Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Arizona 7th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+21.62012D+26.42016D+33.62020D+32.72024D+22.1
full record · 20082024
D+22.1
2024
median income$59,811U.S. $80,734 · AZ $79,964
median age34.3U.S. 39.1 · AZ 39.3
poverty rate19.0%U.S. 12.5% · AZ 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)35.3%U.S. 35.6% · AZ 33.5%
non-english27.7%U.S. 22.3% · AZ 25.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican52.0%
Puerto Rican1.4%
Spaniard1.0%
German10.3%
English8.2%
Irish7.3%
Navajo6.6%
Tohono O'odham4.0%
African American3.5%
African0.4%
Asian Indian0.5%
Chinese0.4%
Filipino0.4%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Santa Cruz County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Arizona 7th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionArizona 7th Congressional DistrictHarrisD+22.1
Arizona 7th Congressional District premium atlas map: Harris D+22.1, 197 precincts, 8 city labels.
2024
197 precincts by 2024 margin · 8 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +22.1% in 2024.+22.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+21.6%
2012+26.4%
2016+33.6%
2020+32.7%
2024+22.1%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DAdelita GrijalvaU.S. House · AZ-07-0.48
DRuben GallegoU.S. Senate-0.36
DMark KellyU.S. Senate-0.27

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20247D
63.4%171,954
36.6%99,057
271,011
20227D
64.5%126,418
35.5%69,444
195,862
20207D
76.7%165,452
23.3%50,229
215,732
20187D
85.6%113,044
0.0%0
132,051
20167D
75.2%119,465
24.7%39,286
158,811
20147D
74.9%54,235
0.0%0
72,454
20127D
81.7%104,489
0.0%0
127,827
20107D
50.2%79,935
44.2%70,385
159,144
20087D
63.3%124,304
32.8%64,425
196,489
20067D
61.1%80,354
35.4%46,498
131,525
20047D
62.1%108,868
33.7%59,066
175,437
20027D
59.0%61,256
37.1%38,474
103,818

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
50.1%1,676,335
47.7%1,595,761
3,347,964
2022D
51.4%1,322,027
46.5%1,196,328
2,572,294
2020D
51.2%1,716,634
48.8%1,638,060
3,355,307
2018D
50.0%1,191,100
47.6%1,135,200
2,383,742
2016R
40.8%1,031,245
53.8%1,359,761
2,529,768
2012R
46.2%1,036,542
49.2%1,104,457
2,243,108
2010R
34.8%592,011
59.1%1,005,615
1,702,326
2006R
43.5%664,141
53.3%814,398
1,526,770
2004R
20.6%404,507
76.7%1,505,372
1,961,677
2000R
0.0%0
79.3%1,108,196
1,397,076
1998R
27.2%275,224
68.8%696,577
1,013,093
1994R
39.5%442,510
53.7%600,999
1,119,002
1992R
31.6%436,321
55.8%771,395
1,382,025
1988D
56.7%660,403
41.1%478,060
1,164,507
1986R
39.5%340,965
60.5%521,850
862,815
1982D
56.9%411,970
40.3%291,749
723,819
1980R
48.4%422,972
49.5%432,371
874,225
1976D
54.0%400,334
43.3%321,236
741,210

Arizona's 7th anchors Tucson's urban core and stretches through majority-Latino communities along the Santa Cruz Valley, producing presidential margins that regularly exceed 35 points and making it one of the most reliably left-leaning seats in the region.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.1 points.

A population of 794,610, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,811 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 20.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Arizona 7th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0407/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Arizona 7th Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 7th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 7th Congressional District voted Democratic by 22.1 points (D+22.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 281,685 votes cast, 170,352 went Democratic and 108,028 went Republican.
How many people live in Arizona 7th Congressional District?
Arizona 7th Congressional District has a population of 794,610 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 7th Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 7th Congressional District is $59,811 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 7th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Arizona 7th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.