Virginia 1st Congressional District, Virginia: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+63 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 704,7152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,4672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: DAVIS, Jo Ann (2007–2009), DAVIS, Jo Ann (2005–2007), DAVIS, Jo Ann (2003–2005), DAVIS, Jo Ann (2001–2003)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 196,220 | 209,683 | 411,949 | ||
| R | 189,554 | 202,318 | 398,945 | ||
| R | 149,109 | 182,892 | 351,873 | ||
| R | 148,753 | 189,905 | 343,484 | ||
| R | 146,456 | 180,313 | 329,810 | ||
| R | 103,338 | 173,122 | 278,356 | ||
| R | 84,672 | 142,476 | 233,071 | ||
| R | 73,751 | 111,121 | 200,390 | ||
| R | 66,334 | 109,311 | 210,346 | ||
| R | 50,366 | 118,333 | 170,467 | ||
| R | 42,088 | 113,316 | 156,298 | ||
| R | 42,621 | 80,775 | 130,412 | ||
| R | 44,916 | 65,220 | 112,832 | ||
| R | 24,829 | 61,998 | 88,384 | ||
| R | 21,119 | 42,517 | 88,345 | ||
| D | 39,813 | 38,555 | 78,483 | ||
| R | 18,071 | 26,333 | 44,669 | ||
| R | 9,911 | 21,142 | 35,679 | ||
| R | 12,599 | 18,582 | 31,305 | ||
| D | 8,651 | 6,657 | 17,808 | ||
| D | 11,305 | 5,482 | 16,845 | ||
| D | 11,832 | 4,403 | 16,320 | ||
| D | 11,340 | 3,790 | 15,217 | ||
| D | 9,628 | 3,771 | 13,676 | ||
| R | 6,006 | 7,630 | 13,636 | ||
| D | 6,753 | 1,812 | 8,800 | ||
| D | 6,544 | 2,521 | 9,136 | ||
| D | 5,671 | 1,527 | 7,249 | ||
| D | 5,441 | 1,008 | 7,043 | ||
| D | 5,454 | 2,135 | 7,646 | ||
| D | 5,492 | 2,471 | 8,073 | ||
| D | 10,318 | 8,659 | 19,127 | ||
| D | 11,898 | 9,924 | 22,064 | ||
| R | 11,199 | 11,228 | 23,367 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4% | 45.4% | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0% | 43.9% | 4,405,087 |
| 2018 | D | 57.0% | 41.0% | 3,351,373 |
| 2014 | D | 49.1% | 48.3% | 2,184,473 |
| 2012 | D | 52.9% | 47.0% | 3,802,196 |
| 2008 | D | 65.0% | 33.7% | 3,643,294 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6% | 49.2% | 2,370,445 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 82.6% | 1,489,422 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7% | 52.3% | 2,718,301 |
| 1996 | R | 47.4% | 52.5% | 2,354,715 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6% | 42.9% | 2,057,463 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 80.9% | 1,083,690 |
| 1988 | D | 71.2% | 28.7% | 2,068,897 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9% | 70.0% | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8% | 51.2% | 1,415,622 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1,222,256 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1,557,500 |
Demographics
Stretching from Washington's exurbs through tidewater Virginia to the Northern Neck, this district has returned Republican margins in the high single digits in recent presidential cycles, reflecting a mix of rural conservative voters and outer-suburban growth.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached sixty-three points in 1912; the Republican margin reached forty-six points in 1984. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 704,715, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,467 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 1, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.