- Lead
- 6,549
- Total
- 11,587
- vs nation
- R+55.0
South Dakota 21st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,344
- Total
- 11,849
- vs nation
- R+58.0
- Lead
- 6,021
- Total
- 11,166
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Lead
- 4,073
- Total
- 11,696
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Lead
- 2,907
- Total
- 12,315
- vs nation
- R+30.9
- Lead
- 4,123
- Total
- 14,250
- vs nation
- R+26.5
- Lead
- 4,066
- Total
- 11,723
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Lead
- 1,406
- Total
- 13,096
- vs nation
- R+19.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,5732024 5-year
- Population density
- 5.1 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,865 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,7192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 23, SD · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
South Dakota 21st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 20 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
50.9%
5,984 votes · D+4.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 47.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
77.4%
8,966 votes · R+56.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
6,244votes
43.8% of the vote · R+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 5,984 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
10,666votes
65.4% of the vote · R+36.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 9,662 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+26.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.0 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +3.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+58.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +56.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.7%2,215 | 81.3%9,650 | 11,865 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%7,832 | 7,832 |
South Dakota 21st State Senate District sits in the Northern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.5 points.
A population of 24,573, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,719 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 23 and State Senate District 19.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
South Dakota 21st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/46021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.