Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona
Akashic| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 54.1% | 1,458,398 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 44.9% | 1,211,154 |
| Jill SteinGreen | 1.1% | 28,333 |
County-level results (10 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Coconino County, AZ | Democratic | D+19.9 |
| Gila County, AZ | Republican | R+37.6 |
| Graham County, AZ | Republican | R+48.1 |
| Greenlee County, AZ | Republican | R+40.9 |
| La Paz County, AZ | Republican | R+44.2 |
| Maricopa County, AZ | Republican | R+3.5 |
| Mohave County, AZ | Republican | R+55.8 |
| Navajo County, AZ | Republican | R+17.2 |
| Pinal County, AZ | Republican | R+22.1 |
| Yavapai County, AZ | Republican | R+33.9 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.9%Harris1,211,154 | 54.1%Trump1,458,398 | 1.1%Stein28,333 | 2,697,885 | ||
| R | 47.4%Biden1,274,789 | 50.7%Trump1,364,201 | 1.9%Jorgensen50,638 | 2,689,628 | ||
| R | 42.5%Clinton865,678 | 50.1%Trump1,019,579 | 7.4%Johnson150,641 | 2,035,898 | ||
| R | 42.4%Obama760,743 | 55.4%Romney993,541 | 2.1%Johnson38,000 | 1,792,284 | ||
| R | 43.3%Obama766,878 | 55.4%McCain981,033 | 1.3%Barr22,136 | 1,770,047 | ||
| R | 42.1%Kerry644,283 | 57.0%Bush871,393 | 0.9%Badnarik13,923 | 1,529,599 | ||
| R | 42.7%Gore493,980 | 53.1%Bush613,894 | 4.2%Nader48,357 | 1,156,231 | ||
| R | 44.8%Clinton471,621 | 45.9%Dole483,557 | 9.3%Perot98,230 | 1,053,408 | ||
| R | 33.7%Clinton376,683 | 39.7%Bush443,584 | 26.6%Perot297,722 | 1,117,989 | ||
| R | 35.5%Dukakis307,229 | 63.2%Bush546,907 | 1.3%Paul11,500 | 865,636 | ||
| R | 29.2%Mondale216,400 | 69.8%Reagan517,840 | 1.0%Bergland7,788 | 742,028 | ||
| R | 26.0%Carter163,377 | 64.0%Reagan401,224 | 10.0%Anderson62,762 | 627,363 | ||
| R | 37.1%Carter198,261 | 59.2%Ford316,374 | 3.8%McCarthy20,195 | 534,830 | ||
| R | 28.2%McGovern126,528 | 67.6%Nixon302,825 | 4.2%Schmitz18,808 | 448,161 | ||
| R | 32.9%Humphrey115,136 | 56.8%Nixon198,973 | 10.3%Wallace35,986 | 350,095 | ||
| R | 47.7%Johnson162,734 | 52.2%Goldwater178,036 | 0.1%Hass263 | 341,033 | ||
| R | 42.5%Kennedy117,222 | 57.5%Nixon158,555 | 0.1%Byrd194 | 275,971 | ||
| R | 38.4%Stevenson76,128 | 61.5%Eisenhower122,138 | 0.1%Andrews234 | 198,500 | ||
| R | 41.5%Stevenson74,649 | 58.5%Eisenhower105,190 | 0.0% | 179,839 | ||
| D | 53.7%Truman63,974 | 44.0%Dewey52,423 | 2.3%Thurmond2,735 | 119,132 | ||
| D | 58.4%Roosevelt54,984 | 41.2%Dewey38,780 | 0.4%Thomas335 | 94,099 | ||
| D | 62.9%Roosevelt64,841 | 36.5%Willkie37,641 | 0.6%Thomas600 | 103,082 | ||
| D | 69.5%Roosevelt59,512 | 26.8%Landon22,906 | 3.7%Lemke3,200 | 85,618 | ||
| D | 67.4%Roosevelt54,065 | 30.6%Hoover24,567 | 1.9%Thomas1,552 | 80,184 | ||
| R | 41.8%Smith25,957 | 58.0%Hoover36,038 | 0.2%Thomas94 | 62,089 | ||
| R | 36.3%Davis18,073 | 41.7%Coolidge20,766 | 21.9%La Follette10,920 | 49,759 | ||
| R | 44.5%Cox20,160 | 55.5%Harding25,148 | 0.0% | 45,308 | ||
| D | 58.3%Wilson22,280 | 34.0%Hughes13,001 | 7.7%Benson2,924 | 38,205 | ||
| D | 44.3%Wilson6,876 | 13.3%Taft2,063 | 42.4%Roosevelt6,569 | 15,508 | ||
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| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +31.0% |
| 1916 | +24.3% |
| 1920 | −11.0% |
| 1924 | −5.4% |
| 1928 | −16.2% |
| 1932 | +36.8% |
| 1936 | +42.8% |
| 1940 | +26.4% |
| 1944 | +17.2% |
| 1948 | +9.7% |
| 1952 | −17.0% |
| 1956 | −23.2% |
| 1960 | −15.0% |
| 1964 | −4.5% |
| 1968 | −23.9% |
| 1972 | −39.3% |
| 1976 | −22.1% |
| 1980 | −37.9% |
| 1984 | −40.6% |
| 1988 | −27.7% |
| 1992 | −6.0% |
| 1996 | −1.1% |
| 2000 | −10.4% |
| 2004 | −14.8% |
| 2008 | −12.1% |
| 2012 | −13.0% |
| 2016 | −7.6% |
| 2020 | −3.3% |
| 2024 | −9.2% |
The Prescott-centered market draws heavily from retirement in-migration across Yavapai County, producing an older, predominantly white electorate that has consistently delivered lopsided margins in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.6 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.2 points.
A population of 5,866,774, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,983 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Houston and Tucson (Sierra Vista).
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
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Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/753/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.