- Lead
- 2,161
- Total
- 3,062
- vs nation
- D+72.0
- Turnout
- 34.9%
Oglala Lakota County, SD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 34.9% of 8,714 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,532
- Total
- 3,200
- vs nation
- D+74.7
- Turnout
- 36.0%
- Lead
- 2,269
- Total
- 2,905
- vs nation
- D+76.0
- Turnout
- 33.4%
- Lead
- 2,749
- Total
- 3,145
- vs nation
- D+83.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,640
- Total
- 3,350
- vs nation
- D+71.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,040
- Total
- 4,214
- vs nation
- D+74.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,415
- Total
- 1,953
- vs nation
- D+71.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,673
- Total
- 2,284
- vs nation
- D+64.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+70.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,4912024 5-year
- Population density
- 6.4 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,094 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $41,4172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Menominee County, WI · twin score 98.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 34.9%3,037 participants ÷ 8,714 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +6.3 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 28.5%–32.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,961 | 8,862 | 33.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,068 | 8,982 | 34.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,245 | 9,009 | 36.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,569 | 8,648 | 29.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,037 | 8,714 | 34.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Oglala Lakota County, SD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1924–2024 · 26 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
93.4%
2,937 votes · D+87.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 88.7%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
88.6%
1,269 votes · R+81.1
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 56.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
3,566votes
84.6% of the vote · D+72.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,971 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
1,429votes
56.7% of the vote · R+13.3
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 1,269 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+83.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+87.4 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +81.9 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+56.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+81.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +23.3 pts
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic than the rolls.
7,794 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−170 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,644 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,496 in average income, against $43,941 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.4 on average — 97 points more Republican-leaning than Oglala Lakota County, SD itself (D+70.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pennington County, SD48R+26.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pennington County, SD93
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +27 |
| 2012 | −77 |
| 2013 | −125 |
| 2014 | −146 |
| 2015 | −33 |
| 2016 | −89 |
| 2017 | −167 |
| 2018 | −158 |
| 2019 | −261 |
| 2021 | −121 |
| 2022 | −94 |
| 2023 | −125 |
| 2024 | −105 |
| 2025 | −170 |
Oglala Lakota County, coextensive with the Pine Ridge Reservation, routinely posts presidential margins exceeding 70 points, reflecting both its nearly 90% Lakota population and decades of consistent Native American electoral solidarity.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.4 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 81.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.6 points.
A population of 13,491, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,417 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Menominee County and Todd County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.