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congressional district

Arizona 5th Congressional District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1912–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1912 → 2024

2024

District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German17.2%12.6%12.5%

English13.3%10.2%9.5%

Irish12.1%8.9%9.4%

Italian5.9%4.1%4.8%

American5.6%4.0%5.3%

Polish3.0%2.0%2.2%

French2.3%1.8%1.6%

Scottish2.0%1.7%1.3%

Mexican15.0%26.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%0.7%1.8%

Spaniard0.3%0.5%—

Spanish0.2%0.4%—

Salvadoran0.2%0.3%0.7%

Cuban0.2%0.3%0.7%

Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%

Asian Indian1.6%0.9%1.4%

Filipino1.1%0.7%0.9%

Chinese1.0%0.6%1.3%

Vietnamese0.9%0.4%0.6%

Korean0.4%0.3%0.4%

Japanese0.3%0.2%0.2%

African American†3.2%3.6%9.9%

African0.3%0.3%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Median age	38.9	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	9.1%	9.5%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.0%	18.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Median household income	$109,252	$79,964	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.3%	12.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	35.0%	33.5%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Owner-occupied homes	67.0%	67.4%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	33.0%	32.6%	34.8%
Median home value	—	$394,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	—	$1,543	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	52.2%	51.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.6%	10.5%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Mean commute	26.6 min	25.4 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	7.0%	6.5%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	65.1%	66.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	1.1%	1.0%	3.2%
Works from home	20.4%	18.4%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	25.1%	25.8%	22.3%
Spanish	18.9%	19.3%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	1.3%	1.0%	2.0%
Other languages	1.0%	2.0%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Catholic	—	21.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	10.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	55.8%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AZ-5	Arizona	United States
Foreign-born residents	13.8%	13.0%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	6.4%	6.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	7.4%	6.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.0%	7.9%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	—	0.464	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083) · District housing, commuting and origins figures are constituent-county values weighted by each county’s share of the district — the Census publishes these at 119th-Congress lines and Akashic maps districts on the 2026 (cd:120) lines.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic39.4%175,675TrumpRepublican59.3%264,575OtherAll other candidates1.3%5,810

R+19.9

Lead: 88,900
Total: 446,060
vs nation: R+18.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic41.0%170,507TrumpRepublican57.4%238,463OtherAll other candidates1.6%6,627

R+16.4

Lead: 67,956
Total: 415,597
vs nation: R+20.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic35.3%104,031TrumpRepublican56.6%166,671OtherAll other candidates8.1%23,754

R+21.3

Lead: 62,640
Total: 294,456
vs nation: R+23.4

exact aggregate

ObamaDemocratic34.9%90,198RomneyRepublican63.0%162,737OtherAll other candidates2.1%5,499

R+28.1

Lead: 72,539
Total: 258,434
vs nation: R+31.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic35.3%90,171McCainRepublican63.1%161,043OtherAll other candidates1.6%4,018

R+27.8

Lead: 70,872
Total: 255,232
vs nation: R+35.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic33.8%72,363BushRepublican65.3%139,703OtherAll other candidates0.8%1,721

R+31.5

Lead: 67,340
Total: 213,787
vs nation: R+29.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic34.9%55,105BushRepublican60.8%96,051OtherAll other candidates4.4%6,944

R+25.9

Lead: 40,946
Total: 158,100
vs nation: R+26.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic37.1%52,178DoleRepublican54.2%76,187OtherAll other candidates8.6%12,135

R+17.1

Lead: 24,009
Total: 140,500
vs nation: R+25.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+19.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 794,6172024 5-year
Population density: 1,961 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 405 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $109,2522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 67.1%2024 5-year
Black: 3.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 17.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+55.3 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Congressional District 8, AZ · twin score 88.6

presidential history

Party record book

Arizona 5th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

58.4%

4,920 votes · D+21.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 56.0%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

77.1%

82,219 votes · R+55.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 75.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

175,675votes

39.4% of the vote · R+19.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 170,507 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

264,575votes

59.3% of the vote · R+19.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 238,463 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1912

+1.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+20.7 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −0.6 pts

Republican

Barry Goldwater1964

+45.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+22.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +41.0 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RAndy BiggsU.S. House · AZ-05+0.82

DRuben GallegoU.S. Senate-0.36

DMark KellyU.S. Senate-0.27

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House elections · 22 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	5	R	39.6%167,680	60.4%255,628	423,308
2022	5	R	37.4%120,275	56.7%182,464	321,590
2020	5	R	41.1%183,171	58.9%262,486	445,657
2018	5	R	40.6%127,027	59.4%186,037	313,064
2016	5	R	35.9%114,940	64.1%205,184	320,124
2014	5	R	30.4%54,596	69.6%124,867	179,463
2012	5	R	32.8%89,589	67.2%183,470	273,059
2010	5	R	43.2%91,749	52.0%110,374	212,250
2008	5	D	53.2%149,033	43.6%122,165	280,365
2006	5	D	50.4%101,838	46.4%93,815	202,010
2004	5	R	38.2%102,363	59.5%159,455	268,007
2002	5	R	36.3%61,559	61.2%103,870	169,812
2000	5	R	35.3%101,564	60.1%172,986	287,609
1998	5	R	45.2%91,030	51.6%103,952	201,473
1996	5	R	25.9%67,597	68.7%179,349	260,898
1994	5	R	28.7%63,436	67.7%149,514	220,771
1992	5	R	29.7%77,256	66.5%172,867	259,813
1990	5	R	35.2%75,642	64.8%138,975	214,617
1988	5	R	32.2%78,115	67.8%164,462	242,577
1986	5	R	35.1%64,848	64.9%119,647	184,495
1984	5	R	48.2%109,871	50.9%116,075	227,938
1982	5	D	49.7%82,938	48.3%80,531	166,802

Anchored in the East Valley suburbs of Maricopa County, AZ-05 has backed Republican presidential candidates by double digits consistently, with the 2024 margin reaching R+19.9 — among the largest in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.3 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.

A population of 794,617, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,252 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 8 and Congressional District 11.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 8

Arizona

88.6twin score

2008–2016 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median age

Congressional District 11

Georgia

80.8twin score

2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical

Congressional District 4

Colorado

80.6twin score

2008–2020 trajectory12-yr trend≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arizona 5th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0405/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Arizona at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 5th Congressional District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arizona 5th Congressional District voted Republican by 19.9 points (R+19.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 446,060 votes cast, 175,675 went Democratic and 264,575 went Republican.

When did Arizona 5th Congressional District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arizona 5th Congressional District voted Democratic was 1940.

How many people live in Arizona 5th Congressional District?

Arizona 5th Congressional District has a population of 794,617 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arizona 5th Congressional District?

Median household income in Arizona 5th Congressional District is $109,252 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Arizona 5th Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona 5th Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Median age

38.9

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

9.1%

9.5%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.0%

18.9%

17.2%

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Median household income

$109,252

$79,964

$84,427

Poverty rate

6.3%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

35.0%

33.5%

35.6%

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Owner-occupied homes

67.0%

67.4%

65.2%

Renter-occupied homes

33.0%

32.6%

34.8%

Median home value

—

$394,500

$332,700

Median gross rent (monthly)

—

$1,543

$1,413

Renters paying 30%+ of income

52.2%

51.4%

51.1%

Vacant housing units

8.6%

10.5%

10.1%

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Mean commute

26.6 min

25.4 min

26.4 min

Commutes 60 minutes or more

7.0%

6.5%

8.6%

Drives alone to work

65.1%

66.8%

68.8%

Takes public transit

1.1%

1.0%

3.2%

Works from home

20.4%

18.4%

15.1%

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

25.1%

25.8%

22.3%

Spanish

18.9%

19.3%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

1.3%

1.0%

2.0%

Other languages

1.0%

2.0%

0.8%

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Catholic

—

21.3%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

10.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

—

55.8%

51.5%

Measure

AZ-5

Arizona

United States

Foreign-born residents

13.8%

13.0%

14.1%

Naturalized citizens

6.4%

6.3%

7.4%

Not U.S. citizens

7.4%

6.7%

6.8%

Veterans (18+)

7.0%

7.9%

6.2%

Income inequality (Gini)

—

0.464

0.483

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+19.9MIT Election Lab

Population

794,6172024 5-year

Population density

1,961 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line

Land area

405 sq miTIGER/Line

Median household income

$109,2522024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

67.1%2024 5-year

Black

3.5%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

17.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+21.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+55.3 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Congressional District 8, AZ · twin score 88.6

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.

Year

District

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

39.6%167,680

60.4%255,628

423,308

2022

37.4%120,275

56.7%182,464

321,590

2020

41.1%183,171

58.9%262,486

445,657

2018

40.6%127,027

59.4%186,037

313,064

2016

35.9%114,940

64.1%205,184

320,124

2014

30.4%54,596

69.6%124,867

179,463

2012

32.8%89,589

67.2%183,470

273,059

2010

43.2%91,749

52.0%110,374

212,250

2008

53.2%149,033

43.6%122,165

280,365

2006

50.4%101,838

46.4%93,815

202,010

2004

38.2%102,363

59.5%159,455

268,007

2002

36.3%61,559

61.2%103,870

169,812

2000

35.3%101,564

60.1%172,986

287,609

1998

45.2%91,030

51.6%103,952

201,473

1996

25.9%67,597

68.7%179,349

260,898

1994

28.7%63,436

67.7%149,514

220,771

1992

29.7%77,256

66.5%172,867

259,813

1990

35.2%75,642

64.8%138,975

214,617

1988

32.2%78,115

67.8%164,462

242,577

1986

35.1%64,848

64.9%119,647

184,495

1984

48.2%109,871

50.9%116,075

227,938

1982

49.7%82,938

48.3%80,531

166,802

Frequently asked questions

How did Arizona 5th Congressional District vote in 2024?

When did Arizona 5th Congressional District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arizona 5th Congressional District voted Democratic was 1940.

How many people live in Arizona 5th Congressional District?

Arizona 5th Congressional District has a population of 794,617 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arizona 5th Congressional District?

Median household income in Arizona 5th Congressional District is $109,252 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.

What is the political history of Arizona 5th Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona 5th Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

District research tools

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

District research tools

Frequently asked questions