Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Arizona 3rd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+32.72012D+47.82016D+50.02020D+50.72024D+39.8
full record · 20082024
D+39.8
2024
median income$68,202U.S. $80,734 · AZ $79,964
median age31.2U.S. 39.1 · AZ 39.3
poverty rate18.9%U.S. 12.5% · AZ 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)36.7%U.S. 35.6% · AZ 33.5%
non-english26.0%U.S. 22.3% · AZ 25.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican52.8%
Puerto Rican1.4%
Guatemalan1.0%
Navajo11.4%
Aztec3.8%
German7.3%
English5.8%
Irish5.2%
African American9.1%
African0.8%
Nigerian0.4%
Asian Indian0.8%
Chinese0.5%
Filipino0.5%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Maricopa County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Arizona 3rd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionArizona 3rd Congressional DistrictHarrisD+39.8
Arizona 3rd Congressional District premium atlas map: Harris D+39.8, 123 precincts, 2 city labels.
2024
123 precincts by 2024 margin · 2 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +39.8% in 2024.+39.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+32.7%
2012+47.8%
2016+50.0%
2020+50.7%
2024+39.8%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DYassamin AnsariU.S. House · AZ-03-0.44
DRuben GallegoU.S. Senate-0.36
DMark KellyU.S. Senate-0.27

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20243D
70.9%143,336
26.6%53,705
202,065
20223D
77.0%108,599
23.0%32,475
141,074
20203D
64.6%174,243
35.4%95,594
269,837
20183D
63.9%114,650
36.1%64,868
179,518
20163D
98.6%148,973
0.2%332
151,035
20143D
55.7%58,192
44.2%46,185
104,428
20123D
58.4%98,468
37.1%62,663
168,698
20103R
41.1%85,610
52.2%108,689
208,071
20083R
42.1%115,759
54.1%148,800
275,161
20063R
38.2%72,586
59.3%112,519
189,849
20043R
0.0%0
80.1%181,012
225,974
20023R
30.3%47,173
67.3%104,847
155,751
20003R
31.4%94,676
65.7%198,367
301,970
19983R
32.7%66,979
67.3%137,618
204,623
19963R
33.5%88,214
66.5%175,231
263,445
19943R
29.9%61,939
70.1%145,396
207,335
19923R
34.4%88,830
61.5%158,906
258,503
19903R
43.4%103,018
56.6%134,279
237,297
19883R
28.6%72,417
68.9%174,453
253,330
19863R
0.0%0
100.0%146,462
146,462
19843R
26.5%57,748
71.8%156,686
218,328
19823R
36.7%58,644
63.3%101,198
159,842
19803D
64.3%141,448
30.0%65,845
219,822
19783D
85.0%111,850
0.0%0
131,663
19763D
47.5%88,854
42.3%79,162
187,165

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
50.1%1,676,335
47.7%1,595,761
3,347,964
2022D
51.4%1,322,027
46.5%1,196,328
2,572,294
2020D
51.2%1,716,634
48.8%1,638,060
3,355,307
2018D
50.0%1,191,100
47.6%1,135,200
2,383,742
2016R
40.8%1,031,245
53.8%1,359,761
2,529,768
2012R
46.2%1,036,542
49.2%1,104,457
2,243,108
2010R
34.8%592,011
59.1%1,005,615
1,702,326
2006R
43.5%664,141
53.3%814,398
1,526,770
2004R
20.6%404,507
76.7%1,505,372
1,961,677
2000R
0.0%0
79.3%1,108,196
1,397,076
1998R
27.2%275,224
68.8%696,577
1,013,093
1994R
39.5%442,510
53.7%600,999
1,119,002
1992R
31.6%436,321
55.8%771,395
1,382,025
1988D
56.7%660,403
41.1%478,060
1,164,507
1986R
39.5%340,965
60.5%521,850
862,815
1982D
56.9%411,970
40.3%291,749
723,819
1980R
48.4%422,972
49.5%432,371
874,225
1976D
54.0%400,334
43.3%321,236
741,210

Arizona's 3rd anchors in west Phoenix and its inner suburbs, where a heavily Latino electorate has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 14 points, making it one of the more reliably left-leaning seats in the state's congressional map.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.7 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.8 points.

A population of 794,612, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,202 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 29.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Arizona 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0403/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 3rd Congressional District voted Democratic by 39.8 points (D+39.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 213,221 votes cast, 147,521 went Democratic and 62,762 went Republican.
How many people live in Arizona 3rd Congressional District?
Arizona 3rd Congressional District has a population of 794,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 3rd Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 3rd Congressional District is $68,202 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 3rd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Arizona 3rd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.