HarrisDemocratic14.2%702TrumpRepublican83.9%4,141OliverNonpartisan0.9%44
R+69.6- Lead
- 3,439
- Total
- 4,938
- vs nation
- R+68.2
- Turnout
- 81.7%
Akashiccounty
Cedar County, NE
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.7% of 6,152 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic14.5%725TrumpRepublican83.2%4,174JorgensenLibertarian1.9%97
R+68.8- Lead
- 3,449
- Total
- 5,015
- vs nation
- R+73.2
- Turnout
- 80.3%
ClintonDemocratic12.9%571TrumpRepublican79.9%3,532JohnsonLibertarian5.1%224
R+67.0- Lead
- 2,961
- Total
- 4,420
- vs nation
- R+69.1
- Turnout
- 69.3%
ObamaDemocratic22.1%958RomneyRepublican75.6%3,278GrayLibertarian1.4%61
R+53.5- Lead
- 2,320
- Total
- 4,334
- vs nation
- R+57.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.5%1,190McCainRepublican69.8%2,912OtherAll other candidates1.7%72
R+41.3- Lead
- 1,722
- Total
- 4,174
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic23.9%1,083BushRepublican74.7%3,387OtherAll other candidates1.5%66
R+50.8- Lead
- 2,304
- Total
- 4,536
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic24.9%1,062BushRepublican70.0%2,989NaderGreen3.3%140
R+45.1- Lead
- 1,927
- Total
- 4,269
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic29.3%1,218DoleRepublican52.2%2,171PerotReform17.8%739
R+22.9- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 4,159
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,3152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,5782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Knox County, NE · twin score 95.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 81.7%5,025 participants ÷ 6,152 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.1%–67.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,513 | 6,510 | 69.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,611 | 6,357 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,058 | 6,298 | 80.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,023 | 6,211 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,025 | 6,152 | 81.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 4,912 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PCT 06 (8-9)PCT 06 (8-9) | 177 | 1,032 | 14 | 1,223 | 14.5% | 84.4% | R+69.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PCT 13 (21)PCT 13 (21) | 102 | 522 | 21 | 645 | 15.8% | 80.9% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -PCT 01 (1)PCT 01 (1) | 89 | 509 | 5 | 603 | 14.8% | 84.4% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -PCT 09 (15-16)PCT 09 (15-16) | 67 | 394 | 8 | 469 | 14.3% | 84.0% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -PCT 02 (2-3)PCT 02 (2-3) | 55 | 396 | 3 | 454 | 12.1% | 87.2% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -PCT 04 (5-6-7)PCT 04 (5-6-7) | 67 | 375 | 6 | 448 | 15.0% | 83.7% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -PCT 08 (10-11-12)PCT 08 (10-11-12) | 28 | 248 | 4 | 280 | 10.0% | 88.6% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -PCT 03 (4)PCT 03 (4) | 25 | 184 | 2 | 211 | 11.8% | 87.2% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -PCT 05 (13-14)PCT 05 (13-14) | 31 | 133 | 1 | 165 | 18.8% | 80.6% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -PCT 12 (20)PCT 12 (20) | 29 | 123 | 2 | 154 | 18.8% | 79.9% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -PCT 10 (17-18)PCT 10 (17-18) | 13 | 138 | 2 | 153 | 8.5% | 90.2% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -PCT 07 (9A)PCT 07 (9A) | 19 | 87 | 1 | 107 | 17.8% | 81.3% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -PCT 11 (19)PCT 11 (19) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −26.1% |
| 1896 | +18.5% |
| 1900 | +4.1% |
| 1904 | −25.6% |
| 1908 | +3.1% |
| 1912 | +24.1% |
| 1916 | −0.3% |
| 1920 | −50.1% |
| 1924 | −11.3% |
| 1928 | +0.5% |
| 1932 | +48.8% |
| 1936 | +20.4% |
| 1940 | −25.3% |
| 1944 | −32.6% |
| 1948 | −0.7% |
| 1952 | −54.1% |
| 1956 | −29.4% |
| 1960 | −2.0% |
| 1964 | +14.9% |
| 1968 | −30.4% |
| 1972 | −24.7% |
| 1976 | −4.0% |
| 1980 | −41.0% |
| 1984 | −46.2% |
| 1988 | −16.6% |
| 1992 | −21.6% |
| 1996 | −22.9% |
| 2000 | −45.1% |
| 2004 | −50.8% |
| 2008 | −41.3% |
| 2012 | −53.5% |
| 2016 | −67.0% |
| 2020 | −68.8% |
| 2024 | −69.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+56.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+69.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Democratic.
5,766 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+34 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −476 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,012 in average income, against $87,103 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.5 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Cedar County, NE itself (R+69.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Yankton County, SD21R+25.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Yankton County, SD26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −69 |
| 2012 | −55 |
| 2013 | −72 |
| 2014 | −99 |
| 2015 | −38 |
| 2016 | +74 |
| 2017 | −82 |
| 2018 | −71 |
| 2019 | −62 |
| 2021 | −57 |
| 2022 | +42 |
| 2023 | −91 |
| 2024 | +70 |
| 2025 | +34 |
Cedar County's R+70 margin in 2024 ranks among the widest in the state, reflecting a sparse, agriculturally rooted population where Republican presidential candidates have dominated for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 69.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.6 points.
A population of 8,315, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,578 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knox County and Gregory County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Knox County
Nebraska
95.6twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Gregory County
South Dakota
93.6twin score
% unaffiliated2016–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Cuming County
Nebraska
93.4twin score
2000–2016 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cedar County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cedar County, Nebraska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cedar County, Nebraska voted Republican by 69.6 points (R+69.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,938 votes cast, 702 went Democratic and 4,141 went Republican.
When did Cedar County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cedar County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Cedar County, Nebraska?
Cedar County, Nebraska has a population of 8,315 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cedar County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Cedar County, Nebraska is $73,578 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Cedar County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cedar County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.