- Lead
- 23,932
- Total
- 484,220
- vs nation
- R+3.5
Virginia 1st Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 28,657
- Total
- 465,646
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Lead
- 55,812
- Total
- 410,093
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Lead
- 68,293
- Total
- 400,909
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Lead
- 59,175
- Total
- 384,343
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Lead
- 99,678
- Total
- 329,944
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Lead
- 83,713
- Total
- 278,169
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 58,746
- Total
- 240,593
- vs nation
- R+32.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 783,9022024 5-year
- Population density
- 258 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,039 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $104,6102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 1, AZ · twin score 79.0
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 1st Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
46.9%
227,048 votes · R+4.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 46.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
64.7%
213,590 votes · R+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 57.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
227,048votes
46.9% of the vote · R+4.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 214,294 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
250,980votes
51.8% of the vote · R+4.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 242,951 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−3.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −10.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+27.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +22.7 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Stretching from Washington's exurbs through tidewater Virginia to the Northern Neck, this district has returned Republican margins in the high single digits in recent presidential cycles, reflecting a mix of rural conservative voters and outer-suburban growth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 783,902, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,610 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 13.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 1st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.