- Lead
- 2,736
- Total
- 4,607
- vs nation
- R+57.9
- Turnout
- 74.5%
Butler County, NE
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.5% of 6,275 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,669
- Total
- 4,518
- vs nation
- R+63.5
- Turnout
- 75.4%
- Lead
- 2,388
- Total
- 3,981
- vs nation
- R+62.1
- Turnout
- 65.5%
- Lead
- 1,693
- Total
- 3,859
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,367
- Total
- 3,839
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,948
- Total
- 4,168
- vs nation
- R+44.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,610
- Total
- 3,828
- vs nation
- R+42.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 943
- Total
- 3,696
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,4242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,2682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cedar County, NE · twin score 92.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.5%4,677 participants ÷ 6,275 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.4%–62.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,047 | 6,179 | 65.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,567 | 6,093 | 58.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,564 | 6,051 | 75.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,590 | 6,267 | 57.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,677 | 6,275 | 74.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 4,587 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -006 PLUM CREEK-RICHARDSON-ULYSSES006 PLUM CREEK-RICHARDSON-ULYSSES | 118 | 409 | 3 | 530 | 22.3% | 77.2% | R+54.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -011 THIRD WARD011 THIRD WARD | 112 | 407 | 3 | 522 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -005 SUMMIT-READING-READ005 SUMMIT-READING-READ | 93 | 417 | 6 | 516 | 18.0% | 80.8% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -010 SECOND WARD010 SECOND WARD | 102 | 359 | 6 | 467 | 21.8% | 76.9% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -008 OAK CREEK-CENTER008 OAK CREEK-CENTER | 113 | 335 | 2 | 450 | 25.1% | 74.4% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -009 FIRST WARD009 FIRST WARD | 99 | 327 | 7 | 433 | 22.9% | 75.5% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -003 ALEXIS003 ALEXIS | 74 | 320 | 4 | 398 | 18.6% | 80.4% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -001 LINWOOD-SKULL CREEK-PLATTE001 LINWOOD-SKULL CREEK-PLATTE | 64 | 313 | 3 | 380 | 16.8% | 82.4% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -007 FRANKLIN-BONE CREEK007 FRANKLIN-BONE CREEK | 50 | 275 | 2 | 327 | 15.3% | 84.1% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -002 SAVANNAH002 SAVANNAH | 48 | 241 | 2 | 291 | 16.5% | 82.8% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -004 UNION-OLIVE004 UNION-OLIVE | 33 | 239 | 1 | 273 | 12.1% | 87.5% | R+75.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −21.7% |
| 1896 | +27.1% |
| 1900 | +18.0% |
| 1904 | −13.1% |
| 1908 | +19.9% |
| 1912 | +28.8% |
| 1916 | +34.5% |
| 1920 | −12.5% |
| 1924 | +0.2% |
| 1928 | +8.3% |
| 1932 | +44.2% |
| 1936 | +27.7% |
| 1940 | +4.5% |
| 1944 | +7.9% |
| 1948 | +10.6% |
| 1952 | −27.8% |
| 1956 | −12.1% |
| 1960 | +9.8% |
| 1964 | +29.1% |
| 1968 | −2.9% |
| 1972 | −11.9% |
| 1976 | +12.4% |
| 1980 | −37.8% |
| 1984 | −36.0% |
| 1988 | −9.7% |
| 1992 | −19.1% |
| 1996 | −25.5% |
| 2000 | −42.1% |
| 2004 | −46.7% |
| 2008 | −35.6% |
| 2012 | −43.9% |
| 2016 | −60.0% |
| 2020 | −59.1% |
| 2024 | −59.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.7 points more Democratic.
5,773 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+46 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −128 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,130 in average income, against $78,623 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.6 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Butler County, NE itself (R+59.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Platte County, NE55R+58.1
- Lancaster County, NE31D+4.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Platte County, NE42
- Lancaster County, NE38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −114 |
| 2012 | −5 |
| 2013 | −8 |
| 2014 | −67 |
| 2015 | −102 |
| 2016 | −37 |
| 2017 | +54 |
| 2018 | +17 |
| 2019 | −28 |
| 2021 | +78 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +24 |
| 2024 | +10 |
| 2025 | +46 |
Butler County, anchored by the small city of David City, has voted Republican in presidential races by wide margins for decades. Its largely agricultural economy and sparse population of under 9,000 make it a reliable bellwether for rural Nebraska's political lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.0 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 59.4 points.
A population of 8,424, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,268 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cedar County and Knox County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Butler County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.