akashic
1876–2024
Cochise County, Arizona
Cochise County·Arizona

Cochise County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A border county where ranching culture and military presence shape the vote

18762024·38 elections
Cochise County, Arizona · Cornellrockey04 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+23
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
125,566
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lumpkin County
GA · similarity 1.00
54 precincts · 59,135 votes cast
Trump · R+23
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−23.1%
22,29635,93659,135
2020R
−19.5%
23,73235,55760,665
2016R
−21.3%
17,45028,09250,015
2012R
−22.3%
18,54629,49749,201
2008R
−20.7%
18,94329,02648,820
2004R
−20.3%
17,51426,55644,595
2000R
−14.5%
13,36018,18033,241
1996R
−1.8%
13,78214,36531,923
1992D
+1.5%
12,70112,20233,150
1988R
−14.3%
11,81215,81528,050
1984R
−25.6%
9,67116,40526,355
1980R
−28.2%
7,02813,35122,445
1976R
−3.2%
9,2819,92119,883
1972R
−31.1%
6,02311,70618,299
1968R
−6.1%
6,5977,61916,711
1964D
+8.4%
9,0457,64416,697
1960R
−1.0%
7,4197,57215,007
1956R
−12.8%
5,3286,89312,230
1952R
−7.0%
5,6406,49512,135
1948D
+22.6%
6,1983,85410,370
1944D
+34.5%
6,9353,37110,319
1940D
+46.7%
8,7483,17011,950
1936D
+57.5%
8,1302,09210,499
1932D
+44.2%
7,7982,83811,216
1928R
−15.0%
4,2625,77610,083
1924R
−2.2%
3,4963,7129,699
1920R
−9.3%
4,4305,3419,771
1916D
+28.7%
6,1153,20310,132
1912D
+34.0%
1,9734034,619
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
2.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.1%
Other Christian
18.0%
Baptist
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Methodist
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Fort Huachuca and roughly 83 miles of international border, Cochise County combines a significant active-duty and veteran population with rural ranching communities, producing consistent double-digit Republican margins in federal races.

The Democratic margin in Cochise County peaked at fifty-eight points in 1936. By 1996 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Cochise County's median household income of $59,742 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lumpkin County and Pickens County.