Arizona 8th Congressional District (AZ) — Elections 1876–2024

Arizona 8th Congressional District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1984.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 286,0652024 5-year
Median household income: $89,3002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 58.6%2024 5-year
Black: 5.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 31.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+45 in 1984MIT Election Lab

HAMADEH, Abraham J.Congress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: LESKO, Debbie (2023–2025), LESKO, Debbie (2021–2023), LESKO, Debbie (2019–2021), FRANKS, Trent (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

1 counties · 0 D · 1 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−3.5%	61,483	65,970	129,337
2020	D	+2.2%	65,295	62,465	130,247
2016	R	−2.8%	44,098	46,887	98,361
2012	R	−10.7%	37,786	47,045	86,637
2008	R	−10.6%	37,778	46,830	85,634
2004	R	−14.6%	31,673	42,627	74,968
2000	R	−10.3%	24,259	30,112	56,570
1996	R	−2.7%	22,836	24,217	51,283
1992	R	−8.5%	17,909	22,588	55,010
1988	R	−31.0%	14,489	27,751	42,756
1984	R	−44.9%	9,714	25,841	35,903
1980	R	−40.4%	7,513	19,843	30,542
1976	R	−27.1%	9,073	16,203	26,277
1972	R	−42.3%	5,968	15,345	22,146
1968	R	−27.7%	5,408	10,180	17,231
1964	R	−7.9%	7,657	8,979	16,646
1960	R	−18.8%	5,448	7,973	13,429
1956	R	−26.1%	3,388	5,781	9,181
1952	R	−21.1%	3,155	4,846	8,001
1948	D	+5.0%	2,541	2,295	4,956
1944	D	+12.8%	2,020	1,559	3,592
1940	D	+21.4%	2,199	1,418	3,644
1936	D	+38.6%	2,010	858	2,987
1932	D	+30.5%	1,794	946	2,778
1928	R	−24.6%	762	1,260	2,024
1924	R	−6.0%	576	666	1,491
1920	R	−12.4%	554	711	1,265
1916	D	+12.9%	479	361	918
1912	D	+34.6%	163	40	356
1908	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	50.1%	47.7%	3,347,964
2022	D	51.4%	46.5%	2,572,294
2020	D	51.2%	48.8%	3,355,307
2018	D	50.0%	47.6%	2,384,308
2016	R	40.7%	53.7%	2,530,730
2012	R	46.2%	49.2%	2,243,422
2010	R	34.7%	58.9%	1,708,484
2006	R	43.5%	53.3%	1,526,782
2004	R	20.6%	76.7%	1,961,677
2000	R	0.0%	79.3%	1,397,076
1998	R	27.2%	68.7%	1,013,280
1994	R	39.5%	53.7%	1,119,060
1992	R	31.6%	55.8%	1,382,051
1988	D	56.7%	41.1%	1,164,539
1986	R	39.5%	60.5%	862,921
1982	D	56.9%	40.3%	723,885
1980	R	48.4%	49.5%	874,238
1976	D	54.0%	43.3%	741,210

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

12.4%

English

9.8%

Irish

8.8%

Italian

4.4%

American

4.2%

Polish

2.2%

French

1.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.1%

2.4%

75–84

2.8%

4.3%

65–74

5.0%

5.7%

55–64

6.0%

6.1%

45–54

6.2%

6.8%

35–44

6.6%

7.5%

25–34

7.2%

4.8%

18–24

4.5%

8.6%

5–17

8.2%

2.9%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$89,300

Congressional District 8 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 8$89,300

Arizona$79,964

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.0%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.4%

Working age (18–64)9.9%

Seniors (65+)10.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

74.0%

speak English only

Spanish19.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%

Other Indo-European2.4%

Other languages1.4%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

23.4%

Other Christian

15.1%

Non-Christian

3.2%

Mainline Protestant

1.7%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.7%

Baptist

1.6%

Methodist

0.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in the West Valley suburbs of Maricopa County, AZ-08 posted an R+19.2 margin in 2024, making it among the widest presidential spreads in a state otherwise defined by competitive statewide races.

The Democratic margin in Arizona 8th Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $89,300 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 8, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0408/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 8, Arizona vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 8, Arizona voted Republican by 3.5 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 129,337 votes cast, 61,483 went Democratic and 65,970 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 8, Arizona's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 8, Arizona as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 8, Arizona last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 8, Arizona voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Congressional District 8, Arizona?

Congressional District 8, Arizona has a population of 286,065 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 8, Arizona?

Median household income in Congressional District 8, Arizona is $89,300 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Congressional District 8, Arizona?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 8, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Arizona 8th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions