- Lead
- 5,861
- Total
- 15,830
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- 77.1%
Cass County, NE
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.1% of 20,797 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,384
- Total
- 15,326
- vs nation
- R+39.6
- Turnout
- 82.5%
- Lead
- 4,968
- Total
- 12,933
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- 69.1%
- Lead
- 3,189
- Total
- 12,180
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,367
- Total
- 12,122
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,144
- Total
- 11,529
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,488
- Total
- 10,280
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,401
- Total
- 9,685
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,1612024 5-year
- Median household income
- $91,8362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mills County, IA · twin score 90.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.1%16,037 participants ÷ 20,797 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.4%–57.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,190 | 19,099 | 69.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,909 | 19,316 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,193 | 19,620 | 82.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,564 | 20,363 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,037 | 20,797 | 77.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 15,755 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TIPTON 001TIPTON 001 | 392 | 896 | 27 | 1,315 | 29.8% | 68.1% | R+38.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SOUTH ROCK BLUFF 017SOUTH ROCK BLUFF 017 | 336 | 866 | 17 | 1,219 | 27.6% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -BUCCANEER BAY 007BUCCANEER BAY 007 | 389 | 560 | 17 | 966 | 40.3% | 58.0% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -SOUTH PLATTSMOUTH 020SOUTH PLATTSMOUTH 020 | 249 | 648 | 13 | 910 | 27.4% | 71.2% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -NORTH ROCK BLUFF 016NORTH ROCK BLUFF 016 | 226 | 499 | 10 | 735 | 30.7% | 67.9% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -EIGHT MILE GROVE 013EIGHT MILE GROVE 013 | 199 | 529 | 4 | 732 | 27.2% | 72.3% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -WEST LOUISVILLE 010WEST LOUISVILLE 010 | 202 | 491 | 15 | 708 | 28.5% | 69.4% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 006SOUTH BEND 006 | 215 | 460 | 5 | 680 | 31.6% | 67.6% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -STOVE CREEK 004STOVE CREEK 004 | 191 | 423 | 9 | 623 | 30.7% | 67.9% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTSMOUTH 019NORTH PLATTSMOUTH 019 | 166 | 445 | 7 | 618 | 26.9% | 72.0% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -SALT CREEK 003SALT CREEK 003 | 173 | 408 | 12 | 593 | 29.2% | 68.8% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -EAST LOUISVILLE 009EAST LOUISVILLE 009 | 197 | 381 | 7 | 585 | 33.7% | 65.1% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -MURDOCK 005MURDOCK 005 | 146 | 287 | 3 | 436 | 33.5% | 65.8% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -PCT 1 WARD 1-023PCT 1 WARD 1-023 | 169 | 236 | 9 | 414 | 40.8% | 57.0% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -WEST ROCK BLUFF 018WEST ROCK BLUFF 018 | 116 | 290 | 7 | 413 | 28.1% | 70.2% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -PCT 2 WARD 4-030PCT 2 WARD 4-030 | 119 | 276 | 3 | 398 | 29.9% | 69.3% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -PCT 1 WARD 2-025PCT 1 WARD 2-025 | 144 | 239 | 9 | 392 | 36.7% | 61.0% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -PCT 1 WARD 3-027PCT 1 WARD 3-027 | 107 | 265 | 7 | 379 | 28.2% | 69.9% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY 015LIBERTY 015 | 120 | 251 | 7 | 378 | 31.7% | 66.4% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -PCT 2 WARD 2-026PCT 2 WARD 2-026 | 125 | 230 | 6 | 361 | 34.6% | 63.7% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -NORTH WEEPING WATER 021NORTH WEEPING WATER 021 | 110 | 222 | 13 | 345 | 31.9% | 64.3% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -PCT 2 WARD 3-028PCT 2 WARD 3-028 | 114 | 226 | 5 | 345 | 33.0% | 65.5% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -PCT 2 WARD 1-024PCT 2 WARD 1-024 | 118 | 218 | 6 | 342 | 34.5% | 63.7% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -CENTER 008CENTER 008 | 93 | 238 | 2 | 333 | 27.9% | 71.5% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -SOUTH WEEPING WATER 022SOUTH WEEPING WATER 022 | 100 | 213 | 5 | 318 | 31.4% | 67.0% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -AVOCA 011AVOCA 011 | 66 | 223 | 7 | 296 | 22.3% | 75.3% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -MCKELVERLY 002MCKELVERLY 002 | 77 | 213 | 4 | 294 | 26.2% | 72.4% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -PCT 1 WARD 4-029PCT 1 WARD 4-029 | 90 | 175 | 7 | 272 | 33.1% | 64.3% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -NEHAWKA 014NEHAWKA 014 | 42 | 170 | 1 | 213 | 19.7% | 79.8% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -MOUNT PLEASANT 012MOUNT PLEASANT 012 | 33 | 107 | 2 | 142 | 23.2% | 75.4% | R+52.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −31.7% |
| 1896 | −3.6% |
| 1900 | −12.5% |
| 1904 | −27.0% |
| 1908 | −1.1% |
| 1912 | +24.0% |
| 1916 | +14.1% |
| 1920 | −22.6% |
| 1924 | −17.5% |
| 1928 | −28.7% |
| 1932 | +29.7% |
| 1936 | +14.5% |
| 1940 | −12.9% |
| 1944 | −18.7% |
| 1948 | −7.4% |
| 1952 | −32.3% |
| 1956 | −27.7% |
| 1960 | −23.4% |
| 1964 | +14.9% |
| 1968 | −26.2% |
| 1972 | −42.8% |
| 1976 | −8.4% |
| 1980 | −40.8% |
| 1984 | −36.9% |
| 1988 | −11.8% |
| 1992 | −13.7% |
| 1996 | −14.5% |
| 2000 | −24.2% |
| 2004 | −35.9% |
| 2008 | −19.5% |
| 2012 | −26.2% |
| 2016 | −38.4% |
| 2020 | −35.1% |
| 2024 | −37.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.3 points.
19,636 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+149 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,564 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,991 in average income, against $95,801 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.0 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Cass County, NE itself (R+37.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sarpy County, NE238R+11.6
- Douglas County, NE193D+10.1
- Lancaster County, NE123D+4.3
- Otoe County, NE26R+38.8
- Saunders County, NE24R+46.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sarpy County, NE193
- Douglas County, NE174
- Lancaster County, NE115
- Saunders County, NE30
- Otoe County, NE29
- Pottawattamie County, IA24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −99 |
| 2012 | −162 |
| 2013 | +107 |
| 2014 | +63 |
| 2015 | −25 |
| 2016 | +172 |
| 2017 | +256 |
| 2018 | +209 |
| 2019 | +17 |
| 2021 | +515 |
| 2022 | +86 |
| 2023 | +262 |
| 2024 | +14 |
| 2025 | +149 |
Cass County sits just south of the Omaha metro, where low-density exurban growth has accompanied consistently large Republican presidential margins — 37 points in 2024 — making it one of the more reliably right-leaning counties in the state's eastern tier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 42.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.0 points.
A population of 27,161, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,836 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mills County and Washington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cass County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.