Arizona 5th Congressional District, Arizona: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 128,3602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,2112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: SALMON, Matthew James (2015–2017), SALMON, Matthew James (2013–2015), SCHWEIKERT, David (2011–2013), MITCHELL, Harry E. (2009–2011)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26,923 | 30,220 | 57,973 | ||
| D | 28,244 | 28,182 | 57,519 | ||
| R | 18,982 | 20,905 | 43,089 | ||
| R | 16,373 | 20,613 | 37,774 | ||
| R | 16,368 | 20,440 | 37,253 | ||
| R | 13,398 | 18,042 | 31,716 | ||
| R | 10,221 | 12,546 | 23,685 | ||
| R | 9,657 | 9,987 | 21,454 | ||
| R | 7,577 | 9,299 | 22,920 | ||
| R | 6,175 | 11,445 | 17,835 | ||
| R | 4,227 | 10,741 | 15,112 | ||
| R | 3,268 | 8,233 | 12,820 | ||
| R | 3,930 | 6,702 | 11,049 | ||
| R | 2,567 | 6,405 | 9,318 | ||
| R | 2,379 | 4,244 | 7,336 | ||
| R | 3,348 | 3,773 | 7,125 | ||
| R | 2,388 | 3,359 | 5,751 | ||
| R | 1,504 | 2,471 | 3,981 | ||
| R | 1,394 | 2,077 | 3,471 | ||
| D | 1,120 | 979 | 2,150 | ||
| D | 897 | 678 | 1,581 | ||
| D | 1,013 | 626 | 1,650 | ||
| D | 908 | 379 | 1,339 | ||
| D | 812 | 406 | 1,234 | ||
| R | 348 | 551 | 900 | ||
| R | 260 | 298 | 666 | ||
| R | 260 | 330 | 590 | ||
| D | 230 | 170 | 434 | ||
| D | 76 | 19 | 167 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 50.1% | 47.7% | 3,347,964 |
| 2022 | D | 51.4% | 46.5% | 2,572,294 |
| 2020 | D | 51.2% | 48.8% | 3,355,307 |
| 2018 | D | 50.0% | 47.6% | 2,384,308 |
| 2016 | R | 40.7% | 53.7% | 2,530,730 |
| 2012 | R | 46.2% | 49.2% | 2,243,422 |
| 2010 | R | 34.7% | 58.9% | 1,708,484 |
| 2006 | R | 43.5% | 53.3% | 1,526,782 |
| 2004 | R | 20.6% | 76.7% | 1,961,677 |
| 2000 | R | 0.0% | 79.3% | 1,397,076 |
| 1998 | R | 27.2% | 68.7% | 1,013,280 |
| 1994 | R | 39.5% | 53.7% | 1,119,060 |
| 1992 | R | 31.6% | 55.8% | 1,382,051 |
| 1988 | D | 56.7% | 41.1% | 1,164,539 |
| 1986 | R | 39.5% | 60.5% | 862,921 |
| 1982 | D | 56.9% | 40.3% | 723,885 |
| 1980 | R | 48.4% | 49.5% | 874,238 |
| 1976 | D | 54.0% | 43.3% | 741,210 |
Demographics
Anchored in the East Valley suburbs of Maricopa County, AZ-05 has backed Republican presidential candidates by double digits consistently, with the 2024 margin reaching R+17.1 — among the largest in the state.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty points in 1936; the Republican margin reached forty-three points in 1984. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 128,360, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $88,211 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 5, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0405/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.