akashic
1876–2024
James City County, Virginia
James City County·Virginia

James City County votes the way the country votes.

Colonial-era county where suburban growth has tilted margins toward Democrats

18762024·38 elections
James City County, Virginia · Mojo Hand · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+6
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
81,013
2024 ACS
Most similar
Johnson County
KS · similarity 0.98
18 precincts · 51,221 votes cast
Harris · D+6
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+6.2%
26,71423,55151,221
2020D
+4.8%
25,55323,15349,622
2016R
−5.1%
19,10521,30643,169
2012R
−12.0%
17,87922,84341,240
2008R
−9.2%
17,35220,91238,603
2004R
−22.6%
11,93418,94931,090
2000R
−22.6%
9,09014,62824,492
1996R
−15.5%
7,24710,12018,586
1992R
−12.3%
6,5368,78118,221
1988R
−31.2%
4,6428,94513,773
1984R
−33.9%
3,4867,10410,677
1980R
−15.2%
3,0684,2898,048
1976R
−2.9%
3,0003,1866,454
1972R
−57.0%
206774997
1968D
+1.9%
1,5211,4434,065
1964D
+20.9%
2,6561,7374,399
1960R
−1.6%
8458731,729
1956R
−35.7%
3127281,164
1952R
−20.7%
346527875
1948D
+4.7%
198177445
1944D
+32.6%
317161478
1940D
+35.2%
306146454
1936D
+62.4%
30270372
1932D
+43.8%
302116425
1928R
−0.7%
201204405
1924D
+49.6%
17354240
1920D
+53.9%
20761271
1916D
+57.1%
12734163
1912D
+75.6%
12810156
1908D
+35.7%
13262196
1904D
+46.4%
9834138
1900D
+7.1%
294255550
1896R
−5.4%
261291555
1892R
−33.3%
233466700
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
9.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.9%
Non-Christian
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Baptist
2.9%
Methodist
2.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Williamsburg and rapidly expanding residential corridors, James City County has shifted from a reliable Republican stronghold into competitive territory, posting a D+6.2 margin in 2024 as college-educated and professional households reshape its electorate.

The Democratic margin in James City County has rarely exceeded seventy-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the county to the Democratic candidate by six points.

James City County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $109,985 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Johnson County and Stafford County.