Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Arizona 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+7.92012R+9.22016R+10.22020R+7.92024R+15.0
full record · 2008 → 2024
R+15.0
2024
median income$67,729U.S. $80,734 · AZ $79,964
median age42.3U.S. 39.1 · AZ 39.3
poverty rate16.6%U.S. 12.5% · AZ 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.0%U.S. 35.6% · AZ 33.5%
non-english20.9%U.S. 22.3% · AZ 25.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German14.5%
English12.3%
Irish10.5%
Navajo19.5%
Hopi1.4%
White Mountain Apache1.3%
Mexican14.0%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Spanish0.4%
African American†1.7%
African0.2%
Filipino0.4%
Chinese0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Gila County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Arizona 2nd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionArizona 2nd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+15.0
Arizona 2nd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+15.0, 285 precincts, 10 city labels.
2024
285 precincts by 2024 margin · 10 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −15.0% in 2024.−15.0%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−7.9%
2012−9.2%
2016−10.2%
2020−7.9%
2024−15.0%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
REli CraneU.S. House · AZ-02+0.75
DRuben GallegoU.S. Senate-0.36
DMark KellyU.S. Senate-0.27

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 18 Senate races

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20242R
45.5%184,985
54.5%221,413
406,431
20222R
46.1%149,151
53.9%174,169
323,396
20202D
55.1%209,945
44.9%170,975
381,054
20182D
54.7%161,000
45.2%133,083
294,152
20162R
43.0%135,873
57.0%179,806
315,679
20142R
49.9%109,543
50.0%109,704
219,351
20122D
50.4%147,338
49.6%144,884
292,279
20102R
31.1%82,891
64.9%173,173
266,894
20082R
37.2%125,611
59.4%200,914
338,023
20062R
38.9%89,671
58.6%135,150
230,560
20042R
38.5%107,406
59.2%165,260
279,303
20022R
36.5%61,217
59.9%100,359
167,502
20002D
68.5%84,034
26.9%32,990
122,605
19982D
67.8%57,178
28.0%23,628
84,363
19962D
65.0%81,982
30.8%38,786
126,101
19942D
62.3%62,589
32.7%32,797
100,446
19922D
66.0%90,693
30.0%41,257
137,378
19902D
65.9%76,549
34.1%39,586
116,179
19882D
73.3%99,895
26.7%36,309
136,204
19862D
73.3%77,239
23.3%24,522
105,407
19842D
87.7%106,332
0.0%0
121,215
19822D
70.9%73,468
27.4%28,407
103,674
19802D
58.1%127,736
40.4%88,653
219,686
19782D
52.5%67,878
45.4%58,697
129,197
19762D
58.2%106,054
39.4%71,765
182,128

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
50.1%1,676,335
47.7%1,595,761
3,347,964
2022D
51.4%1,322,027
46.5%1,196,328
2,572,294
2020D
51.2%1,716,634
48.8%1,638,060
3,355,307
2018D
50.0%1,191,100
47.6%1,135,200
2,383,742
2016R
40.8%1,031,245
53.8%1,359,761
2,529,768
2012R
46.2%1,036,542
49.2%1,104,457
2,243,108
2010R
34.8%592,011
59.1%1,005,615
1,702,326
2006R
43.5%664,141
53.3%814,398
1,526,770
2004R
20.6%404,507
76.7%1,505,372
1,961,677
2000R
0.0%0
79.3%1,108,196
1,397,076
1998R
27.2%275,224
68.8%696,577
1,013,093
1994R
39.5%442,510
53.7%600,999
1,119,002
1992R
31.6%436,321
55.8%771,395
1,382,025
1988D
56.7%660,403
41.1%478,060
1,164,507
1986R
39.5%340,965
60.5%521,850
862,815
1982D
56.9%411,970
40.3%291,749
723,819
1980R
48.4%422,972
49.5%432,371
874,225
1976D
54.0%400,334
43.3%321,236
741,210

Arizona's 2nd covers metro Tucson and stretches into surrounding Pima County, where a large university population and a growing Latino electorate have pushed presidential margins consistently leftward over the past three cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 15.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.0 points.

A population of 794,590, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,729 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 5.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 2
Nevada
81.9twin score
% unaffiliated2012–2024 trajectory
Congressional District 5
California
78.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% unaffiliatedcollege share≠ median income
Congressional District 9
Arizona
77.4twin score
population scale2008–2024 trajectory% Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arizona 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0402/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Arizona 2nd Congressional District

counties it covers8
Apache CountyCoconino CountyGila CountyGraham CountyMohave CountyNavajo CountyPinal CountyYavapai County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 15.0 points (R+15.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 416,468 votes cast, 174,966 went Democratic and 237,300 went Republican.
How many people live in Arizona 2nd Congressional District?
Arizona 2nd Congressional District has a population of 794,590 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 2nd Congressional District is $67,729 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Arizona 2nd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.