HarrisDemocratic44.9%1,211,154TrumpRepublican54.0%1,458,398SteinIndependent0.5%14,225
R+9.2- Lead
- 247,244
- Total
- 2,698,314
- vs nation
- R+7.7
Akashicmedia market
Phoenix (Prescott)
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic47.4%1,274,789TrumpRepublican50.7%1,364,201OtherAll other candidates1.9%50,638
R+3.3- Lead
- 89,412
- Total
- 2,689,628
- vs nation
- R+7.8
ClintonDemocratic42.5%865,678TrumpRepublican50.1%1,019,579OtherAll other candidates7.4%150,641
R+7.6- Lead
- 153,901
- Total
- 2,035,898
- vs nation
- R+9.6
ObamaDemocratic42.4%760,743RomneyRepublican55.4%993,541OtherAll other candidates2.1%38,000
R+13.0- Lead
- 232,798
- Total
- 1,792,284
- vs nation
- R+16.8
ObamaDemocratic43.3%766,878McCainRepublican55.4%981,033OtherAll other candidates1.3%22,136
R+12.1- Lead
- 214,155
- Total
- 1,770,047
- vs nation
- R+19.4
KerryDemocratic42.1%644,283BushRepublican57.0%871,393OtherAll other candidates0.9%13,923
R+14.8- Lead
- 227,110
- Total
- 1,529,599
- vs nation
- R+12.4
GoreDemocratic42.7%493,980BushRepublican53.1%613,894OtherAll other candidates4.2%48,357
R+10.4- Lead
- 119,914
- Total
- 1,156,231
- vs nation
- R+10.9
ClintonDemocratic44.8%471,621DoleRepublican45.9%483,557OtherAll other candidates9.3%98,230
R+1.1- Lead
- 11,936
- Total
- 1,053,408
- vs nation
- R+9.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,866,7742024 5-year
- Population density
- 73 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 80,309 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,9832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.6 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Houston, TX · twin score 69.8
presidential history
Party record book
Phoenix (Prescott) · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
69.5%
59,512 votes · D+42.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 67.4%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
69.8%
517,840 votes · R+40.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 67.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,274,789votes
47.4% of the vote · R+3.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,211,154 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,458,398votes
54.0% of the vote · R+9.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,364,201 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+21.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.3 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +19.8 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
+28.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.9 · U.S. R+9.7
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · +27.1 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+10.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+9.2
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.7 points.
3,382,001 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+29,238 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +678,514 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +6,839 |
| 2012 | +36,721 |
| 2013 | +33,075 |
| 2014 | +45,300 |
| 2015 | +51,942 |
| 2016 | +61,758 |
| 2017 | +58,209 |
| 2018 | +74,976 |
| 2019 | +82,823 |
| 2021 | +76,895 |
| 2022 | +60,668 |
| 2023 | +30,229 |
| 2024 | +29,841 |
| 2025 | +29,238 |
The Prescott-centered market draws heavily from retirement in-migration across Yavapai County, producing an older, predominantly white electorate that has consistently delivered lopsided margins in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.6 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.2 points.
A population of 5,866,774, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,983 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Houston and Tucson (Sierra Vista).
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Houston
Texas
69.8twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scale% Latino≠ % Evangelical
Tucson (Sierra Vista)
Arizona
69.8twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% Evangelical≠ 2004 margin
Austin
Texas
68.1twin score
12-yr trend% Latinopopulation scale≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/753/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona voted Republican by 9.2 points (R+9.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,698,314 votes cast, 1,211,154 went Democratic and 1,458,398 went Republican.
When did Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona has a population of 5,866,774 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Median household income in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona is $84,983 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.