Arizona 2nd Congressional District (AZ) — Elections 1876–2024

Arizona 2nd Congressional District, Arizona: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+17%. Democratic peak: D+45 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+17MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 978,0492024 5-year
Median household income: $70,2092024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 61.3%2024 5-year
Black: 2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 19.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+45 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30 in 1980MIT Election Lab

CRANE, EliCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: KIRKPATRICK, Ann (2021–2023), KIRKPATRICK, Ann (2019–2021), MCSALLY, Martha (2017–2019), MCSALLY, Martha (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

9 counties · 2 D · 7 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−16.9%	201,513	284,719	491,953
2020	R	−10.2%	211,148	260,253	480,302
2016	R	−12.4%	148,601	194,443	371,160
2012	R	−11.6%	141,685	179,830	328,799
2008	R	−10.0%	144,000	176,599	325,088
2004	R	−8.5%	126,878	150,601	280,217
2000	R	−5.4%	96,352	107,916	215,330
1996	D	+7.6%	95,395	80,203	198,838
1992	D	+5.8%	82,100	70,274	204,159
1988	R	−12.1%	67,581	86,583	157,059
1984	R	−23.3%	53,627	86,784	142,379
1980	R	−29.9%	36,942	73,147	121,026
1976	R	−3.4%	47,199	50,601	101,520
1972	R	−27.6%	27,583	50,503	82,956
1968	R	−15.1%	23,156	32,839	64,095
1964	D	+4.5%	32,939	30,072	63,100
1960	R	−6.4%	24,003	27,264	51,311
1956	R	−20.6%	17,002	25,859	42,894
1952	R	−12.5%	18,920	24,316	43,236
1948	D	+15.8%	19,176	13,860	33,582
1944	D	+21.9%	18,492	11,819	30,415
1940	D	+30.3%	24,284	12,951	37,397
1936	D	+44.7%	22,632	8,329	32,005
1932	D	+40.0%	20,858	8,701	30,386
1928	R	−9.2%	11,520	13,855	25,409
1924	R	−7.8%	7,142	8,854	21,887
1920	R	−12.6%	8,921	11,494	20,415
1916	D	+30.0%	11,113	5,686	18,060
1912	O	+24.3%	2,969	1,213	7,227
1908	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	50.1%	47.7%	3,347,964
2022	D	51.4%	46.5%	2,572,294
2020	D	51.2%	48.8%	3,355,307
2018	D	50.0%	47.6%	2,384,308
2016	R	40.7%	53.7%	2,530,730
2012	R	46.2%	49.2%	2,243,422
2010	R	34.7%	58.9%	1,708,484
2006	R	43.5%	53.3%	1,526,782
2004	R	20.6%	76.7%	1,961,677
2000	R	0.0%	79.3%	1,397,076
1998	R	27.2%	68.7%	1,013,280
1994	R	39.5%	53.7%	1,119,060
1992	R	31.6%	55.8%	1,382,051
1988	D	56.7%	41.1%	1,164,539
1986	R	39.5%	60.5%	862,921
1982	D	56.9%	40.3%	723,885
1980	R	48.4%	49.5%	874,238
1976	D	54.0%	43.3%	741,210

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

13.8%

English

11.7%

Irish

10.0%

American

3.9%

Italian

3.6%

Scottish

1.8%

French

1.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 43.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.1%

3.7%

75–84

3.9%

6.6%

65–74

7.3%

6.3%

55–64

6.8%

5.4%

45–54

5.2%

6.0%

35–44

5.4%

6.4%

25–34

5.7%

4.7%

18–24

4.5%

7.8%

5–17

7.6%

2.5%

2.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$70,209

Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 2$70,209

Arizona$79,964

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

15.5%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1819.4%

Working age (18–64)14.6%

Seniors (65+)12.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

79.1%

speak English only

Spanish9.9%

Other languages8.8%

Other Indo-European1.2%

Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

16.4%

Other Christian

16.3%

Mainline Protestant

1.7%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Non-Christian

1.6%

Baptist

1.4%

Methodist

0.8%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona's 2nd covers metro Tucson and stretches into surrounding Pima County, where a large university population and a growing Latino electorate have pushed presidential margins consistently leftward over the past three cycles.

The Republican margin in Arizona 2nd Congressional District reached its widest at thirty points in 1980. The margin in 2024 was seventeen points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $70,209, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 978,049 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 2, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0402/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Arizona vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 2, Arizona voted Republican by 16.9 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 491,953 votes cast, 201,513 went Democratic and 284,719 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 2, Arizona's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Arizona as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 19 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 2, Arizona last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Arizona voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Congressional District 2, Arizona?

Congressional District 2, Arizona has a population of 978,049 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Arizona?

Median household income in Congressional District 2, Arizona is $70,209 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Arizona?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Arizona 2nd Congressional District has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions