† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSierra Vista SoutheastArizonaUnited States
German18.4%12.6%12.5%
English17.4%10.2%9.5%
Irish12.6%8.9%9.4%
American4.8%4.0%5.3%
Italian3.9%4.1%4.8%
French3.2%1.8%1.6%
Scottish2.9%1.7%1.3%
Polish1.9%2.0%2.2%
Mexican20.8%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.3%0.5%—
Panamanian0.2%——
Filipino0.6%0.7%0.9%
Korean0.3%0.3%0.4%
Vietnamese0.2%0.4%0.6%
Japanese0.2%0.2%0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Sierra Vista Southeast
Arizona
United States
Median age
49.9
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
5.1%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
29.5%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Sierra Vista Southeast
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$75,417
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.0%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.7%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Sierra Vista Southeast
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.6%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
11.4%
19.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Sierra Vista Southeast
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−40.3%
2008
−39.3%
2012
−44.7%
2016
−41.6%
2020
−36.9%
2024
−37.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
30.5%Harris2,691
68.2%Trump6,004
1.3%
R+37.6
R+0.7
R+36.1
8,809
R
30.6%Biden2,703
67.4%Trump5,964
2.0%
R+36.9
D+4.7
R+41.3
8,844
R
24.9%Clinton1,848
66.5%Trump4,933
8.6%
R+41.6
D+3.1
R+43.7
7,416
R
26.5%Obama1,008
71.2%Romney2,708
2.4%
R+44.7
R+5.4
R+48.5
3,806
R
29.4%Obama2,096
68.7%McCain4,894
1.9%
R+39.3
D+1.0
R+46.5
7,127
R
29.7%Kerry1,887
70.1%Bush4,444
0.2%
R+40.3
—
R+37.8
6,344
Sierra Vista Southeast is a census-designated place closely tied to the adjacent Army installation, giving it an unusually high share of military families and federal employees relative to its size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.6 points.
A population of 14,330, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,417 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chino Valley and Montrose.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona voted Republican by 37.6 points (R+37.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,809 votes cast, 2,691 went Democratic and 6,004 went Republican.
How many people live in Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona?
Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona has a population of 14,330 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona?
Median household income in Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona is $75,417 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Sierra Vista Southeast, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
