County, AZ
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.1% of 47,968 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,851
- Total
- 35,268
- vs nation
- D+29.2
- Turnout
- 68.7%
- Lead
- 8,843
- Total
- 27,661
- vs nation
- D+29.9
- Turnout
- 56.6%
- Lead
- 8,897
- Total
- 25,917
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,839
- Total
- 24,262
- vs nation
- D+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,274
- Total
- 24,198
- vs nation
- D+32.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,078
- Total
- 19,456
- vs nation
- D+35.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,633
- Total
- 18,684
- vs nation
- D+32.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 65,3412024 5-year
- Median household income
- $41,4382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 18.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.4 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oglala Lakota County, SD · twin score 96.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.1%32,685 participants ÷ 47,968 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.6%–58.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 28,492 | 50,380 | 56.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 25,559 | 50,980 | 50.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 35,776 | 52,078 | 68.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 27,010 | 48,085 | 56.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 32,685 | 47,968 | 68.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
89 precincts · 32,101 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ConchoConcho | 348 | 1,701 | 20 | 2,069 | 16.8% | 82.2% | R+65.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Ft. DefianceFt. Defiance | 1,524 | 423 | 38 | 1,985 | 76.8% | 21.3% | D+55.5 |
| Precinct -Canyon de ChellyCanyon de Chelly | 1,467 | 320 | 21 | 1,808 | 81.1% | 17.7% | D+63.4 |
| Precinct -VernonVernon | 265 | 1,305 | 20 | 1,590 | 16.7% | 82.1% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -St. MichaelsSt. Michaels | 1,116 | 339 | 18 | 1,473 | 75.8% | 23.0% | D+52.7 |
| Precinct -Window RockWindow Rock | 823 | 258 | 15 | 1,096 | 75.1% | 23.5% | D+51.6 |
| Precinct -Many FarmsMany Farms | 906 | 156 | 11 | 1,073 | 84.4% | 14.5% | D+69.9 |
| Precinct -ChinleChinle | 821 | 224 | 20 | 1,065 | 77.1% | 21.0% | D+56.1 |
| Precinct -St. JohnsSt. Johns | 196 | 786 | 13 | 995 | 19.7% | 79.0% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -CoronadoCoronado | 120 | 842 | 13 | 975 | 12.3% | 86.4% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -EagarEagar | 142 | 806 | 11 | 959 | 14.8% | 84.0% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -PuercoPuerco | 565 | 346 | 21 | 932 | 60.6% | 37.1% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -WheatfieldsWheatfields | 758 | 152 | 17 | 927 | 81.8% | 16.4% | D+65.4 |
| Precinct -LukachukaiLukachukai | 725 | 139 | 16 | 880 | 82.4% | 15.8% | D+66.6 |
| Precinct -Flat TopFlat Top | 107 | 710 | 10 | 827 | 12.9% | 85.9% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -SteamboatSteamboat | 685 | 124 | 10 | 819 | 83.6% | 15.1% | D+68.5 |
| Precinct -SpringervilleSpringerville | 154 | 621 | 12 | 787 | 19.6% | 78.9% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -Round ValleyRound Valley | 122 | 654 | 6 | 782 | 15.6% | 83.6% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -Rock PointRock Point | 585 | 144 | 9 | 738 | 79.3% | 19.5% | D+59.8 |
| Precinct -CottonwoodCottonwood | 612 | 115 | 7 | 734 | 83.4% | 15.7% | D+67.7 |
| Precinct -Ganado SouthGanado South | 537 | 135 | 10 | 682 | 78.7% | 19.8% | D+58.9 |
| Precinct -HouckHouck | 382 | 206 | 8 | 596 | 64.1% | 34.6% | D+29.5 |
| Precinct -NazliniNazlini | 422 | 149 | 6 | 577 | 73.1% | 25.8% | D+47.3 |
| Precinct -Rough RockRough Rock | 459 | 86 | 6 | 551 | 83.3% | 15.6% | D+67.7 |
| Precinct -DennehotsoDennehotso | 427 | 115 | 5 | 547 | 78.1% | 21.0% | D+57.0 |
| Precinct -KinlicheeKinlichee | 431 | 96 | 4 | 531 | 81.2% | 18.1% | D+63.1 |
| Precinct -Round RockRound Rock | 431 | 87 | 4 | 522 | 82.6% | 16.7% | D+65.9 |
| Precinct -SawmillSawmill | 399 | 102 | 7 | 508 | 78.5% | 20.1% | D+58.5 |
| Precinct -Wide RuinsWide Ruins | 339 | 103 | 9 | 451 | 75.2% | 22.8% | D+52.3 |
| Precinct -KlagetohKlagetoh | 315 | 118 | 11 | 444 | 70.9% | 26.6% | D+44.4 |
| Precinct -CornfieldsCornfields | 338 | 86 | 7 | 431 | 78.4% | 20.0% | D+58.5 |
| Precinct -Ganado NorthGanado North | 348 | 70 | 7 | 425 | 81.9% | 16.5% | D+65.4 |
| Precinct -AlpineAlpine | 94 | 315 | 6 | 415 | 22.7% | 75.9% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -Teec Nos PosTeec Nos Pos | 306 | 92 | 4 | 402 | 76.1% | 22.9% | D+53.2 |
| Precinct -Red ValleyRed Valley | 215 | 147 | 4 | 366 | 58.7% | 40.2% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -LuptonLupton | 264 | 93 | 5 | 362 | 72.9% | 25.7% | D+47.2 |
| Precinct -NutriosoNutrioso | 58 | 277 | 4 | 339 | 17.1% | 81.7% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -SweetwaterSweetwater | 222 | 94 | 3 | 319 | 69.6% | 29.5% | D+40.1 |
| Precinct -Oak SpringsOak Springs | 240 | 56 | 6 | 302 | 79.5% | 18.5% | D+60.9 |
| Precinct -TacheeTachee | 234 | 48 | 3 | 285 | 82.1% | 16.8% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -Mexican WaterMexican Water | 128 | 25 | 3 | 156 | 82.1% | 16.0% | D+66.0 |
| Precinct -Red MesaRed Mesa | 125 | 24 | 1 | 150 | 83.3% | 16.0% | D+67.3 |
| Precinct -GreerGreer | 45 | 70 | 0 | 115 | 39.1% | 60.9% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -McNaryMcNary | 72 | 36 | 3 | 111 | 64.9% | 32.4% | D+32.4 |
| Alpine Voting District04_0400102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canyon de Chelly Voting District04_0400103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chinle Voting District04_0400105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Concho Voting District04_0400109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cornfields Voting District04_0400110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coronado Voting District04_0400112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cottonwood Voting District04_0400111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dennehotso Voting District04_0400113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagar Voting District04_0400116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Flat Top Voting District04_0400117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fort Defiance Voting District04_0400119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ganado North Voting District04_0400122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ganado South Voting District04_0400123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greer Voting District04_0400125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Houck Voting District04_0400127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kinlichee Voting District04_0400129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Klagetoh Voting District04_0400131 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lukachukai Voting District04_0400133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lupton Voting District04_0400135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Many Farms Voting District04_0400139 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McNary Voting District04_0400137 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mexican Water Voting District04_0400141 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nazlini Voting District04_0400143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nutrioso Voting District04_0400145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oak Springs Voting District04_0400146 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Puerco East Voting District04_0400148 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Puerco West Voting District04_0400149 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Mesa Voting District04_0400151 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Valley Voting District04_0400152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rock Point Voting District04_0400154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rough Rock Voting District04_0400156 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Round Rock Voting District04_0400158 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Round Valley Voting District04_0400159 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sawmill Voting District04_0400167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Springerville Voting District04_0400170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Johns Voting District04_0400161 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Michaels Voting District04_0400165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steamboat Voting District04_0400174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sweetwater Voting District04_0400176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tachee Voting District04_0400178 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Teec Nos Pos Voting District04_0400180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernon Voting District04_0400182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wheatfields Voting District04_0400184 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wide Ruins Voting District04_0400186 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Window Rock Voting District04_0400188 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +20.4% |
| 1916 | +34.4% |
| 1920 | −4.7% |
| 1924 | −5.6% |
| 1928 | −2.8% |
| 1932 | +25.1% |
| 1936 | +44.5% |
| 1940 | +36.0% |
| 1944 | +25.9% |
| 1948 | +20.8% |
| 1952 | −19.4% |
| 1956 | −26.4% |
| 1960 | +0.8% |
| 1964 | +40.9% |
| 1968 | −10.1% |
| 1972 | −3.7% |
| 1976 | +30.4% |
| 1980 | −19.6% |
| 1984 | +12.6% |
| 1988 | +24.7% |
| 1992 | +36.3% |
| 1996 | +40.9% |
| 2000 | +36.4% |
| 2004 | +30.1% |
| 2008 | +28.2% |
| 2012 | +34.3% |
| 2016 | +32.0% |
| 2020 | +33.6% |
| 2024 | +19.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020Special · Class III | D | 68.5%Mark Kelly24,050 | 31.5%Martha McSally11,052 | 35,124 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 8.0 points more Democratic.
53,411 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−204 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,237 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,290 in average income, against $49,159 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.4 on average — 19 points more Republican-leaning than Apache County, AZ itself (D+19.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Maricopa County, AZ341R+3.5
- McKinley County, NM176D+24.5
- Navajo County, AZ162R+17.2
- San Juan County, NM65R+31.7
- Coconino County, AZ62D+19.9
- Pima County, AZ53D+15.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Maricopa County, AZ401
- McKinley County, NM191
- Navajo County, AZ187
- San Juan County, NM131
- Coconino County, AZ80
- Bernalillo County, NM71
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −156 |
| 2012 | −463 |
| 2013 | −454 |
| 2014 | −998 |
| 2015 | −1,215 |
| 2016 | +1 |
| 2017 | −235 |
| 2018 | −56 |
| 2019 | −112 |
| 2021 | −165 |
| 2022 | +414 |
| 2023 | −288 |
| 2024 | −306 |
| 2025 | −204 |
Apache County's electorate is shaped by the Navajo and Hopi nations, which together cover most of its land area and account for the Democratic-leaning margins that have defined its presidential results for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 26.4 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 14.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.0 points.
A population of 65,341, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,438 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oglala Lakota County and Menominee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Apache County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.