Akashic

county

James City County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English19.1%12.0%9.5%

German14.5%10.1%12.5%

Irish12.4%9.1%9.4%

American11.8%8.4%5.3%

Italian5.4%3.9%4.8%

Scottish3.0%1.9%1.3%

French2.7%1.3%1.6%

Polish2.2%1.6%2.2%

African American†11.3%15.6%9.9%

African0.4%0.9%0.5%

Jamaican0.4%0.3%0.4%

Mexican2.3%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican1.7%1.4%1.8%

Salvadoran1.3%2.1%0.7%

Colombian0.3%0.3%0.4%

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

Guatemalan0.2%0.7%0.5%

Spaniard0.2%——

Chinese0.8%0.8%1.3%

Filipino0.6%0.9%0.9%

Korean0.6%0.8%0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	James City County	Virginia	United States
Median age	47.1	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	6.9%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	27.0%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	James City County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$109,985	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.8%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	51.0%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	James City County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	7.8%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	3.7%	7.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	James City County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	13.2%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	20.1%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	55.9%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	5.2%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 82.1% of 62,895 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic52.2%26,742TrumpRepublican46.0%23,575OtherAll other candidates0.7%382

D+6.2

Lead: 3,167
Total: 51,274
vs nation: D+7.6
Turnout: 82.1%

BidenDemocratic51.5%25,553TrumpRepublican46.7%23,153JorgensenLibertarian1.4%710

D+4.8

Lead: 2,400
Total: 49,622
vs nation: D+0.4
Turnout: 84.6%

ClintonDemocratic44.3%19,105TrumpRepublican49.4%21,306JohnsonLibertarian3.2%1,395

R+5.1

Lead: 2,201
Total: 43,169
vs nation: R+7.2
Turnout: 78.6%

ObamaDemocratic43.4%17,879RomneyRepublican55.4%22,843OtherAll other candidates1.3%518

R+12.0

Lead: 4,964
Total: 41,240
vs nation: R+15.9
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic44.9%17,352McCainRepublican54.2%20,912OtherAll other candidates0.9%339

R+9.2

Lead: 3,560
Total: 38,603
vs nation: R+16.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic38.4%11,934BushRepublican60.9%18,949OtherAll other candidates0.7%207

R+22.6

Lead: 7,015
Total: 31,090
vs nation: R+20.1
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic37.1%9,090BushRepublican59.7%14,628NaderGreen2.6%639

R+22.6

Lead: 5,538
Total: 24,492
vs nation: R+23.1
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic39.0%7,247DoleRepublican54.4%10,120PerotReform6.0%1,116

R+15.5

Lead: 2,873
Total: 18,586
vs nation: R+24.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+6.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 81,0132024 5-year
Median household income: $109,9852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 71.7%2024 5-year
Black: 12.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+75.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+57.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: York County, VA · twin score 92.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 82.1%51,607 participants ÷ 62,895 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +22.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 60.0%–65.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	43,532	55,352	78.6%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	39,159	57,194	68.5%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	49,979	59,109	84.6%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	38,324	61,293	62.5%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	51,607	62,895	82.1%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

39 precincts · 51,274 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

James City County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -402 - STONEHOUSE B402 - STONEHOUSE B	2,337	2,100	77	4,514	51.8%	46.5%	D+5.3
Precinct -502 - ROBERTS B502 - ROBERTS B	1,956	1,962	77	3,995	49.0%	49.1%	R+0.2
Precinct -101 - BERKELEY A101 - BERKELEY A	2,108	1,673	102	3,883	54.3%	43.1%	D+11.2
Precinct -503 - ROBERTS C503 - ROBERTS C	2,146	1,603	88	3,837	55.9%	41.8%	D+14.2
Precinct -403 - STONEHOUSE C403 - STONEHOUSE C	1,651	1,979	57	3,687	44.8%	53.7%	R+8.9
Precinct -301 - POWHATAN A301 - POWHATAN A	1,864	1,623	72	3,559	52.4%	45.6%	D+6.8
Precinct -401 - STONEHOUSE A401 - STONEHOUSE A	1,782	1,682	59	3,523	50.6%	47.7%	D+2.8
Precinct -204 - JAMESTOWN D204 - JAMESTOWN D	1,833	1,584	60	3,477	52.7%	45.6%	D+7.2
Precinct -304 - POWHATAN D304 - POWHATAN D	1,639	1,117	48	2,804	58.5%	39.8%	D+18.6
Precinct -103 - BERKELEY C103 - BERKELEY C	1,207	1,456	43	2,706	44.6%	53.8%	R+9.2
Precinct -102 - BERKELEY B102 - BERKELEY B	1,337	1,161	54	2,552	52.4%	45.5%	D+6.9
Precinct -303 - POWHATAN C303 - POWHATAN C	831	1,680	39	2,550	32.6%	65.9%	R+33.3
Precinct -203 - JAMESTOWN C203 - JAMESTOWN C	1,344	1,084	46	2,474	54.3%	43.8%	D+10.5
Precinct -202 - JAMESTOWN B202 - JAMESTOWN B	1,494	820	38	2,352	63.5%	34.9%	D+28.7
Precinct -201 - JAMESTOWN A201 - JAMESTOWN A	1,046	728	40	1,814	57.7%	40.1%	D+17.5
Precinct -501 - ROBERTS A501 - ROBERTS A	882	390	20	1,292	68.3%	30.2%	D+38.1
Precinct -302 - POWHATAN B302 - POWHATAN B	652	465	19	1,136	57.4%	40.9%	D+16.5
Precinct -104 - BERKELEY D104 - BERKELEY D	633	468	18	1,119	56.6%	41.8%	D+14.7
Berkeley A51095000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Berkeley B51095000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Berkeley C51095000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Berkeley D51095000104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jamestown A51095000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jamestown B (CD 01)51095000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jamestown B (CD 02)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jamestown C51095000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jamestown D51095000204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powhatan A51095000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powhatan B51095000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powhatan C51095000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powhatan D51095000304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Roberts A51095000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Roberts B51095000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Roberts C51095000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Roberts D (CD 01)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Roberts D (CD 02)51095000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Stonehouse A51095000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Stonehouse B51095000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Stonehouse C51095000403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−33.3%
1896	−5.4%
1900	+7.1%
1904	+46.4%
1908	+35.7%
1912	+75.6%
1916	+57.1%
1920	+53.9%
1924	+49.6%
1928	−0.7%
1932	+43.8%
1936	+62.4%
1940	+35.2%
1944	+32.6%
1948	+4.7%
1952	−20.7%
1956	−35.7%
1960	−1.6%
1964	+20.9%
1968	+1.9%
1972	−57.0%
1976	−2.9%
1980	−15.2%
1984	−33.9%
1988	−31.2%
1992	−12.3%
1996	−15.5%
2000	−22.6%
2004	−22.6%
2008	−9.2%
2012	−12.0%
2016	−5.1%
2020	+4.8%
2024	+6.2%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	52.2%Harris26,742	46.0%Trump23,575	0.5%Oliver258 +4	D+6.2	D+1.3	D+7.6	51,274
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic52.2%26,742 Donald J TrumpRepublican46.0%23,575 OtherAll other candidates0.7%382 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%258 Jill SteinIndependent0.3%159 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%89 Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%69
2020	D	51.5%Biden25,553	46.7%Trump23,153	1.4%Jorgensen710	D+4.8	D+9.9	D+0.4	49,622
2016	R	44.3%Clinton19,105	49.4%Trump21,306	3.2%Johnson1,395	R+5.1	D+6.9	R+7.2	43,169
2012	R	43.4%Obama17,879	55.4%Romney22,843	1.3%	R+12.0	R+2.8	R+15.9	41,240
2008	R	44.9%Obama17,352	54.2%McCain20,912	0.9%	R+9.2	D+13.3	R+16.5	38,603
2004	R	38.4%Kerry11,934	60.9%Bush18,949	0.7%	R+22.6	±0.0	R+20.1	31,090
2000	R	37.1%Gore9,090	59.7%Bush14,628	2.6%Nader639	R+22.6	R+7.2	R+23.1	24,492
1996	R	39.0%Clinton7,247	54.4%Dole10,120	6.0%Perot1,116	R+15.5	R+3.1	R+24.0	18,586
1992	R	35.9%Clinton6,536	48.2%Bush8,781	14.7%Perot2,675	R+12.3	D+18.9	R+17.9	18,221
1988	R	33.7%Dukakis4,642	64.9%Bush8,945	1.4%	R+31.2	D+2.6	R+23.5	13,773
1984	R	32.6%Mondale3,486	66.5%Reagan7,104	0.8%	R+33.9	R+18.7	R+15.7	10,677
1980	R	38.1%Carter3,068	53.3%Reagan4,289	8.6%	R+15.2	R+12.3	R+5.4	8,048
1976	R	46.5%Carter3,000	49.4%Ford3,186	4.2%	R+2.9	D+54.1	R+4.9	6,454
1972	R	20.7%McGovern206	77.6%Nixon774	1.7%	R+57.0	R+58.9	R+33.8	997
1968	D	37.4%Humphrey1,521	35.5%Nixon1,443	27.1%	D+1.9	R+19.0	D+2.6	4,065
1964	D	60.4%Johnson2,656	39.5%Goldwater1,737	0.1%	D+20.9	D+22.5	R+1.7	4,399
1960	R	48.9%Kennedy845	50.5%Nixon873	0.6%	R+1.6	D+34.1	R+1.8	1,729
1956	R	26.8%Stevenson312	62.5%Eisenhower728	10.7%	R+35.7	R+15.1	R+20.3	1,164
1952	R	39.5%Stevenson346	60.2%Eisenhower527	0.2%	R+20.7	R+25.4	R+9.9	875
1948	D	44.5%Truman198	39.8%Dewey177	15.7%	D+4.7	R+27.9	D+0.2	445
1944	D	66.3%Roosevelt317	33.7%Dewey161	0.0%	D+32.6	R+2.6	D+25.1	478
1940	D	67.4%Roosevelt306	32.2%Willkie146	0.4%	D+35.2	R+27.1	D+25.3	454
1936	D	81.2%Roosevelt302	18.8%Landon70	0.0%	D+62.4	D+18.6	D+38.1	372
1932	D	71.1%Roosevelt302	27.3%Hoover116	1.6%	D+43.8	D+44.5	D+26.0	425
1928	R	49.6%Smith201	50.4%Hoover204	0.0%	R+0.7	R+50.3	D+16.7	405
1924	D	72.1%Davis173	22.5%Coolidge54	5.4%La Follette13	D+49.6	R+4.3	D+74.8	240
1920	D	76.4%Cox207	22.5%Harding61	1.1%	D+53.9	R+3.2	D+80.1	271
1916	D	77.9%Wilson127	20.9%Hughes34	1.2%	D+57.1	R+18.6	D+53.9	163
1912	D	82.1%Wilson128	6.4%Taft10	11.5%	D+75.6	D+39.9	D+56.1	156
1908	D	67.3%Bryan132	31.6%Taft62	1.0%	D+35.7	R+10.7	D+45.3	196
1904	D	71.0%Parker98	24.6%Roosevelt34	4.3%	D+46.4	D+39.3	D+66.0	138
1900	D	53.5%Bryan294	46.4%McKinley255	0.2%	D+7.1	D+12.5	D+14.6	550
1896	R	47.0%Bryan261	52.4%McKinley291	0.5%	R+5.4	D+27.9	D+0.7	555
1892	R	33.3%Cleveland233	66.6%Harrison466	0.1%	R+33.3	—	R+34.9	700
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	47.8%24,239	52.2%26,471	50,710
2020	D	52.4%19,889	47.6%18,056	37,945
2018	R	47.5%18,412	52.5%20,346	38,758

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	52.9%26,991	47.1%24,033	51,024
2020Class II	D	52.1%Mark Warner25,685	47.8%Daniel Gade23,600	49,326
2018Class I	D	51.9%Tim Kaine20,146	46.3%Corey Stewart17,955	38,818
2014Class II	R	43.7%Mark Warner11,577	54.4%Ed Gillespie14,403	26,482
2012Class I	R	46.2%Tim Kaine18,878	53.7%George Allen21,957	40,900
2008Class II	D	59.6%Mark Warner22,682	39.2%Jim Gilmore14,908	38,077
2006Class I	R	45.7%Jim Webb11,860	53.3%George Allen13,832	25,961
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	86.1%John Warner14,266	16,565
2000Class I	R	45.3%Chuck Robb11,088	54.6%George Allen13,379	24,488
1996Class II	R	37.8%Mark Warner7,179	61.9%John Warner11,748	18,972
1994Class I	D	46.7%Chuck Robb7,499	39.9%Oliver North6,411	16,067
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	81.8%John Warner6,457	7,897
1988Class I	D	71.3%Chuck Robb9,091	28.7%Maurice A. Dawkins3,654	12,748
1984Class II	R	28.6%Edythe Harrison2,873	71.4%John Warner7,182	10,055
1982Class I	R	37.7%Dick Davis2,489	62.3%Paul S. Trible4,119	6,610
1978Class II	D	51.6%Andrew Miller2,519	48.4%John Warner2,363	4,886
1976Class I	D	38.4%Elmo Zumwalt2,192	0.0%None0	5,708
1972Class II	D	50.2%William B. Spong Jr.2,606	45.9%Bill Scott2,383	5,187
1970Class I	D	38.6%George C. Rawlings Jr.1,079	12.4%Ray Garland347	2,796
1966Class II	D	61.1%William B. Spong Jr.908	29.6%James P. Ould Jr.440	1,485
1964Class I	D	59.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,558	12.2%Richard A. May321	2,627
1960Class II	D	73.8%A. Willis Robertson1,146	0.0%None0	1,552
1958Class I	D	68.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.453	0.0%None0	665
1954Class II	D	75.2%A. Willis Robertson240	0.0%None0	319
1952Class I	D	78.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.654	0.0%None0	837
1948Class II	D	64.5%A. Willis Robertson251	25.7%Robert H. Woods100	389
1946Class I	D	73.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.161	20.5%Lester S. Parsons45	220
1942Class II	D	97.1%Carter Glass68	0.0%None0	70
1940Class I	D	95.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.411	0.0%None0	431
1936Class II	D	94.5%Carter Glass359	4.2%George Rohlson16	380
1934Class I	D	85.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.115	13.3%Lawrence C. Page18	135
1930Class II	D	89.4%Carter Glass126	0.0%None0	141
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson375	0.0%None0	375
1924Class II	D	87.0%Carter Glass201	3.5%William Doak8	231
1922Class I	D	95.2%Claude Swanson160	3.6%J.W. McGavock6	168
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin52	0.0%None0	52
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson160	0.0%None0	160

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	47.2%Harry F. Byrd Jr.694	41.9%Lawrence Traylor617	1,471
1933Special · Class I	D	71.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.124	26.4%Henry Wise46	174

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	D	55.3%Abigail Spanberger23,603	44.6%Winsome Earle-Sears19,029	42,695
2017	R	48.9%Ralph Northam15,561	50.1%Ed Gillespie15,937	31,801
2013	R	42.1%Terry McAuliffe11,344	51.1%Ken Cuccinelli13,756	26,916
2009	R	34.3%Creigh Deeds7,945	65.6%Bob McDonnell15,193	23,163
2005	D	48.5%Tim Kaine10,205	48.0%Jerry Kilgore10,104	21,029
2001	R	49.3%Mark Warner8,505	50.2%Mark Earley8,654	17,251
1997	R	40.4%Don Beyer6,218	58.3%Jim Gilmore8,984	15,398
1993	R	40.6%Mary Sue Terry5,560	58.7%George Allen8,032	13,686
1989	R	49.8%Douglas Wilder5,827	50.0%Marshall Coleman5,850	11,692
1985	D	53.1%Gerald Baliles3,621	46.9%Wyatt Durrette3,193	6,814
1981	D	50.8%Chuck Robb3,223	49.2%Marshall Coleman3,117	6,340
1977	R	43.4%Henry Howell2,269	56.0%John N. Dalton2,932	5,234

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in James City County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	56,508
2018	58,093
2020	61,512
2022	64,019
2024	66,580

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+602 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +13,121 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $92,591 in average income, against $124,592 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+20.5 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than James City County, VA itself (D+6.2).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

York County, VA280R+6.1
Newport News city, VA280D+28.7
Williamsburg city, VA275D+44.3
Hampton city, VA97D+39.8
Fairfax County, VA73D+34.7
Virginia Beach city, VA64D+2.6

Where departures went households, 2022–23

York County, VA265
Williamsburg city, VA237
Newport News city, VA227
Richmond city, VA97
New Kent County, VA88
Henrico County, VA85

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in James City County, VA in James City County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+500
2012	+883
2013	+1,134
2014	+1,296
2015	+676
2016	+1,072
2017	+1,317
2018	+780
2019	+516
2021	+1,663
2022	+1,271
2023	+960
2024	+451
2025	+602

Home to Williamsburg and rapidly expanding residential corridors, James City County has shifted from a reliable Republican stronghold into competitive territory, posting a D+6.2 margin in 2024 as college-educated and professional households reshape its electorate.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.2 points.

A population of 81,013, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,985 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York County and Talbot County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

York County

Virginia

92.0twin score

12-yr trendcollege sharemedian income≠ median age

Talbot County

Maryland

91.3twin score

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median income

Johnson County

Kansas

90.7twin score

12-yr trendmedian income2024 margin≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

James City County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Frequently asked questions

How did James City County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, James City County, Virginia voted Democratic by 6.2 points (D+6.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 51,274 votes cast, 26,742 went Democratic and 23,575 went Republican.

When did James City County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which James City County, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in James City County, Virginia?

James City County, Virginia has a population of 81,013 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in James City County, Virginia?

Median household income in James City County, Virginia is $109,985 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of James City County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in James City County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Measure

James City County

Virginia

United States

Median age

47.1

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

6.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

27.0%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

James City County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$109,985

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

6.8%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

51.0%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

James City County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

7.8%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

3.7%

7.9%

13.6%

Measure

James City County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

13.2%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

20.1%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

55.9%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

5.2%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+6.2MIT Election Lab

Population

81,0132024 5-year

Median household income

$109,9852024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

71.7%2024 5-year

Black

12.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

7.2%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+75.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+57.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

York County, VA · twin score 92.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

43,532

55,352

78.6%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

39,159

57,194

68.5%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

49,979

59,109

84.6%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

38,324

61,293

62.5%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

51,607

62,895

82.1%

A/A

James City County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -402 - STONEHOUSE B402 - STONEHOUSE B

2,337

2,100

4,514

51.8%

46.5%

D+5.3

Precinct -502 - ROBERTS B502 - ROBERTS B

1,956

1,962

3,995

49.0%

49.1%

R+0.2

Precinct -101 - BERKELEY A101 - BERKELEY A

2,108

1,673

102

3,883

54.3%

43.1%

D+11.2

Precinct -503 - ROBERTS C503 - ROBERTS C

2,146

1,603

3,837

55.9%

41.8%

D+14.2

Precinct -403 - STONEHOUSE C403 - STONEHOUSE C

1,651

1,979

3,687

44.8%

53.7%

R+8.9

Precinct -301 - POWHATAN A301 - POWHATAN A

1,864

1,623

3,559

52.4%

45.6%

D+6.8

Precinct -401 - STONEHOUSE A401 - STONEHOUSE A

1,782

1,682

3,523

50.6%

47.7%

D+2.8

Precinct -204 - JAMESTOWN D204 - JAMESTOWN D

1,833

1,584

3,477

52.7%

45.6%

D+7.2

Precinct -304 - POWHATAN D304 - POWHATAN D

1,639

1,117

2,804

58.5%

39.8%

D+18.6

Precinct -103 - BERKELEY C103 - BERKELEY C

1,207

1,456

2,706

44.6%

53.8%

R+9.2

Precinct -102 - BERKELEY B102 - BERKELEY B

1,337

1,161

2,552

52.4%

45.5%

D+6.9

Precinct -303 - POWHATAN C303 - POWHATAN C

831

1,680

2,550

32.6%

65.9%

R+33.3

Precinct -203 - JAMESTOWN C203 - JAMESTOWN C

1,344

1,084

2,474

54.3%

43.8%

D+10.5

Precinct -202 - JAMESTOWN B202 - JAMESTOWN B

1,494

820

2,352

63.5%

34.9%

D+28.7

Precinct -201 - JAMESTOWN A201 - JAMESTOWN A

1,046

728

1,814

57.7%

40.1%

D+17.5

Precinct -501 - ROBERTS A501 - ROBERTS A

882

390

1,292

68.3%

30.2%

D+38.1

Precinct -302 - POWHATAN B302 - POWHATAN B

652

465

1,136

57.4%

40.9%

D+16.5

Precinct -104 - BERKELEY D104 - BERKELEY D

633

468

1,119

56.6%

41.8%

D+14.7

Berkeley A51095000101

—

No votes

Berkeley B51095000102

—

No votes

Berkeley C51095000103

—

No votes

Berkeley D51095000104

—

No votes

Jamestown A51095000201

—

No votes

Jamestown B (CD 01)51095000202

—

No votes

Jamestown B (CD 02)2

—

No votes

Jamestown C51095000203

—

No votes

Jamestown D51095000204

—

No votes

Powhatan A51095000301

—

No votes

Powhatan B51095000302

—

No votes

Powhatan C51095000303

—

No votes

Powhatan D51095000304

—

No votes

Roberts A51095000501

—

No votes

Roberts B51095000502

—

No votes

Roberts C51095000503

—

No votes

Roberts D (CD 01)2

—

No votes

Roberts D (CD 02)51095000504

—

No votes

Stonehouse A51095000401

—

No votes

Stonehouse B51095000402

—

No votes

Stonehouse C51095000403

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−33.3%
1896	−5.4%
1900	+7.1%
1904	+46.4%
1908	+35.7%
1912	+75.6%
1916	+57.1%
1920	+53.9%
1924	+49.6%
1928	−0.7%
1932	+43.8%
1936	+62.4%
1940	+35.2%
1944	+32.6%
1948	+4.7%
1952	−20.7%
1956	−35.7%
1960	−1.6%
1964	+20.9%
1968	+1.9%
1972	−57.0%
1976	−2.9%
1980	−15.2%
1984	−33.9%
1988	−31.2%
1992	−12.3%
1996	−15.5%
2000	−22.6%
2004	−22.6%
2008	−9.2%
2012	−12.0%
2016	−5.1%
2020	+4.8%
2024	+6.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

52.2%Harris26,742

46.0%Trump23,575

0.5%Oliver258 +4

D+6.2

D+1.3

D+7.6

51,274

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic52.2%26,742
Donald J TrumpRepublican46.0%23,575
OtherAll other candidates0.7%382
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%258
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%159
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%89
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%69

2020

51.5%Biden25,553

46.7%Trump23,153

1.4%Jorgensen710

D+4.8

D+9.9

D+0.4

49,622

2016

44.3%Clinton19,105

49.4%Trump21,306

3.2%Johnson1,395

R+5.1

D+6.9

R+7.2

43,169

2012

43.4%Obama17,879

55.4%Romney22,843

1.3%

R+12.0

R+2.8

R+15.9

41,240

2008

44.9%Obama17,352

54.2%McCain20,912

0.9%

R+9.2

D+13.3

R+16.5

38,603

2004

38.4%Kerry11,934

60.9%Bush18,949

0.7%

R+22.6

±0.0

R+20.1

31,090

2000

37.1%Gore9,090

59.7%Bush14,628

2.6%Nader639

R+22.6

R+7.2

R+23.1

24,492

1996

39.0%Clinton7,247

54.4%Dole10,120

6.0%Perot1,116

R+15.5

R+3.1

R+24.0

18,586

1992

35.9%Clinton6,536

48.2%Bush8,781

14.7%Perot2,675

R+12.3

D+18.9

R+17.9

18,221

1988

33.7%Dukakis4,642

64.9%Bush8,945

1.4%

R+31.2

D+2.6

R+23.5

13,773

1984

32.6%Mondale3,486

66.5%Reagan7,104

0.8%

R+33.9

R+18.7

R+15.7

10,677

1980

38.1%Carter3,068

53.3%Reagan4,289

8.6%

R+15.2

R+12.3

R+5.4

8,048

1976

46.5%Carter3,000

49.4%Ford3,186

4.2%

R+2.9

D+54.1

R+4.9

6,454

1972

20.7%McGovern206

77.6%Nixon774

1.7%

R+57.0

R+58.9

R+33.8

997

1968

37.4%Humphrey1,521

35.5%Nixon1,443

27.1%

D+1.9

R+19.0

D+2.6

4,065

1964

60.4%Johnson2,656

39.5%Goldwater1,737

0.1%

D+20.9

D+22.5

R+1.7

4,399

1960

48.9%Kennedy845

50.5%Nixon873

0.6%

R+1.6

D+34.1

R+1.8

1,729

1956

26.8%Stevenson312

62.5%Eisenhower728

10.7%

R+35.7

R+15.1

R+20.3

1,164

1952

39.5%Stevenson346

60.2%Eisenhower527

0.2%

R+20.7

R+25.4

R+9.9

875

1948

44.5%Truman198

39.8%Dewey177

15.7%

D+4.7

R+27.9

D+0.2

445

1944

66.3%Roosevelt317

33.7%Dewey161

0.0%

D+32.6

R+2.6

D+25.1

478

1940

67.4%Roosevelt306

32.2%Willkie146

0.4%

D+35.2

R+27.1

D+25.3

454

1936

81.2%Roosevelt302

18.8%Landon70

0.0%

D+62.4

D+18.6

D+38.1

372

1932

71.1%Roosevelt302

27.3%Hoover116

1.6%

D+43.8

D+44.5

D+26.0

425

1928

49.6%Smith201

50.4%Hoover204

0.0%

R+0.7

R+50.3

D+16.7

405

1924

72.1%Davis173

22.5%Coolidge54

5.4%La Follette13

D+49.6

R+4.3

D+74.8

240

1920

76.4%Cox207

22.5%Harding61

1.1%

D+53.9

R+3.2

D+80.1

271

1916

77.9%Wilson127

20.9%Hughes34

1.2%

D+57.1

R+18.6

D+53.9

163

1912

82.1%Wilson128

6.4%Taft10

11.5%

D+75.6

D+39.9

D+56.1

156

1908

67.3%Bryan132

31.6%Taft62

1.0%

D+35.7

R+10.7

D+45.3

196

1904

71.0%Parker98

24.6%Roosevelt34

4.3%

D+46.4

D+39.3

D+66.0

138

1900

53.5%Bryan294

46.4%McKinley255

0.2%

D+7.1

D+12.5

D+14.6

550

1896

47.0%Bryan261

52.4%McKinley291

0.5%

R+5.4

D+27.9

D+0.7

555

1892

33.3%Cleveland233

66.6%Harrison466

0.1%

R+33.3

—

R+34.9

700

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

47.8%24,239

52.2%26,471

50,710

2020

52.4%19,889

47.6%18,056

37,945

2018

47.5%18,412

52.5%20,346

38,758

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

52.9%26,991

47.1%24,033

51,024

2020Class II

52.1%Mark Warner25,685

47.8%Daniel Gade23,600

49,326

2018Class I

51.9%Tim Kaine20,146

46.3%Corey Stewart17,955

38,818

2014Class II

43.7%Mark Warner11,577

54.4%Ed Gillespie14,403

26,482

2012Class I

46.2%Tim Kaine18,878

53.7%George Allen21,957

40,900

2008Class II

59.6%Mark Warner22,682

39.2%Jim Gilmore14,908

38,077

2006Class I

45.7%Jim Webb11,860

53.3%George Allen13,832

25,961

2002Class II

0.0%None0

86.1%John Warner14,266

16,565

2000Class I

45.3%Chuck Robb11,088

54.6%George Allen13,379

24,488

1996Class II

37.8%Mark Warner7,179

61.9%John Warner11,748

18,972

1994Class I

46.7%Chuck Robb7,499

39.9%Oliver North6,411

16,067

1990Class II

0.0%None0

81.8%John Warner6,457

7,897

1988Class I

71.3%Chuck Robb9,091

28.7%Maurice A. Dawkins3,654

12,748

1984Class II

28.6%Edythe Harrison2,873

71.4%John Warner7,182

10,055

1982Class I

37.7%Dick Davis2,489

62.3%Paul S. Trible4,119

6,610

1978Class II

51.6%Andrew Miller2,519

48.4%John Warner2,363

4,886

1976Class I

38.4%Elmo Zumwalt2,192

0.0%None0

5,708

1972Class II

50.2%William B. Spong Jr.2,606

45.9%Bill Scott2,383

5,187

1970Class I

38.6%George C. Rawlings Jr.1,079

12.4%Ray Garland347

2,796

1966Class II

61.1%William B. Spong Jr.908

29.6%James P. Ould Jr.440

1,485

1964Class I

59.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,558

12.2%Richard A. May321

2,627

1960Class II

73.8%A. Willis Robertson1,146

0.0%None0

1,552

1958Class I

68.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.453

0.0%None0

665

1954Class II

75.2%A. Willis Robertson240

0.0%None0

319

1952Class I

78.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.654

0.0%None0

837

1948Class II

64.5%A. Willis Robertson251

25.7%Robert H. Woods100

389

1946Class I

73.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.161

20.5%Lester S. Parsons45

220

1942Class II

97.1%Carter Glass68

0.0%None0

1940Class I

95.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.411

0.0%None0

431

1936Class II

94.5%Carter Glass359

4.2%George Rohlson16

380

1934Class I

85.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.115

13.3%Lawrence C. Page18

135

1930Class II

89.4%Carter Glass126

0.0%None0

141

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson375

0.0%None0

375

1924Class II

87.0%Carter Glass201

3.5%William Doak8

231

1922Class I

95.2%Claude Swanson160

3.6%J.W. McGavock6

168

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin52

0.0%None0

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson160

0.0%None0

160

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

47.2%Harry F. Byrd Jr.694

41.9%Lawrence Traylor617

1,471

1933Special · Class I

71.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.124

26.4%Henry Wise46

174

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

55.3%Abigail Spanberger23,603

44.6%Winsome Earle-Sears19,029

42,695

2017

48.9%Ralph Northam15,561

50.1%Ed Gillespie15,937

31,801

2013

42.1%Terry McAuliffe11,344

51.1%Ken Cuccinelli13,756

26,916

2009

34.3%Creigh Deeds7,945

65.6%Bob McDonnell15,193

23,163

2005

48.5%Tim Kaine10,205

48.0%Jerry Kilgore10,104

21,029

2001

49.3%Mark Warner8,505

50.2%Mark Earley8,654

17,251

1997

40.4%Don Beyer6,218

58.3%Jim Gilmore8,984

15,398

1993

40.6%Mary Sue Terry5,560

58.7%George Allen8,032

13,686

1989

49.8%Douglas Wilder5,827

50.0%Marshall Coleman5,850

11,692

1985

53.1%Gerald Baliles3,621

46.9%Wyatt Durrette3,193

6,814

1981

50.8%Chuck Robb3,223

49.2%Marshall Coleman3,117

6,340

1977

43.4%Henry Howell2,269

56.0%John N. Dalton2,932

5,234

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in James City County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	56,508
2018	58,093
2020	61,512
2022	64,019
2024	66,580

How did James City County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, James City County, Virginia voted Democratic by 6.2 points (D+6.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 51,274 votes cast, 26,742 went Democratic and 23,575 went Republican.

When did James City County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which James City County, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in James City County, Virginia?

James City County, Virginia has a population of 81,013 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in James City County, Virginia?

Median household income in James City County, Virginia is $109,985 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of James City County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in James City County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.