HarrisDemocratic30.3%7,034TrumpRepublican68.5%15,918OliverLibertarian0.4%89
R+38.2- Lead
- 8,884
- Total
- 23,228
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- 74.2%
Akashiccounty
Gloucester County, VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.2% of 31,385 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.3%6,964TrumpRepublican66.8%14,875JorgensenLibertarian1.7%389
R+35.5- Lead
- 7,911
- Total
- 22,282
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Turnout
- 74.8%
ClintonDemocratic27.5%5,404TrumpRepublican66.8%13,096JohnsonLibertarian3.5%693
R+39.2- Lead
- 7,692
- Total
- 19,619
- vs nation
- R+41.3
- Turnout
- 67.9%
ObamaDemocratic35.1%6,764RomneyRepublican62.9%12,137OtherAll other candidates2.0%382
R+27.9- Lead
- 5,373
- Total
- 19,283
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.0%6,916McCainRepublican62.9%12,089OtherAll other candidates1.1%217
R+26.9- Lead
- 5,173
- Total
- 19,222
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic31.3%5,105BushRepublican67.9%11,084OtherAll other candidates0.9%144
R+36.6- Lead
- 5,979
- Total
- 16,333
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.2%4,553BushRepublican63.6%8,718NaderGreen1.6%225
R+30.4- Lead
- 4,165
- Total
- 13,699
- vs nation
- R+30.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.4%4,710DoleRepublican51.2%6,447PerotReform10.1%1,266
R+13.8- Lead
- 1,737
- Total
- 12,593
- vs nation
- R+22.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,5262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,3062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Putnam County, WV · twin score 79.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.2%23,285 participants ÷ 31,385 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.3%–54.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,807 | 29,151 | 67.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,726 | 29,397 | 53.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,282 | 29,794 | 74.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,456 | 30,954 | 49.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,285 | 31,385 | 74.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 23,228 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -301 - WHITE MARSH301 - WHITE MARSH | 925 | 1,996 | 46 | 2,967 | 31.2% | 67.3% | R+36.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -501 - ACHILLES501 - ACHILLES | 774 | 2,141 | 20 | 2,935 | 26.4% | 72.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -202 - BOTETOURT202 - BOTETOURT | 902 | 1,816 | 39 | 2,757 | 32.7% | 65.9% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -401 - HAYES401 - HAYES | 781 | 1,538 | 40 | 2,359 | 33.1% | 65.2% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -402 - SARAHS CREEK402 - SARAHS CREEK | 721 | 1,208 | 31 | 1,960 | 36.8% | 61.6% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -201 - COURTHOUSE201 - COURTHOUSE | 702 | 1,242 | 11 | 1,955 | 35.9% | 63.5% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -302 - ROANES302 - ROANES | 598 | 1,329 | 19 | 1,946 | 30.7% | 68.3% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -502 - WALKER502 - WALKER | 519 | 1,355 | 27 | 1,901 | 27.3% | 71.3% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -101 - HARCUM101 - HARCUM | 440 | 1,277 | 21 | 1,738 | 25.3% | 73.5% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -102 - SALEM102 - SALEM | 356 | 1,069 | 9 | 1,434 | 24.8% | 74.5% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -103 - PEASLEY103 - PEASLEY | 316 | 947 | 13 | 1,276 | 24.8% | 74.2% | R+49.5 |
| Achilles51073000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Botetourt51073000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse51073000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harcum51073000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayes51073000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peasley51073000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roanes51073000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salem51073000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sarahs Creek51073000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walker51073000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| White Marsh51073000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −15.5% |
| 1896 | +19.5% |
| 1900 | +15.5% |
| 1904 | +46.0% |
| 1908 | +66.7% |
| 1912 | +68.1% |
| 1916 | +60.6% |
| 1920 | +40.7% |
| 1924 | +69.5% |
| 1928 | −2.2% |
| 1932 | +52.5% |
| 1936 | +56.4% |
| 1940 | +59.0% |
| 1944 | +38.8% |
| 1948 | +22.4% |
| 1952 | −5.5% |
| 1956 | −26.2% |
| 1960 | −0.5% |
| 1964 | +8.9% |
| 1968 | −9.4% |
| 1972 | −46.4% |
| 1976 | +2.0% |
| 1980 | −14.2% |
| 1984 | −42.7% |
| 1988 | −38.2% |
| 1992 | −18.0% |
| 1996 | −13.8% |
| 2000 | −30.4% |
| 2004 | −36.6% |
| 2008 | −26.9% |
| 2012 | −27.9% |
| 2016 | −39.2% |
| 2020 | −35.5% |
| 2024 | −38.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,819 |
| 2018 | 27,523 |
| 2020 | 28,978 |
| 2022 | 30,139 |
| 2024 | 31,379 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+217 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,648 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,267 in average income, against $81,055 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.5 on average — 45 points more Democratic-leaning than Gloucester County, VA itself (R+38.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Newport News city, VA144D+28.7
- York County, VA100R+6.1
- James City County, VA75D+6.2
- Hampton city, VA63D+39.8
- Middlesex County, VA48R+27.3
- Mathews County, VA45R+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Newport News city, VA132
- York County, VA92
- Mathews County, VA57
- Middlesex County, VA50
- James City County, VA41
- Hampton city, VA37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −71 |
| 2012 | −74 |
| 2013 | −95 |
| 2014 | +191 |
| 2015 | −73 |
| 2016 | +131 |
| 2017 | +261 |
| 2018 | +129 |
| 2019 | +130 |
| 2021 | +592 |
| 2022 | +497 |
| 2023 | +589 |
| 2024 | +224 |
| 2025 | +217 |
Gloucester sits on a peninsula between the York and Piankatank rivers, with an economy rooted in commercial fishing and commuter ties to Hampton Roads. Its presidential margins have exceeded 35 points Republican in recent cycles, reflecting the broader rural Tidewater pattern.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.5 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 46.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.2 points.
A population of 39,526, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,306 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Putnam County and Currituck County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Putnam County
West Virginia
79.1twin score
median income% Catholic2008 margin≠ American ancestry
Currituck County
North Carolina
78.1twin score
2004–2008 trajectorymedian income% unaffiliated≠ American ancestry
Floyd County
Virginia
76.6twin score
American ancestry% unaffiliated2000 margin≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gloucester County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Gloucester County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Gloucester County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gloucester County, Virginia voted Republican by 38.2 points (R+38.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,228 votes cast, 7,034 went Democratic and 15,918 went Republican.
When did Gloucester County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gloucester County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Gloucester County, Virginia?
Gloucester County, Virginia has a population of 39,526 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gloucester County, Virginia?
Median household income in Gloucester County, Virginia is $84,306 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Gloucester County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gloucester County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.