- Lead
- 13,640
- Total
- 58,923
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- 62.9%
Cochise County, AZ
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.9% of 94,527 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,825
- Total
- 60,665
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Turnout
- 64.6%
- Lead
- 10,642
- Total
- 50,015
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Turnout
- 54.5%
- Lead
- 10,951
- Total
- 49,201
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,083
- Total
- 48,820
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,042
- Total
- 44,595
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,820
- Total
- 33,241
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 583
- Total
- 31,923
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 125,5662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,7422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Yuma County, AZ · twin score 80.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.9%59,501 participants ÷ 94,527 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.6%–53.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 50,601 | 92,913 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 45,927 | 92,466 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 60,963 | 94,423 | 64.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 47,284 | 94,116 | 50.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 59,501 | 94,527 | 62.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
118 precincts · 59,135 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SV BUFFALO SOLDIERSV BUFFALO SOLDIER | 786 | 1,441 | 42 | 2,269 | 34.6% | 63.5% | R+28.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SV VILLAGE MEADOWSSV VILLAGE MEADOWS | 700 | 1,284 | 35 | 2,019 | 34.7% | 63.6% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -SV YAQUISV YAQUI | 626 | 1,294 | 20 | 1,940 | 32.3% | 66.7% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -SV AVENIDA DEL SOLSV AVENIDA DEL SOL | 757 | 1,147 | 24 | 1,928 | 39.3% | 59.5% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -WHETSTONEWHETSTONE | 488 | 1,402 | 27 | 1,917 | 25.5% | 73.1% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -SV COUNTRY CLUBSV COUNTRY CLUB | 717 | 1,164 | 23 | 1,904 | 37.7% | 61.1% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -BE J-SIXBE J-SIX | 485 | 1,312 | 22 | 1,819 | 26.7% | 72.1% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -SV MOSONSV MOSON | 444 | 1,233 | 30 | 1,707 | 26.0% | 72.2% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -SV TOWN & COUNTRYSV TOWN & COUNTRY | 580 | 1,079 | 23 | 1,682 | 34.5% | 64.1% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -SV SOLDIER CREEKSV SOLDIER CREEK | 724 | 919 | 33 | 1,676 | 43.2% | 54.8% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -ST. DAVIDST. DAVID | 374 | 1,252 | 16 | 1,642 | 22.8% | 76.2% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -BE SAN PEDROBE SAN PEDRO | 529 | 1,076 | 23 | 1,628 | 32.5% | 66.1% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -SV ESTATESSV ESTATES | 598 | 987 | 29 | 1,614 | 37.1% | 61.2% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -GREATER SAN PEDROGREATER SAN PEDRO | 361 | 1,075 | 34 | 1,470 | 24.6% | 73.1% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -SV BUSBYSV BUSBY | 635 | 786 | 34 | 1,455 | 43.6% | 54.0% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct -SV COLLEGESV COLLEGE | 552 | 851 | 27 | 1,430 | 38.6% | 59.5% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -COCHISE STRONGHOLDCOCHISE STRONGHOLD | 411 | 981 | 20 | 1,412 | 29.1% | 69.5% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -SV VISTA VILLAGESV VISTA VILLAGE | 545 | 812 | 29 | 1,386 | 39.3% | 58.6% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -BE BENSONBE BENSON | 427 | 936 | 20 | 1,383 | 30.9% | 67.7% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -HEREFORDHEREFORD | 429 | 889 | 29 | 1,347 | 31.8% | 66.0% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -SV RAMSEYSV RAMSEY | 423 | 888 | 24 | 1,335 | 31.7% | 66.5% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -TOMBSTONETOMBSTONE | 303 | 985 | 17 | 1,305 | 23.2% | 75.5% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -DO CARLSONDO CARLSON | 712 | 530 | 13 | 1,255 | 56.7% | 42.2% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -SV HOPISV HOPI | 480 | 681 | 14 | 1,175 | 40.9% | 58.0% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -SV PUEBLO DEL SOLSV PUEBLO DEL SOL | 440 | 690 | 22 | 1,152 | 38.2% | 59.9% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -BI WARRENBI WARREN | 741 | 369 | 31 | 1,141 | 64.9% | 32.3% | D+32.6 |
| Precinct -BI BISBEEBI BISBEE | 859 | 205 | 19 | 1,083 | 79.3% | 18.9% | D+60.4 |
| Precinct -WI KANSAS SETTLEMENTWI KANSAS SETTLEMENT | 269 | 778 | 5 | 1,052 | 25.6% | 74.0% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -DO CASTRO PARKDO CASTRO PARK | 712 | 299 | 13 | 1,024 | 69.5% | 29.2% | D+40.3 |
| Precinct -BI DON LUISBI DON LUIS | 610 | 404 | 9 | 1,023 | 59.6% | 39.5% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -POMERENEPOMERENE | 261 | 736 | 8 | 1,005 | 26.0% | 73.2% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -SV SNYDERSV SNYDER | 367 | 579 | 7 | 953 | 38.5% | 60.8% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -WI STEWARTWI STEWART | 194 | 708 | 16 | 918 | 21.1% | 77.1% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -PALOMINASPALOMINAS | 287 | 598 | 24 | 909 | 31.6% | 65.8% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -DO CALVARYDO CALVARY | 588 | 287 | 5 | 880 | 66.8% | 32.6% | D+34.2 |
| Precinct -DO SUNNYSIDEDO SUNNYSIDE | 496 | 365 | 9 | 870 | 57.0% | 42.0% | D+15.1 |
| Precinct -SV CARMELITASV CARMELITA | 357 | 497 | 13 | 867 | 41.2% | 57.3% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -PIRTLEVILLEPIRTLEVILLE | 482 | 363 | 8 | 853 | 56.5% | 42.6% | D+14.0 |
| Precinct -MCNEALMCNEAL | 248 | 516 | 19 | 783 | 31.7% | 65.9% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -DO GADSDENDO GADSDEN | 494 | 274 | 10 | 778 | 63.5% | 35.2% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -HUACHUCAHUACHUCA | 290 | 451 | 11 | 752 | 38.6% | 60.0% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -WI WILLCOXWI WILLCOX | 209 | 529 | 7 | 745 | 28.1% | 71.0% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -SV CLOUDSV CLOUD | 278 | 362 | 13 | 653 | 42.6% | 55.4% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct -THREE CANYONSTHREE CANYONS | 164 | 386 | 10 | 560 | 29.3% | 68.9% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -SUNIZONASUNIZONA | 126 | 327 | 8 | 461 | 27.3% | 70.9% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -WEBBWEBB | 112 | 339 | 7 | 458 | 24.5% | 74.0% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -NACONACO | 292 | 162 | 3 | 457 | 63.9% | 35.4% | D+28.4 |
| Precinct -PORTALPORTAL | 151 | 165 | 6 | 322 | 46.9% | 51.2% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -GREENBUSHGREENBUSH | 64 | 160 | 6 | 230 | 27.8% | 69.6% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -BOWIEBOWIE | 43 | 141 | 3 | 187 | 23.0% | 75.4% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -SAN SIMONSAN SIMON | 27 | 134 | 2 | 163 | 16.6% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -DO GRANDDO GRAND | 22 | 55 | 0 | 77 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -BI SACRAMENTOBI SACRAMENTO | 24 | 43 | 1 | 68 | 35.3% | 63.2% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -PARKERPARKER | 3 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct 0104_0400301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0204_0400302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0304_0400303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0404_0400304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0504_0400305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0604_0400306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0704_0400307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0804_0400308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0904_0400309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1004_0400310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1104_0400311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1204_0400312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1304_0400313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1404_0400314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1504_0400315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1604_0400316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1704_0400317 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1804_0400318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1904_0400319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2004_0400320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2104_0400321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2204_0400322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2304_0400323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2404_0400324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2504_0400325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2604_0400326 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2704_0400327 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2804_0400328 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2904_0400329 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| precinct 3004_0400330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3104_0400331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3204_0400332 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3304_0400333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3404_0400334 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3504_0400335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3604_0400336 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3704_0400337 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3804_0400338 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3904_0400339 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4004_0400340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4104_0400341 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4204_0400342 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4304_0400343 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4404_0400344 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4504_0400345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4604_0400346 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4704_0400347 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4804_0400348 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 4904_0400349 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5004_0400350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5104_0400351 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5204_0400352 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5304_0400353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5404_0400354 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5504_0400355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5604_0400356 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5704_0400357 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5804_0400358 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 5904_0400359 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 6004_0400360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 6104_0400361 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 6204_0400362 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 6304_0400363 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 6404_0400364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +34.0% |
| 1916 | +28.7% |
| 1920 | −9.3% |
| 1924 | −2.2% |
| 1928 | −15.0% |
| 1932 | +44.2% |
| 1936 | +57.5% |
| 1940 | +46.7% |
| 1944 | +34.5% |
| 1948 | +22.6% |
| 1952 | −7.0% |
| 1956 | −12.8% |
| 1960 | −1.0% |
| 1964 | +8.4% |
| 1968 | −6.1% |
| 1972 | −31.1% |
| 1976 | −3.2% |
| 1980 | −28.2% |
| 1984 | −25.6% |
| 1988 | −14.3% |
| 1992 | +1.5% |
| 1996 | −1.8% |
| 2000 | −14.5% |
| 2004 | −20.3% |
| 2008 | −20.7% |
| 2012 | −22.3% |
| 2016 | −21.3% |
| 2020 | −19.5% |
| 2024 | −23.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020Special · Class III | R | 41.3%Mark Kelly24,843 | 58.6%Martha McSally35,214 | 60,086 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.4 points more Democratic.
82,413 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,385 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −9,103 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,052 in average income, against $62,505 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+4.1 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Cochise County, AZ itself (R+23.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pima County, AZ625D+15.2
- Maricopa County, AZ437R+3.5
- Pinal County, AZ73R+22.1
- San Diego County, CA68D+16.8
- El Paso County, CO57R+9.8
- Los Angeles County, CA51D+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pima County, AZ784
- Maricopa County, AZ388
- El Paso County, TX57
- Pinal County, AZ56
- Honolulu County, HI50
- El Paso County, CO48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +449 |
| 2012 | −2,093 |
| 2013 | −3,228 |
| 2014 | −3,072 |
| 2015 | −1,700 |
| 2016 | −1,192 |
| 2017 | −1,058 |
| 2018 | +1,483 |
| 2019 | −595 |
| 2021 | +1,081 |
| 2022 | −407 |
| 2023 | −713 |
| 2024 | +557 |
| 2025 | +1,385 |
Home to Fort Huachuca and roughly 83 miles of international border, Cochise County combines a significant active-duty and veteran population with rural ranching communities, producing consistent double-digit Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 31.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.1 points.
A population of 125,566, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,742 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yuma County and Pima County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cochise County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.