HarrisDemocratic14.2%3,138TrumpRepublican84.7%18,710OtherAll other candidates1.1%242
R+70.5- Lead
- 15,572
- Total
- 22,090
- vs nation
- R+69.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Nebraska 40th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic14.9%3,421TrumpRepublican83.1%19,085OtherAll other candidates1.9%447
R+68.2- Lead
- 15,664
- Total
- 22,953
- vs nation
- R+72.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic13.3%2,753TrumpRepublican81.2%16,799OtherAll other candidates5.5%1,132
R+67.9- Lead
- 14,046
- Total
- 20,684
- vs nation
- R+70.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic21.7%4,363RomneyRepublican76.0%15,304OtherAll other candidates2.4%480
R+54.3- Lead
- 10,941
- Total
- 20,147
- vs nation
- R+58.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic26.6%5,316McCainRepublican71.3%14,261OtherAll other candidates2.1%424
R+44.7- Lead
- 8,945
- Total
- 20,001
- vs nation
- R+52.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic21.5%4,546BushRepublican77.1%16,295OtherAll other candidates1.4%291
R+55.6- Lead
- 11,749
- Total
- 21,132
- vs nation
- R+53.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic22.0%4,424BushRepublican74.1%14,897OtherAll other candidates3.9%793
R+52.1- Lead
- 10,473
- Total
- 20,114
- vs nation
- R+52.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic26.9%5,448DoleRepublican58.2%11,782OtherAll other candidates14.9%3,024
R+31.3- Lead
- 6,334
- Total
- 20,254
- vs nation
- R+39.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+70.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,9622024 5-year
- Population density
- 6.9 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5,791 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,3992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 40, KS · twin score 93.8
presidential history
Party record book
Nebraska 40th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
68.5%
22,385 votes · D+38.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 56.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
84.7%
18,710 votes · R+70.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
22,385votes
68.5% of the vote · D+38.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 18,174 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
22,859votes
76.5% of the vote · R+53.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 21,761 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+22.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +20.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+72.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +70.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
OBarry DeKayState Senate · 40
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+70.5, this sparsely populated Panhandle-area district ranks among the most one-sided in the state. Its roughly 40,000 residents are spread across vast rural terrain where agriculture and ranching define both the economy and the electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 70.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.5 points.
A population of 39,962, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,399 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 40 and State Senate District 23.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 40
Kansas
93.8twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
State Senate District 23
South Dakota
93.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
State Senate District 19
Nebraska
93.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nebraska 40th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/31040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Nebraska at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Nebraska 40th State Senate District
counties it covers6
Frequently asked questions
How did Nebraska 40th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nebraska 40th State Senate District voted Republican by 70.5 points (R+70.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,090 votes cast, 3,138 went Democratic and 18,710 went Republican.
When did Nebraska 40th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nebraska 40th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Nebraska 40th State Senate District?
Nebraska 40th State Senate District has a population of 39,962 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nebraska 40th State Senate District?
Median household income in Nebraska 40th State Senate District is $68,399 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Nebraska 40th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nebraska 40th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.