akashic
1876–2024
Gila County, Arizona
Gila County·Arizona

Gila County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A copper-country county where Republican margins exceed state trends by 20+ points

18762024·38 elections
Gila County, Arizona · Marine 69-71 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+38
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
53,795
2024 ACS
Most similar
Washington Parish
LA · similarity 1.00
39 precincts · 27,698 votes cast
Trump · R+38
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−37.5%
8,50418,90127,698
2020R
−34.0%
8,94318,37727,735
2016R
−31.9%
7,00314,18222,515
2012R
−26.7%
7,69713,45521,595
2008R
−27.8%
7,88414,09522,333
2004R
−19.3%
8,31412,34320,877
2000R
−8.2%
7,7009,15817,736
1996D
+12.5%
8,5776,40717,411
1992D
+9.7%
7,5715,78118,478
1988R
−4.7%
7,1477,86115,299
1984R
−13.3%
6,5098,54315,249
1980R
−17.4%
5,0687,40513,399
1976D
+10.9%
6,4405,13611,962
1972R
−13.3%
4,2955,67310,372
1968D
+12.6%
4,8313,6109,706
1964D
+29.5%
6,8213,71310,537
1960D
+15.9%
5,2513,8069,065
1956R
−2.5%
4,0264,2348,260
1952D
+13.3%
4,9283,7708,698
1948D
+33.7%
4,7802,3297,265
1944D
+36.0%
4,8182,2607,107
1940D
+37.2%
5,7522,6248,407
1936D
+50.7%
4,8591,5266,568
1932D
+41.1%
4,6251,8656,718
1928R
−1.4%
3,3413,4366,790
1924D
+0.4%
2,2182,1936,348
1920R
−6.7%
2,8943,3116,205
1916D
+38.2%
3,6861,4955,733
1912D
+27.8%
7792102,045
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.0%
Mainline Protestant
4.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Baptist
1.2%
Methodist
0.4%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Gila County's economy has long centered on mining and ranching in the Mogollon Rim highlands, and its rural, majority-Hispanic and Native American precincts nonetheless produce some of Arizona's widest Republican presidential margins.

The Democratic margin in Gila County peaked at fifty-one points in 1936. By 2000 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Gila County's median household income of $61,986 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington Parish and Grant County.