HarrisDemocratic32.6%48,717TrumpRepublican66.5%99,346OliverLibertarian0.5%782
R+33.9- Lead
- 50,629
- Total
- 149,402
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- 75.3%
Akashiccounty
Yavapai County, AZ
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1912–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.3% of 200,290 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic34.5%49,602TrumpRepublican63.7%91,527JorgensenLibertarian1.5%2,092
R+29.2- Lead
- 41,925
- Total
- 143,640
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- 76.7%
ClintonDemocratic31.1%35,590TrumpRepublican62.3%71,330OtherAll other candidates6.6%7,530
R+31.2- Lead
- 35,740
- Total
- 114,450
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- 67.0%
ObamaDemocratic33.7%33,918RomneyRepublican64.0%64,468JohnsonLibertarian1.4%1,450
R+30.3- Lead
- 30,550
- Total
- 100,667
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic37.0%36,889McCainRepublican61.4%61,192OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,567
R+24.4- Lead
- 24,303
- Total
- 99,648
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.8%33,127BushRepublican61.0%53,468OtherAll other candidates1.1%988
R+23.2- Lead
- 20,341
- Total
- 87,583
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.3%24,063BushRepublican58.8%40,144NaderGreen4.0%2,733
R+23.6- Lead
- 16,081
- Total
- 68,228
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.6%21,801DoleRepublican50.3%29,921PerotReform11.2%6,649
R+13.6- Lead
- 8,120
- Total
- 59,495
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 245,4802024 5-year
- Population density
- 30 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8,123 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,6132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.4 in 1980MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sumter County, FL · twin score 86.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.3%150,885 participants ÷ 200,290 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.3%–66.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 116,053 | 173,099 | 67.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 109,551 | 180,363 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 144,911 | 188,824 | 76.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 124,871 | 192,907 | 64.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 150,885 | 200,290 | 75.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Yavapai County, AZ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
69.2%
6,326 votes · D+40.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 66.8%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
70.9%
24,802 votes · R+43.4
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 68.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
49,602votes
34.5% of the vote · R+29.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 48,717 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
99,346votes
66.5% of the vote · R+33.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 91,527 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+22.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.5 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +20.5 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+37.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · +35.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+34.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+33.9
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.2 points.
172,971 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3,278 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +57,424 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $89,659 in average income, against $78,267 for residents who stayed — 15% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.8 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than Yavapai County, AZ itself (R+33.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Maricopa County, AZ2,297R+3.5
- Coconino County, AZ427D+19.9
- Los Angeles County, CA347D+32.9
- San Diego County, CA271D+16.8
- Orange County, CA229D+2.7
- Riverside County, CA224R+1.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Maricopa County, AZ1,817
- Coconino County, AZ344
- Pima County, AZ254
- Pinal County, AZ143
- Clark County, NV106
- Los Angeles County, CA98
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +638 |
| 2012 | +1,721 |
| 2013 | +3,182 |
| 2014 | +4,099 |
| 2015 | +3,905 |
| 2016 | +4,777 |
| 2017 | +4,747 |
| 2018 | +5,154 |
| 2019 | +4,636 |
| 2021 | +7,910 |
| 2022 | +5,607 |
| 2023 | +4,342 |
| 2024 | +3,428 |
| 2025 | +3,278 |
Yavapai's mix of rural ranch land, retirement communities, and small cities like Prescott has produced Republican presidential margins exceeding 30 points in each of the last several cycles, making it a consistent anchor of Arizona's conservative interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.4 points in 1980. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.9 points.
A population of 245,480, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,613 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sumter County and Brunswick County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sumter County
Florida
86.5twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scale% Evangelical≠ median age
Brunswick County
North Carolina
85.4twin score
median age12-yr trendpopulation scale
Indian River County
Florida
81.0twin score
median age12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Yavapai County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Arizona at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Yavapai County, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Yavapai County, Arizona voted Republican by 33.9 points (R+33.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 149,402 votes cast, 48,717 went Democratic and 99,346 went Republican.
When did Yavapai County, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Yavapai County, Arizona voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Yavapai County, Arizona?
Yavapai County, Arizona has a population of 245,480 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Yavapai County, Arizona?
Median household income in Yavapai County, Arizona is $69,613 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Yavapai County, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Yavapai County, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.