- Lead
- 4,391
- Total
- 13,060
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Turnout
- 69.1%
Menominee County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.1% of 19,040 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,801
- Total
- 12,607
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- 68.0%
- Lead
- 3,163
- Total
- 10,824
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- 57.7%
- Lead
- 322
- Total
- 10,967
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,126
- Total
- 11,072
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 616
- Total
- 11,419
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 932
- Total
- 10,434
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 842
- Total
- 10,184
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,4352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marinette County, WI · twin score 91.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.1%13,160 participants ÷ 19,040 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.2%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,914 | 18,900 | 57.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,264 | 18,778 | 49.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,677 | 18,634 | 68.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,755 | 19,080 | 51.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,160 | 19,040 | 69.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 13,060 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Menominee Township, Precinct 1Menominee Township, Precinct 1 | 736 | 1,417 | 30 | 2,183 | 33.7% | 64.9% | R+31.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 3City of Menominee, Precinct 3 | 444 | 649 | 11 | 1,104 | 40.2% | 58.8% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 4City of Menominee, Precinct 4 | 431 | 641 | 10 | 1,082 | 39.8% | 59.2% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 2City of Menominee, Precinct 2 | 483 | 545 | 12 | 1,040 | 46.4% | 52.4% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -Harris Township, Precinct 1Harris Township, Precinct 1 | 313 | 687 | 7 | 1,007 | 31.1% | 68.2% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -Spalding Township, Precinct 1Spalding Township, Precinct 1 | 208 | 630 | 11 | 849 | 24.5% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -City of Menominee, Precinct 1City of Menominee, Precinct 1 | 362 | 427 | 21 | 810 | 44.7% | 52.7% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -Nadeau Township, Precinct 1Nadeau Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 494 | 7 | 669 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Ingallston Township, Precinct 1Ingallston Township, Precinct 1 | 195 | 444 | 8 | 647 | 30.1% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Mellen Township, Precinct 1Mellen Township, Precinct 1 | 149 | 462 | 7 | 618 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -Meyer Township, Precinct 1Meyer Township, Precinct 1 | 153 | 425 | 10 | 588 | 26.0% | 72.3% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -City of Stephenson, Precinct 1City of Stephenson, Precinct 1 | 120 | 319 | 7 | 446 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Daggett Township, Precinct 1Daggett Township, Precinct 1 | 101 | 278 | 6 | 385 | 26.2% | 72.2% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Stephenson Township, Precinct 1Stephenson Township, Precinct 1 | 96 | 285 | 1 | 382 | 25.1% | 74.6% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -Lake Township, Precinct 1Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 88 | 240 | 1 | 329 | 26.7% | 72.9% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -Gourley Township, Precinct 1Gourley Township, Precinct 1 | 45 | 249 | 3 | 297 | 15.2% | 83.8% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -Holmes Township, Precinct 1Holmes Township, Precinct 1 | 54 | 190 | 2 | 246 | 22.0% | 77.2% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -Cedarville Township, Precinct 1Cedarville Township, Precinct 1 | 60 | 137 | 2 | 199 | 30.2% | 68.8% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -Faithorn Township, Precinct 1Faithorn Township, Precinct 1 | 50 | 128 | 1 | 179 | 27.9% | 71.5% | R+43.6 |
| 1091424000001109-14240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1091958000001109-19580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1092730000001109-27300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1093316000001109-33160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1093676000001109-36760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1093876000001109-38760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1094060000001109-40600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1094436000001109-44360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095286000001109-52860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095302000001109-53020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095302000002109-53020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095302000003109-53020-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095302000004109-53020-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095304000001109-53040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095304000002109-53040-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095346000001109-53460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1095644000001109-56440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1097535000001109-75350-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1097638000001109-76380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1097640000001109-76400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.4% |
| 1896 | −34.3% |
| 1900 | −33.4% |
| 1904 | −50.7% |
| 1908 | −35.3% |
| 1912 | +0.1% |
| 1916 | −17.4% |
| 1920 | −50.0% |
| 1924 | −39.8% |
| 1928 | −0.7% |
| 1932 | +25.4% |
| 1936 | +27.4% |
| 1940 | +2.8% |
| 1944 | −2.5% |
| 1948 | +7.0% |
| 1952 | −11.4% |
| 1956 | −14.2% |
| 1960 | +7.2% |
| 1964 | +33.5% |
| 1968 | +2.8% |
| 1972 | −12.8% |
| 1976 | −0.3% |
| 1980 | −10.3% |
| 1984 | −19.8% |
| 1988 | −5.0% |
| 1992 | +5.1% |
| 1996 | +8.3% |
| 2000 | −8.9% |
| 2004 | −5.4% |
| 2008 | +10.2% |
| 2012 | −2.9% |
| 2016 | −29.2% |
| 2020 | −30.1% |
| 2024 | −33.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.8%3,906 | 68.2%8,370 | 12,276 |
| 2020 | R | 34.4%4,137 | 65.6%7,886 | 12,023 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,163 |
| 2018 | 18,832 |
| 2020 | 20,373 |
| 2022 | 20,595 |
| 2024 | 21,375 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−11 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −374 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,824 in average income, against $63,508 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.3 on average — about the same lean as Menominee County, MI (R+33.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marinette County, WI140R+37.9
- Delta County, MI72R+30.4
- Dickinson County, MI29R+36.3
- Brown County, WI20R+7.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marinette County, WI173
- Delta County, MI60
- Brown County, WI41
- Dickinson County, MI27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −37 |
| 2012 | −65 |
| 2013 | +66 |
| 2014 | −134 |
| 2015 | −5 |
| 2016 | −177 |
| 2017 | −129 |
| 2018 | +44 |
| 2019 | −75 |
| 2021 | −5 |
| 2022 | +96 |
| 2023 | −47 |
| 2024 | +105 |
| 2025 | −11 |
Menominee sits along Michigan's Wisconsin border, where a timber-and-manufacturing heritage and a sparse, aging population have pushed presidential margins steadily rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.6 points.
A population of 23,247, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,435 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marinette County and Delta County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Menominee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.