Akashic

congressional district

Arizona 3rd Congressional District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1912–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1912 → 2024

2024

District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Mexican52.8%26.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican1.4%0.7%1.8%

Guatemalan1.0%0.4%0.5%

Spaniard1.0%0.5%—

Cuban0.8%0.3%0.7%

Salvadoran0.8%0.3%0.7%

Spanish0.8%0.4%—

Colombian0.4%0.2%0.4%

German7.3%12.6%12.5%

English5.8%10.2%9.5%

Irish5.2%8.9%9.4%

Italian2.6%4.1%4.8%

American2.5%4.0%5.3%

Polish1.3%2.0%2.2%

French1.0%1.8%1.6%

Scottish1.0%1.7%1.3%

African American†9.1%3.6%9.9%

African0.8%0.3%0.5%

Nigerian0.4%—0.2%

Asian Indian0.8%0.9%1.4%

Chinese0.5%0.6%1.3%

Filipino0.5%0.7%0.9%

Vietnamese0.4%0.4%0.6%

Korean0.2%0.3%0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Median age	31.2	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	9.3%	9.5%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.3%	18.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Median household income	$68,202	$79,964	$84,427
Poverty rate	18.9%	12.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	36.7%	33.5%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Owner-occupied homes	65.2%	67.4%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	34.8%	32.6%	34.8%
Median home value	—	$394,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	—	$1,543	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	52.6%	51.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.2%	10.5%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Mean commute	26.0 min	25.4 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	6.3%	6.5%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	64.8%	66.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	1.2%	1.0%	3.2%
Works from home	20.8%	18.4%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	26.0%	25.8%	22.3%
Spanish	19.4%	19.3%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	1.4%	1.0%	2.0%
Other languages	1.0%	2.0%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Catholic	—	21.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	10.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	55.8%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AZ-3	Arizona	United States
Foreign-born residents	14.5%	13.0%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	6.7%	6.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	7.8%	6.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.6%	7.9%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	—	0.464	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083) · District housing, commuting and origins figures are constituent-county values weighted by each county’s share of the district — the Census publishes these at 119th-Congress lines and Akashic maps districts on the 2026 (cd:120) lines.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic69.0%147,521TrumpRepublican29.4%62,762OtherAll other candidates1.6%3,524

D+39.6

Lead: 84,759
Total: 213,807
vs nation: D+41.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic74.5%170,886TrumpRepublican23.9%54,723OtherAll other candidates1.7%3,832

D+50.6

Lead: 116,163
Total: 229,441
vs nation: D+46.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic71.4%120,944TrumpRepublican21.4%36,312OtherAll other candidates7.2%12,150

D+50.0

Lead: 84,632
Total: 169,406
vs nation: D+47.9

exact aggregate

ObamaDemocratic72.5%103,583RomneyRepublican25.4%36,348OtherAll other candidates2.1%3,017

D+47.0

Lead: 67,235
Total: 142,948
vs nation: D+43.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic72.8%103,580McCainRepublican25.5%36,307OtherAll other candidates1.6%2,312

D+47.3

Lead: 67,273
Total: 142,199
vs nation: D+40.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic71.6%86,968BushRepublican27.7%33,675OtherAll other candidates0.6%748

D+43.9

Lead: 53,293
Total: 121,391
vs nation: D+46.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic71.2%66,443BushRepublican25.3%23,581OtherAll other candidates3.5%3,280

D+45.9

Lead: 42,862
Total: 93,304
vs nation: D+45.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic70.1%62,731DoleRepublican20.6%18,463OtherAll other candidates9.2%8,272

D+49.5

Lead: 44,268
Total: 89,466
vs nation: D+41.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+39.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 794,6122024 5-year
Population density: 3,859 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 206 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $68,2022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 19.6%2024 5-year
Black: 10.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 62.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+89.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Congressional District 7, AZ · twin score 94.9

presidential history

Party record book

Arizona 3rd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

94.2%

5,264 votes · D+88.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 93.5%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

43.1%

20,535 votes · D+12.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 40.8%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

170,886votes

74.5% of the vote · D+50.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 147,521 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

62,762votes

29.4% of the vote · D+39.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 54,723 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

James M. Cox1920

+102.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+76.4 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +94.0 pts

Republican

Ronald Reagan1980

−23.2pts R vs U.S.

Place D+13.4 · U.S. R+9.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · −27.9 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DYassamin AnsariU.S. House · AZ-03-0.44

DRuben GallegoU.S. Senate-0.36

DMark KellyU.S. Senate-0.27

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House elections · 25 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	3	D	70.9%143,336	26.6%53,705	202,065
2022	3	D	77.0%108,599	23.0%32,475	141,074
2020	3	D	64.6%174,243	35.4%95,594	269,837
2018	3	D	63.9%114,650	36.1%64,868	179,518
2016	3	D	98.6%148,973	0.2%332	151,035
2014	3	D	55.7%58,192	44.2%46,185	104,428
2012	3	D	58.4%98,468	37.1%62,663	168,698
2010	3	R	41.1%85,610	52.2%108,689	208,071
2008	3	R	42.1%115,759	54.1%148,800	275,161
2006	3	R	38.2%72,586	59.3%112,519	189,849
2004	3	R	0.0%0	80.1%181,012	225,974
2002	3	R	30.3%47,173	67.3%104,847	155,751
2000	3	R	31.4%94,676	65.7%198,367	301,970
1998	3	R	32.7%66,979	67.3%137,618	204,623
1996	3	R	33.5%88,214	66.5%175,231	263,445
1994	3	R	29.9%61,939	70.1%145,396	207,335
1992	3	R	34.4%88,830	61.5%158,906	258,503
1990	3	R	43.4%103,018	56.6%134,279	237,297
1988	3	R	28.6%72,417	68.9%174,453	253,330
1986	3	R	0.0%0	100.0%146,462	146,462
1984	3	R	26.5%57,748	71.8%156,686	218,328
1982	3	R	36.7%58,644	63.3%101,198	159,842
1980	3	D	64.3%141,448	30.0%65,845	219,822
1978	3	D	85.0%111,850	0.0%0	131,663
1976	3	D	47.5%88,854	42.3%79,162	187,165

Arizona's 3rd anchors in west Phoenix and its inner suburbs, where a heavily Latino electorate has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 14 points, making it one of the more reliably left-leaning seats in the state's congressional map.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.2 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.

A population of 794,612, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,202 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 29.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 7

Arizona

94.9twin score

% Latino2016–2020 trajectoryMexican ancestry

Congressional District 29

Texas

89.7twin score

2012–2020 trajectory% Latino≠ elasticity

Congressional District 20

Texas

89.0twin score

% Latino2008–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arizona 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0403/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Arizona at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arizona 3rd Congressional District voted Democratic by 39.6 points (D+39.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 213,807 votes cast, 147,521 went Democratic and 62,762 went Republican.

How many people live in Arizona 3rd Congressional District?

Arizona 3rd Congressional District has a population of 794,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arizona 3rd Congressional District?

Median household income in Arizona 3rd Congressional District is $68,202 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Arizona 3rd Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona 3rd Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Median age

31.2

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

9.3%

9.5%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.3%

18.9%

17.2%

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Median household income

$68,202

$79,964

$84,427

Poverty rate

18.9%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

36.7%

33.5%

35.6%

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Owner-occupied homes

65.2%

67.4%

65.2%

Renter-occupied homes

34.8%

32.6%

34.8%

Median home value

—

$394,500

$332,700

Median gross rent (monthly)

—

$1,543

$1,413

Renters paying 30%+ of income

52.6%

51.4%

51.1%

Vacant housing units

8.2%

10.5%

10.1%

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Mean commute

26.0 min

25.4 min

26.4 min

Commutes 60 minutes or more

6.3%

6.5%

8.6%

Drives alone to work

64.8%

66.8%

68.8%

Takes public transit

1.2%

1.0%

3.2%

Works from home

20.8%

18.4%

15.1%

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

26.0%

25.8%

22.3%

Spanish

19.4%

19.3%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

1.4%

1.0%

2.0%

Other languages

1.0%

2.0%

0.8%

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Catholic

—

21.3%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

10.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

—

55.8%

51.5%

Measure

AZ-3

Arizona

United States

Foreign-born residents

14.5%

13.0%

14.1%

Naturalized citizens

6.7%

6.3%

7.4%

Not U.S. citizens

7.8%

6.7%

6.8%

Veterans (18+)

6.6%

7.9%

6.2%

Income inequality (Gini)

—

0.464

0.483

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+39.6MIT Election Lab

Population

794,6122024 5-year

Population density

3,859 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line

Land area

206 sq miTIGER/Line

Median household income

$68,2022024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

19.6%2024 5-year

Black

10.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

62.6%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+89.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Congressional District 7, AZ · twin score 94.9

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.

Year

District

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

70.9%143,336

26.6%53,705

202,065

2022

77.0%108,599

23.0%32,475

141,074

2020

64.6%174,243

35.4%95,594

269,837

2018

63.9%114,650

36.1%64,868

179,518

2016

98.6%148,973

0.2%332

151,035

2014

55.7%58,192

44.2%46,185

104,428

2012

58.4%98,468

37.1%62,663

168,698

2010

41.1%85,610

52.2%108,689

208,071

2008

42.1%115,759

54.1%148,800

275,161

2006

38.2%72,586

59.3%112,519

189,849

2004

0.0%0

80.1%181,012

225,974

2002

30.3%47,173

67.3%104,847

155,751

2000

31.4%94,676

65.7%198,367

301,970

1998

32.7%66,979

67.3%137,618

204,623

1996

33.5%88,214

66.5%175,231

263,445

1994

29.9%61,939

70.1%145,396

207,335

1992

34.4%88,830

61.5%158,906

258,503

1990

43.4%103,018

56.6%134,279

237,297

1988

28.6%72,417

68.9%174,453

253,330

1986

0.0%0

100.0%146,462

146,462

1984

26.5%57,748

71.8%156,686

218,328

1982

36.7%58,644

63.3%101,198

159,842

1980

64.3%141,448

30.0%65,845

219,822

1978

85.0%111,850

0.0%0

131,663

1976

47.5%88,854

42.3%79,162

187,165

Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?

How many people live in Arizona 3rd Congressional District?

Arizona 3rd Congressional District has a population of 794,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arizona 3rd Congressional District?

Median household income in Arizona 3rd Congressional District is $68,202 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Arizona 3rd Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona 3rd Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

District research tools

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

District research tools

Frequently asked questions