- Lead
- 754
- Total
- 1,393
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- 74.8%
Aurora County, SD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.8% of 1,893 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 735
- Total
- 1,405
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- 74.6%
- Lead
- 634
- Total
- 1,407
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Turnout
- 75.2%
- Lead
- 248
- Total
- 1,400
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 139
- Total
- 1,495
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 389
- Total
- 1,649
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 334
- Total
- 1,413
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 45
- Total
- 1,507
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,6422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bon Homme County, SD · twin score 88.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.8%1,416 participants ÷ 1,893 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +5.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 68.4%–69.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,448 | 1,926 | 75.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,284 | 1,896 | 67.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,424 | 1,909 | 74.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,280 | 1,849 | 69.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,416 | 1,893 | 74.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 1,393 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -33 | 103 | 300 | 17 | 420 | 24.5% | 71.4% | R+46.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -77 | 75 | 244 | 8 | 327 | 22.9% | 74.6% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -11 | 56 | 229 | 6 | 291 | 19.2% | 78.7% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -55 | 47 | 157 | 2 | 206 | 22.8% | 76.2% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -22 | 21 | 126 | 2 | 149 | 14.1% | 84.6% | R+70.5 |
| VTD-precinct 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −25.9% |
| 1896 | +10.5% |
| 1900 | −1.7% |
| 1904 | −22.1% |
| 1908 | +0.6% |
| 1912 | +51.2% |
| 1916 | +3.6% |
| 1920 | −27.4% |
| 1924 | −11.3% |
| 1928 | −4.2% |
| 1932 | +44.9% |
| 1936 | +24.3% |
| 1940 | −0.8% |
| 1944 | −7.0% |
| 1948 | +9.3% |
| 1952 | −18.8% |
| 1956 | +13.1% |
| 1960 | +0.1% |
| 1964 | +28.2% |
| 1968 | +0.8% |
| 1972 | +7.8% |
| 1976 | +20.8% |
| 1980 | −25.5% |
| 1984 | −10.0% |
| 1988 | +7.1% |
| 1992 | +5.0% |
| 1996 | −3.0% |
| 2000 | −23.6% |
| 2004 | −23.6% |
| 2008 | −9.3% |
| 2012 | −17.7% |
| 2016 | −45.1% |
| 2020 | −52.3% |
| 2024 | −54.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 16.5%273 | 83.5%1,385 | 1,658 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%1,224 | 1,224 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic.
1,800 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−6 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −112 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,773 in average income, against $66,070 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +5 |
| 2012 | +36 |
| 2013 | −47 |
| 2014 | +22 |
| 2015 | −32 |
| 2016 | −17 |
| 2017 | −36 |
| 2018 | +6 |
| 2019 | −52 |
| 2021 | +2 |
| 2022 | +21 |
| 2023 | +17 |
| 2024 | −31 |
| 2025 | −6 |
Aurora's roughly 3,000 residents are spread across a largely agricultural landscape where the 2024 presidential margin exceeded 54 points, placing it among the state's most uniformly partisan counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 54.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.1 points.
A population of 2,642, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,885 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bon Homme County and Hancock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Aurora County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.