HarrisDemocratic30.8%8,504TrumpRepublican68.4%18,901OliverLibertarian0.5%138
R+37.6- Lead
- 10,397
- Total
- 27,648
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Turnout
- 64.8%
Akashiccounty
Gila County, AZ
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.8% of 43,145 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.2%8,943TrumpRepublican66.3%18,377JorgensenLibertarian1.2%342
R+34.0- Lead
- 9,434
- Total
- 27,735
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- 66.3%
ClintonDemocratic31.1%7,003TrumpRepublican63.0%14,182OtherAll other candidates5.9%1,330
R+31.9- Lead
- 7,179
- Total
- 22,515
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- 56.9%
ObamaDemocratic35.6%7,697RomneyRepublican62.3%13,455JohnsonLibertarian1.4%310
R+26.7- Lead
- 5,758
- Total
- 21,595
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.3%7,884McCainRepublican63.1%14,095OtherAll other candidates1.6%354
R+27.8- Lead
- 6,211
- Total
- 22,333
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.8%8,314BushRepublican59.1%12,343OtherAll other candidates1.1%220
R+19.3- Lead
- 4,029
- Total
- 20,877
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.4%7,700BushRepublican51.6%9,158NaderGreen2.8%497
R+8.2- Lead
- 1,458
- Total
- 17,736
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.3%8,577DoleRepublican36.8%6,407PerotReform12.7%2,211
D+12.5- Lead
- 2,170
- Total
- 17,411
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,7952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,9862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- La Paz County, AZ · twin score 71.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.8%27,979 participants ÷ 43,145 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.5%–55.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,483 | 41,289 | 56.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,825 | 41,516 | 50.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 28,057 | 42,329 | 66.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,847 | 42,340 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 27,979 | 43,145 | 64.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
78 precincts · 27,698 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Star ValleyStar Valley | 519 | 1,848 | 20 | 2,387 | 21.7% | 77.4% | R+55.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Payson #3Payson #3 | 637 | 1,684 | 24 | 2,345 | 27.2% | 71.8% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Payson #2Payson #2 | 413 | 1,288 | 20 | 1,721 | 24.0% | 74.8% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -Pine-Strawberry WestPine-Strawberry West | 447 | 1,159 | 18 | 1,624 | 27.5% | 71.4% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -Payson #5Payson #5 | 376 | 1,182 | 15 | 1,573 | 23.9% | 75.1% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -San CarlosSan Carlos | 955 | 329 | 6 | 1,290 | 74.0% | 25.5% | D+48.5 |
| Precinct -Payson #8Payson #8 | 335 | 896 | 11 | 1,242 | 27.0% | 72.1% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -Tonto BasinTonto Basin | 208 | 1,001 | 4 | 1,213 | 17.1% | 82.5% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -Payson #1Payson #1 | 300 | 895 | 15 | 1,210 | 24.8% | 74.0% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -Payson #4Payson #4 | 290 | 721 | 15 | 1,026 | 28.3% | 70.3% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -Payson #6Payson #6 | 240 | 749 | 13 | 1,002 | 24.0% | 74.8% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -Payson #7Payson #7 | 208 | 577 | 9 | 794 | 26.2% | 72.7% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -East GlobeEast Globe | 242 | 479 | 10 | 731 | 33.1% | 65.5% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -Globe #6Globe #6 | 230 | 435 | 14 | 679 | 33.9% | 64.1% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -Zane GreyZane Grey | 144 | 438 | 7 | 589 | 24.4% | 74.4% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -Pine-Strawberry EastPine-Strawberry East | 160 | 415 | 4 | 579 | 27.6% | 71.7% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -Claypool #1Claypool #1 | 147 | 411 | 6 | 564 | 26.1% | 72.9% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -YoungYoung | 79 | 476 | 1 | 556 | 14.2% | 85.6% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -Globe #11Globe #11 | 171 | 344 | 5 | 520 | 32.9% | 66.2% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Claypool #2Claypool #2 | 187 | 322 | 9 | 518 | 36.1% | 62.2% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -Globe #1Globe #1 | 134 | 376 | 1 | 511 | 26.2% | 73.6% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -GiselaGisela | 113 | 367 | 6 | 486 | 23.3% | 75.5% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -Globe #4Globe #4 | 188 | 252 | 10 | 450 | 41.8% | 56.0% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -Canyon DayCanyon Day | 358 | 75 | 7 | 440 | 81.4% | 17.0% | D+64.3 |
| Precinct -Copper BasinCopper Basin | 268 | 155 | 3 | 426 | 62.9% | 36.4% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -Globe #8Globe #8 | 167 | 233 | 3 | 403 | 41.4% | 57.8% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -Globe #7Globe #7 | 109 | 220 | 6 | 335 | 32.5% | 65.7% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Central HeightsCentral Heights | 100 | 230 | 2 | 332 | 30.1% | 69.3% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -Miami #1Miami #1 | 137 | 189 | 5 | 331 | 41.4% | 57.1% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -Miami #3Miami #3 | 149 | 173 | 5 | 327 | 45.6% | 52.9% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -Claypool #3Claypool #3 | 141 | 163 | 5 | 309 | 45.6% | 52.8% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Whispering PinesWhispering Pines | 50 | 175 | 4 | 229 | 21.8% | 76.4% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -RooseveltRoosevelt | 47 | 170 | 0 | 217 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -Pinal CreekPinal Creek | 80 | 130 | 3 | 213 | 37.6% | 61.0% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -Globe #2Globe #2 | 70 | 106 | 2 | 178 | 39.3% | 59.6% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -WheatfieldsWheatfields | 33 | 84 | 1 | 118 | 28.0% | 71.2% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -Sierra AnchaSierra Ancha | 19 | 98 | 0 | 117 | 16.2% | 83.8% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -Globe #3Globe #3 | 37 | 51 | 3 | 91 | 40.7% | 56.0% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -CarrizoCarrizo | 16 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 72.7% | 22.7% | D+50.0 |
| Canyon Day Voting District04_0400711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carrizo Voting District04_0400740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Central Heights Voting District04_0400716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Christmas Voting District04_0400722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claypool #1 Voting District04_0400717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claypool #2 Voting District04_0400718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claypool #3 Voting District04_0400715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Globe Voting District04_0400707 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gisela Voting District04_0400737 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #1 Voting District04_0400701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #11 Voting District04_0400712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #2 Voting District04_0400702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #3 Voting District04_0400703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #4 Voting District04_0400704 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #5 Voting District04_0400705 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #6 Voting District04_0400706 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #7 Voting District04_0400708 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Globe #8 Voting District04_0400709 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayden Voting District04_0400720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Miami #1 Voting District04_0400713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Miami #3 Voting District04_0400714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #1 Voting District04_0400726 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #2 Voting District04_0400727 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #3 Voting District04_0400728 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #4 Voting District04_0400729 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #5 Voting District04_0400733 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #6 Voting District04_0400730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #7 Voting District04_0400731 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Payson #8 Voting District04_0400732 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine-Strawberry Voting District04_0400739 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt Voting District04_0400723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| San Carlos Voting District04_0400710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sierra Ancha Voting District04_0400724 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Star Valley Voting District04_0400734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tonto Basin Voting District04_0400725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whispering Pines Voting District04_0400735 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winkelman Voting District04_0400721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Young Voting District04_0400738 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zane Grey Voting District04_0400736 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +27.8% |
| 1916 | +38.2% |
| 1920 | −6.7% |
| 1924 | +0.4% |
| 1928 | −1.4% |
| 1932 | +41.1% |
| 1936 | +50.7% |
| 1940 | +37.2% |
| 1944 | +36.0% |
| 1948 | +33.7% |
| 1952 | +13.3% |
| 1956 | −2.5% |
| 1960 | +15.9% |
| 1964 | +29.5% |
| 1968 | +12.6% |
| 1972 | −13.3% |
| 1976 | +10.9% |
| 1980 | −17.4% |
| 1984 | −13.3% |
| 1988 | −4.7% |
| 1992 | +9.7% |
| 1996 | +12.5% |
| 2000 | −8.2% |
| 2004 | −19.3% |
| 2008 | −27.8% |
| 2012 | −26.7% |
| 2016 | −31.9% |
| 2020 | −34.0% |
| 2024 | −37.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 1 Senate special · 11 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020Special · Class III | R | 35.0%Mark Kelly9,648 | 64.9%Martha McSally17,889 | 27,548 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+27.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+37.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Democratic.
34,258 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+136 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +4,597 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,345 in average income, against $65,556 for residents who stayed — 6% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.7 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Gila County, AZ itself (R+37.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Maricopa County, AZ627R+3.5
- Pinal County, AZ117R+22.1
- Pima County, AZ48D+15.2
- Navajo County, AZ35R+17.2
- Yavapai County, AZ33R+33.9
- Coconino County, AZ30D+19.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Maricopa County, AZ476
- Pinal County, AZ110
- Navajo County, AZ53
- Yavapai County, AZ40
- Pima County, AZ38
- Graham County, AZ23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −110 |
| 2012 | −361 |
| 2013 | +52 |
| 2014 | +134 |
| 2015 | +89 |
| 2016 | +588 |
| 2017 | +417 |
| 2018 | +456 |
| 2019 | +504 |
| 2021 | +764 |
| 2022 | +892 |
| 2023 | +572 |
| 2024 | +464 |
| 2025 | +136 |
Gila County's economy has long centered on mining and ranching in the Mogollon Rim highlands, and its rural, majority-Hispanic and Native American precincts nonetheless produce some of Arizona's widest Republican presidential margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 37.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.6 points.
A population of 53,795, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,986 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of La Paz County and Mohave County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
La Paz County
Arizona
71.0twin score
% unaffiliated2008 margin% Evangelical≠ median age
Mohave County
Arizona
67.3twin score
median age% unaffiliated2008 margin≠ Scottish ancestry
Yavapai County
Arizona
65.3twin score
median ageelasticity% Evangelical≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gila County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Gila County
Arizona at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Gila County, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gila County, Arizona voted Republican by 37.6 points (R+37.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 27,648 votes cast, 8,504 went Democratic and 18,901 went Republican.
When did Gila County, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gila County, Arizona voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Gila County, Arizona?
Gila County, Arizona has a population of 53,795 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gila County, Arizona?
Median household income in Gila County, Arizona is $61,986 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Gila County, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gila County, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.