akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 6·Arizona

Arizona 6th Congressional District delivered R+7 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A Phoenix-area seat that has trended Republican by double digits since 2020

18762024·38 elections
AZ
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
475,330
2024 ACS

Arizona 6th Congressional District, Arizona: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+55 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
475,3302024 5-year
Median household income
$70,0652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.7%2024 5-year
Black
3.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
34.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+55 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+18 in 1980MIT Election Lab
R
CISCOMANI, JuanCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: SCHWEIKERT, David (2021–2023), SCHWEIKERT, David (2019–2021), SCHWEIKERT, David (2017–2019), SCHWEIKERT, David (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

5 counties · 1 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.9%
101,252116,543220,986
R
−2.6%
103,946109,681217,818
R
−5.2%
75,09083,985172,120
R
−8.0%
71,07483,730158,071
R
−7.7%
72,17884,410158,736
R
−7.2%
63,79173,862138,929
R
−2.1%
49,37351,576106,212
D
+8.1%
48,77440,67799,597
D
+7.0%
44,49737,206104,837
R
−6.5%
40,45046,12287,713
R
−17.9%
33,68248,55583,059
R
−18.0%
25,17338,09971,852
R
−1.2%
29,65230,42462,423
R
−17.3%
21,31631,76960,321
R
−3.7%
19,25020,92045,478
D
+11.7%
26,32120,78647,155
D
+1.6%
21,29820,62341,990
R
−12.6%
14,57918,78133,382
R
−4.4%
14,91916,29231,210
D
+20.0%
13,5208,88423,144
D
+29.4%
13,2077,18920,436
D
+41.6%
16,1286,63822,838
D
+54.9%
14,5884,08019,140
D
+45.1%
13,5624,91619,173
R
−8.2%
7,2448,53715,845
D
+1.6%
5,5645,33114,150
R
−5.1%
6,8447,57714,421
D
+28.9%
8,9024,68714,587
D
+36.1%
3,0516386,690
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D50.1%47.7%3,347,964
2022D51.4%46.5%2,572,294
2020D51.2%48.8%3,355,307
2018D50.0%47.6%2,384,308
2016R40.7%53.7%2,530,730
2012R46.2%49.2%2,243,422
2010R34.7%58.9%1,708,484
2006R43.5%53.3%1,526,782
2004R20.6%76.7%1,961,677
2000R0.0%79.3%1,397,076
1998R27.2%68.7%1,013,280
1994R39.5%53.7%1,119,060
1992R31.6%55.8%1,382,051
1988D56.7%41.1%1,164,539
1986R39.5%60.5%862,921
1982D56.9%40.3%723,885
1980R48.4%49.5%874,238
1976D54.0%43.3%741,210

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.0%
English
11.0%
Irish
9.0%
American
3.7%
Italian
3.5%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
76.2%
speak English only
Spanish19.6%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.8%
Other Christian
14.4%
Baptist
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Methodist
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona's 6th anchors the northeastern Phoenix suburbs and exurbs, where rapid population growth has coincided with a consistent shift toward Republican margins in federal contests over the past two cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-five points in 1936; the Republican margin reached eighteen points in 1980. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 475,330, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,065 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 6, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0406/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 6, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 6, Arizona voted Republican by 6.9 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 220,986 votes cast, 101,252 went Democratic and 116,543 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 6, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 6, Arizona as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 6, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 6, Arizona voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Congressional District 6, Arizona?
Congressional District 6, Arizona has a population of 475,330 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 6, Arizona?
Median household income in Congressional District 6, Arizona is $70,065 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Congressional District 6, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 6, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.