- Lead
- 9,255
- Total
- 24,415
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- 72.7%
Marinette County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.7% of 33,706 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,938
- Total
- 22,979
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Turnout
- 71.1%
- Lead
- 6,713
- Total
- 20,343
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- 62.7%
- Lead
- 737
- Total
- 20,777
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,469
- Total
- 21,255
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,676
- Total
- 22,270
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,859
- Total
- 19,921
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,182
- Total
- 18,216
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,0462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,8092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Menominee County, MI · twin score 91.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.7%24,504 participants ÷ 33,706 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.2%–60.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,636 | 32,896 | 62.7% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,538 | 32,504 | 54.0% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 23,079 | 32,471 | 71.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,708 | 33,667 | 55.6% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,504 | 33,706 | 72.7% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 24,415 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF MARINETTE WARDS 1-8CITY OF MARINETTE WARDS 1-8 | 1,873 | 2,988 | 77 | 4,938 | 37.9% | 60.5% | R+22.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF PESHTIGO WARDS 1-7CITY OF PESHTIGO WARDS 1-7 | 555 | 1,102 | 29 | 1,686 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STEPHENSON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF STEPHENSON WARDS 1-3 | 401 | 957 | 13 | 1,371 | 29.2% | 69.8% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PORTERFIELD WARDS 1-4TOWN OF PORTERFIELD WARDS 1-4 | 346 | 859 | 16 | 1,221 | 28.3% | 70.4% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STEPHENSON WARDS 4-6TOWN OF STEPHENSON WARDS 4-6 | 300 | 851 | 14 | 1,165 | 25.8% | 73.0% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GROVER WARDS 1-4TOWN OF GROVER WARDS 1-4 | 225 | 849 | 8 | 1,082 | 20.8% | 78.5% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PESHTIGO WARDS 5-6TOWN OF PESHTIGO WARDS 5-6 | 354 | 616 | 6 | 976 | 36.3% | 63.1% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PESHTIGO WARDS 3-4TOWN OF PESHTIGO WARDS 3-4 | 301 | 551 | 18 | 870 | 34.6% | 63.3% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NIAGARA WARDS 1-3CITY OF NIAGARA WARDS 1-3 | 268 | 592 | 9 | 869 | 30.8% | 68.1% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF POUND WARDS 1-3TOWN OF POUND WARDS 1-3 | 169 | 665 | 12 | 846 | 20.0% | 78.6% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAUSAUKEE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WAUSAUKEE WARDS 1-2 | 228 | 586 | 12 | 826 | 27.6% | 70.9% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PESHTIGO WARDS 1-2TOWN OF PESHTIGO WARDS 1-2 | 254 | 535 | 6 | 795 | 31.9% | 67.3% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 236 | 539 | 13 | 788 | 29.9% | 68.4% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BEAVER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BEAVER WARDS 1-2 | 170 | 558 | 9 | 737 | 23.1% | 75.7% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NIAGARA WARD 1TOWN OF NIAGARA WARD 1 | 144 | 439 | 3 | 586 | 24.6% | 74.9% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PEMBINE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF PEMBINE WARDS 1-2 | 156 | 417 | 12 | 585 | 26.7% | 71.3% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MIDDLE INLET WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MIDDLE INLET WARDS 1-2 | 163 | 409 | 8 | 580 | 28.1% | 70.5% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CRIVITZ WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF CRIVITZ WARDS 1-2 | 165 | 363 | 11 | 539 | 30.6% | 67.3% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BEECHER WARD 1TOWN OF BEECHER WARD 1 | 126 | 398 | 5 | 529 | 23.8% | 75.2% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF AMBERG WARD 1TOWN OF AMBERG WARD 1 | 147 | 354 | 12 | 513 | 28.7% | 69.0% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAGNER WARD 1TOWN OF WAGNER WARD 1 | 143 | 315 | 2 | 460 | 31.1% | 68.5% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SILVER CLIFF WARD 1TOWN OF SILVER CLIFF WARD 1 | 130 | 290 | 6 | 426 | 30.5% | 68.1% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ATHELSTANE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF ATHELSTANE WARDS 1-2 | 107 | 292 | 3 | 402 | 26.6% | 72.6% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF COLEMAN WARD 1VILLAGE OF COLEMAN WARD 1 | 105 | 287 | 9 | 401 | 26.2% | 71.6% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GOODMAN WARD 1TOWN OF GOODMAN WARD 1 | 129 | 259 | 5 | 393 | 32.8% | 65.9% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DUNBAR WARDS 1-2TOWN OF DUNBAR WARDS 1-2 | 101 | 268 | 3 | 372 | 27.2% | 72.0% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF WAUSAUKEE WARD 1VILLAGE OF WAUSAUKEE WARD 1 | 85 | 183 | 6 | 274 | 31.0% | 66.8% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF POUND WARD 1VILLAGE OF POUND WARD 1 | 34 | 148 | 3 | 185 | 18.4% | 80.0% | R+61.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +3.7% |
| 1896 | −38.5% |
| 1900 | −45.3% |
| 1904 | −61.4% |
| 1908 | −34.1% |
| 1912 | −1.3% |
| 1916 | −10.8% |
| 1920 | −59.4% |
| 1924 | −48.3% |
| 1928 | −15.2% |
| 1932 | +10.3% |
| 1936 | +27.6% |
| 1940 | +0.1% |
| 1944 | −4.9% |
| 1948 | +4.8% |
| 1952 | −23.8% |
| 1956 | −26.7% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +28.8% |
| 1968 | −4.9% |
| 1972 | −18.6% |
| 1976 | −0.6% |
| 1980 | −14.2% |
| 1984 | −25.3% |
| 1988 | −9.0% |
| 1992 | −1.7% |
| 1996 | +6.5% |
| 2000 | −9.3% |
| 2004 | −7.5% |
| 2008 | +6.9% |
| 2012 | −3.5% |
| 2016 | −33.0% |
| 2020 | −34.5% |
| 2024 | −37.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+373 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,470 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,190 in average income, against $64,414 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.7 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Marinette County, WI itself (R+37.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Menominee County, MI173R+33.6
- Brown County, WI162R+7.5
- Oconto County, WI118R+43.0
- Milwaukee County, WI45D+38.4
- Dickinson County, MI44R+36.3
- Outagamie County, WI32R+10.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Brown County, WI174
- Menominee County, MI140
- Oconto County, WI103
- Dickinson County, MI39
- Outagamie County, WI32
- Milwaukee County, WI31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −139 |
| 2012 | +79 |
| 2013 | +71 |
| 2014 | −150 |
| 2015 | −258 |
| 2016 | −266 |
| 2017 | +122 |
| 2018 | +259 |
| 2019 | +60 |
| 2021 | +207 |
| 2022 | +368 |
| 2023 | +327 |
| 2024 | +417 |
| 2025 | +373 |
Marinette's heavily rural, timber-and-manufacturing economy along the Michigan border anchors a voting pattern that has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, landing at R+37.9 in 2024 — well above the state's competitive average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.9 points.
A population of 42,046, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,809 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Menominee County and Oconto County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marinette County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.