Arizona 7th Congressional District (AZ) — Elections 1876–2024

Arizona 7th Congressional District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+38 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 2,574,6632024 5-year
Median household income: $81,0172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 57.6%2024 5-year
Black: 4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 35.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+38 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30 in 1984MIT Election Lab

GRIJALVA, Raúl M.Congress 119 · Democratic

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: GRIJALVA, Adelita S. (2025–2027), GALLEGO, Ruben (2021–2023), GALLEGO, Ruben (2019–2021), GALLEGO, Ruben (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

6 counties · 2 D · 4 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+2.4%	594,218	566,143	1,177,527
2020	D	+7.8%	627,596	535,613	1,185,264
2016	D	+3.7%	442,619	408,387	917,323
2012	R	−3.4%	385,253	412,985	814,354
2008	R	−3.6%	388,682	418,354	816,798
2004	R	−5.8%	340,463	382,527	729,445
2000	R	−2.2%	260,217	272,222	557,370
1996	D	+4.7%	245,095	221,291	509,227
1992	D	+0.3%	208,506	206,881	542,432
1988	R	−17.2%	177,603	252,405	435,228
1984	R	−30.1%	132,418	248,324	384,530
1980	R	−27.9%	97,841	189,949	330,039
1976	R	−15.2%	112,885	155,384	279,359
1972	R	−25.4%	81,872	147,879	260,212
1968	R	−18.2%	66,048	99,333	182,453
1964	D	+0.3%	91,225	90,718	182,168
1960	R	−10.2%	68,900	84,533	153,681
1956	R	−23.6%	41,520	67,237	108,868
1952	R	−19.3%	38,030	56,239	94,269
1948	D	+5.8%	31,929	28,362	61,836
1944	D	+13.4%	24,822	18,960	43,909
1940	D	+22.5%	27,483	17,362	45,065
1936	D	+37.8%	24,740	10,891	36,656
1932	D	+32.0%	22,469	11,394	34,640
1928	R	−17.6%	10,181	14,539	24,771
1924	R	−7.4%	6,550	7,921	18,447
1920	R	−13.2%	6,612	8,623	15,235
1916	D	+6.3%	6,117	5,342	12,261
1912	D	+30.0%	2,045	632	4,707
1908	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	50.1%	47.7%	3,347,964
2022	D	51.4%	46.5%	2,572,294
2020	D	51.2%	48.8%	3,355,307
2018	D	50.0%	47.6%	2,384,308
2016	R	40.7%	53.7%	2,530,730
2012	R	46.2%	49.2%	2,243,422
2010	R	34.7%	58.9%	1,708,484
2006	R	43.5%	53.3%	1,526,782
2004	R	20.6%	76.7%	1,961,677
2000	R	0.0%	79.3%	1,397,076
1998	R	27.2%	68.7%	1,013,280
1994	R	39.5%	53.7%	1,119,060
1992	R	31.6%	55.8%	1,382,051
1988	D	56.7%	41.1%	1,164,539
1986	R	39.5%	60.5%	862,921
1982	D	56.9%	40.3%	723,885
1980	R	48.4%	49.5%	874,238
1976	D	54.0%	43.3%	741,210

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

12.3%

English

9.8%

Irish

8.7%

Italian

4.1%

American

3.8%

Polish

2.1%

French

1.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.2%

2.8%

75–84

3.2%

4.8%

65–74

5.6%

5.7%

55–64

6.0%

5.8%

45–54

5.8%

6.5%

35–44

6.2%

7.2%

25–34

6.8%

5.2%

18–24

4.9%

8.3%

5–17

7.9%

2.8%

2.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$81,017

Congressional District 7 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 7$81,017

Arizona$79,964

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

12.5%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.3%

Working age (18–64)11.6%

Seniors (65+)10.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

72.3%

speak English only

Spanish22.1%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%

Other Indo-European2.1%

Other languages1.3%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

22.9%

Other Christian

13.2%

Non-Christian

2.7%

Mainline Protestant

1.8%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.8%

Baptist

1.6%

Methodist

0.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona's 7th anchors Tucson's urban core and stretches through majority-Latino communities along the Santa Cruz Valley, producing presidential margins that regularly exceed 35 points and making it one of the most reliably left-leaning seats in the region.

The Democratic margin in Arizona 7th Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by two points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $81,017 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 7, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0407/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 7, Arizona vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 7, Arizona voted Democratic by 2.4 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,177,527 votes cast, 594,218 went Democratic and 566,143 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 7, Arizona's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 7, Arizona as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 7, Arizona last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 7, Arizona voted Republican was 2012.

How many people live in Congressional District 7, Arizona?

Congressional District 7, Arizona has a population of 2,574,663 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 7, Arizona?

Median household income in Congressional District 7, Arizona is $81,017 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Congressional District 7, Arizona?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 7, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Arizona 7th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions