akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 19·Arizona

Arizona 19th State Senate District delivered R+11 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of metro Phoenix's most Democratic-leaning upper-chamber seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
AZ
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
244,642
2024 ACS

Arizona 19th State Senate District, Arizona: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
244,6422024 5-year
Median household income
$63,7332024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.5%2024 5-year
Black
2.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
38.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+58 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+20 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
5 counties · 2 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.1%
48,81661,181111,636
R
−6.6%
52,07759,637113,999
R
−7.6%
39,51746,63993,674
R
−11.0%
38,55448,34088,779
R
−11.3%
38,74948,82688,877
R
−11.9%
35,61545,36881,813
R
−6.9%
28,10832,50763,719
D
+5.4%
28,76125,47560,817
D
+4.0%
26,03223,47663,962
R
−9.2%
24,13729,13254,020
R
−20.1%
20,30130,65551,475
R
−19.9%
15,69324,63344,980
R
−0.9%
19,08619,44439,960
R
−20.0%
13,46720,97337,581
R
−2.2%
13,11313,77730,798
D
+12.8%
17,95713,86831,847
D
+4.4%
15,04213,77228,851
R
−9.5%
10,88913,16424,065
R
−0.2%
11,75111,79223,543
D
+24.0%
11,0766,67518,370
D
+33.5%
11,4585,69617,184
D
+44.4%
14,0365,38919,483
D
+57.7%
13,0093,33716,775
D
+46.9%
12,1704,19317,006
R
−7.2%
6,7247,77614,560
D
+3.1%
5,3264,92013,272
R
−4.6%
6,5887,22313,810
D
+30.1%
8,7514,47014,205
D
+36.9%
3,0176046,548
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
11.7%
English
11.1%
Irish
8.2%
American
3.7%
Italian
2.9%
Scottish
2.1%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.1%
3.5%
75–84
4.0%
6.0%
65–74
6.6%
5.8%
55–64
6.2%
5.4%
45–54
5.1%
6.3%
35–44
5.7%
6.8%
25–34
6.0%
5.0%
18–24
4.2%
8.2%
5–17
8.0%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,733
State Senate District 19 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 19$63,733
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.3%
Working age (18–64)14.3%
Seniors (65+)14.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.6%
speak English only
Spanish25.4%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.8%
Other Christian
16.8%
Baptist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Methodist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in the urban core of the Phoenix area, this district posted a 15-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a dense, diverse constituency that has shifted steadily away from statewide competitiveness.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-eight points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty points in 1984. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 244,642, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $63,733 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 19, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/04019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 19, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 19, Arizona voted Republican by 11.1 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 111,636 votes cast, 48,816 went Democratic and 61,181 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 19, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 19, Arizona as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 19, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 19, Arizona voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State Senate District 19, Arizona?
State Senate District 19, Arizona has a population of 244,642 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 19, Arizona?
Median household income in State Senate District 19, Arizona is $63,733 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of State Senate District 19, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 19, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.