akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Virginia

Virginia 1st Congressional District delivered R+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A Northern Neck-to-suburbs corridor that leans reliably Republican

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
704,715
2024 ACS

Virginia 1st Congressional District, Virginia: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+63 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
704,7152024 5-year
Median household income
$97,4672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.2%2024 5-year
Black
18.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+63 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab
R
WITTMAN, Robert J.Congress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: DAVIS, Jo Ann (2007–2009), DAVIS, Jo Ann (2005–2007), DAVIS, Jo Ann (2003–2005), DAVIS, Jo Ann (2001–2003)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

18 counties · 4 D · 14 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.3%
196,220209,683411,949
R
−3.2%
189,554202,318398,945
R
−9.6%
149,109182,892351,873
R
−12.0%
148,753189,905343,484
R
−10.3%
146,456180,313329,810
R
−25.1%
103,338173,122278,356
R
−24.8%
84,672142,476233,071
R
−18.6%
73,751111,121200,390
R
−20.4%
66,334109,311210,346
R
−39.9%
50,366118,333170,467
R
−45.6%
42,088113,316156,298
R
−29.3%
42,62180,775130,412
R
−18.0%
44,91665,220112,832
R
−42.1%
24,82961,99888,384
R
−24.2%
21,11942,51788,345
D
+1.6%
39,81338,55578,483
R
−18.5%
18,07126,33344,669
R
−31.5%
9,91121,14235,679
R
−19.1%
12,59918,58231,305
D
+11.2%
8,6516,65717,808
D
+34.6%
11,3055,48216,845
D
+45.5%
11,8324,40316,320
D
+49.6%
11,3403,79015,217
D
+42.8%
9,6283,77113,676
R
−11.9%
6,0067,63013,636
D
+56.1%
6,7531,8128,800
D
+44.0%
6,5442,5219,136
D
+57.2%
5,6711,5277,249
D
+62.9%
5,4411,0087,043
D
+43.4%
5,4542,1357,646
D
+37.4%
5,4922,4718,073
D
+8.7%
10,3188,65919,127
D
+8.9%
11,8989,92422,064
R
−0.1%
11,19911,22823,367
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D54.4%45.4%4,445,535
2020D56.0%43.9%4,405,087
2018D57.0%41.0%3,351,373
2014D49.1%48.3%2,184,473
2012D52.9%47.0%3,802,196
2008D65.0%33.7%3,643,294
2006D49.6%49.2%2,370,445
2002R0.0%82.6%1,489,422
2000R47.7%52.3%2,718,301
1996R47.4%52.5%2,354,715
1994D45.6%42.9%2,057,463
1990R0.0%80.9%1,083,690
1988D71.2%28.7%2,068,897
1984R29.9%70.0%2,007,487
1982R48.8%51.2%1,415,622
1978R49.8%50.2%1,222,256
1976O38.3%0.0%1,557,500

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.0%
American
10.5%
German
10.5%
Irish
9.6%
Italian
4.3%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.0%
speak English only
Spanish4.8%
Other Indo-European2.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
10.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.6%
Other Christian
10.3%
Methodist
5.9%
Mainline Protestant
3.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Non-Christian
2.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching from Washington's exurbs through tidewater Virginia to the Northern Neck, this district has returned Republican margins in the high single digits in recent presidential cycles, reflecting a mix of rural conservative voters and outer-suburban growth.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached sixty-three points in 1912; the Republican margin reached forty-six points in 1984. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 704,715, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,467 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Virginia voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 411,949 votes cast, 196,220 went Democratic and 209,683 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Virginia as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Virginia?
Congressional District 1, Virginia has a population of 704,715 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Virginia is $97,467 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.