HarrisDemocratic37.8%22,296TrumpRepublican61.0%35,936OliverLibertarian0.6%380
R+23.1- Lead
- 13,640
- Total
- 58,923
- vs nation
- R+21.7
Akashicmetro area
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic39.1%23,732TrumpRepublican58.6%35,557OtherAll other candidates2.3%1,376
R+19.5- Lead
- 11,825
- Total
- 60,665
- vs nation
- R+23.9
ClintonDemocratic34.9%17,450TrumpRepublican56.2%28,092OtherAll other candidates8.9%4,473
R+21.3- Lead
- 10,642
- Total
- 50,015
- vs nation
- R+23.4
ObamaDemocratic37.7%18,546RomneyRepublican60.0%29,497OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,158
R+22.3- Lead
- 10,951
- Total
- 49,201
- vs nation
- R+26.1
ObamaDemocratic38.8%18,943McCainRepublican59.5%29,026OtherAll other candidates1.7%851
R+20.7- Lead
- 10,083
- Total
- 48,820
- vs nation
- R+27.9
KerryDemocratic39.3%17,514BushRepublican59.5%26,556OtherAll other candidates1.2%525
R+20.3- Lead
- 9,042
- Total
- 44,595
- vs nation
- R+17.8
GoreDemocratic40.2%13,360BushRepublican54.7%18,180OtherAll other candidates5.1%1,701
R+14.5- Lead
- 4,820
- Total
- 33,241
- vs nation
- R+15.0
ClintonDemocratic43.2%13,782DoleRepublican45.0%14,365OtherAll other candidates11.8%3,776
R+1.8- Lead
- 583
- Total
- 31,923
- vs nation
- R+10.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 125,5662024 5-year
- Population density
- 20 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6,210 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,7422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Yuma, AZ · twin score 67.7
presidential history
Party record book
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
77.4%
8,130 votes · D+57.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 73.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
64.0%
11,706 votes · R+31.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 62.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
23,732votes
39.1% of the vote · R+19.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 22,296 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
35,936votes
61.0% of the vote · R+23.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 35,557 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
+36.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.7 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +33.2 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+27.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.7 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +26.1 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+17.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+23.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.4 points more Republican than the rolls.
82,413 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,385 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −9,103 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +449 |
| 2012 | −2,093 |
| 2013 | −3,228 |
| 2014 | −3,072 |
| 2015 | −1,700 |
| 2016 | −1,192 |
| 2017 | −1,058 |
| 2018 | +1,483 |
| 2019 | −595 |
| 2021 | +1,081 |
| 2022 | −407 |
| 2023 | −713 |
| 2024 | +557 |
| 2025 | +1,385 |
Fort Huachuca anchors Cochise County's economy while the Douglas crossing generates cross-border commerce, producing an electorate that mixes defense-sector households with a majority-Hispanic population that has trended competitive in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 31.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.1 points.
A population of 125,566, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,742 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yuma, AZ and Payson, AZ.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Yuma, AZ
67.7twin score
elasticity% Evangelical% Catholic≠ % Latino
Payson, AZ
56.7twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2008 margin≠ median age
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
55.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008 margin≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/43420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona voted Republican by 23.1 points (R+23.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 58,923 votes cast, 22,296 went Democratic and 35,936 went Republican.
When did Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona?
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona has a population of 125,566 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona is $59,742 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.