- Lead
- 4,009
- Total
- 11,052
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 74.4%
Green Lake County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.4% of 14,934 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,824
- Total
- 10,671
- vs nation
- R+40.3
- Turnout
- 74.2%
- Lead
- 3,523
- Total
- 9,416
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Turnout
- 67.2%
- Lead
- 1,989
- Total
- 9,675
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,393
- Total
- 9,536
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,867
- Total
- 10,178
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,150
- Total
- 9,107
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 413
- Total
- 7,882
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 19,2632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,1962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.7 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Taylor County, WI · twin score 85.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.4%11,109 participants ÷ 14,934 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.7%–62.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,520 | 14,162 | 67.2% | D/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,236 | 14,134 | 58.3% | D/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,734 | 14,462 | 74.2% | D/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,796 | 14,780 | 59.5% | D/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,109 | 14,934 | 74.4% | D/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 23.9%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 22.7%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 23.8%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 21.3%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 24.0%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 11,052 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF BERLIN WARDS 1-6CITY OF BERLIN WARDS 1-6 | 975 | 1,644 | 32 | 2,651 | 36.8% | 62.0% | R+25.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF BROOKLYN WARDS 1-3TOWN OF BROOKLYN WARDS 1-3 | 504 | 827 | 25 | 1,356 | 37.2% | 61.0% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PRINCETON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF PRINCETON WARDS 1-3 | 362 | 717 | 11 | 1,090 | 33.2% | 65.8% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GREEN LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF GREEN LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 225 | 578 | 13 | 816 | 27.6% | 70.8% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BERLIN WARDS 1-3TOWN OF BERLIN WARDS 1-3 | 184 | 598 | 4 | 786 | 23.4% | 76.1% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MARKESAN WARDS 1-3CITY OF MARKESAN WARDS 1-3 | 199 | 547 | 10 | 756 | 26.3% | 72.4% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF PRINCETON WARDS 1-4CITY OF PRINCETON WARDS 1-4 | 219 | 461 | 9 | 689 | 31.8% | 66.9% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF GREEN LAKE WARDS 1-6CITY OF GREEN LAKE WARDS 1-6 | 283 | 393 | 11 | 687 | 41.2% | 57.2% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MANCHESTER WARD 1TOWN OF MANCHESTER WARD 1 | 92 | 318 | 4 | 414 | 22.2% | 76.8% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MARQUETTE WARD 1TOWN OF MARQUETTE WARD 1 | 82 | 266 | 2 | 350 | 23.4% | 76.0% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KINGSTON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF KINGSTON WARDS 1-2 | 60 | 263 | 3 | 326 | 18.4% | 80.7% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MACKFORD WARD 1TOWN OF MACKFORD WARD 1 | 52 | 250 | 9 | 311 | 16.7% | 80.4% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ST. MARIE WARD 1TOWN OF ST. MARIE WARD 1 | 64 | 190 | 5 | 259 | 24.7% | 73.4% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SENECA WARD 1TOWN OF SENECA WARD 1 | 62 | 169 | 4 | 235 | 26.4% | 71.9% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF KINGSTON WARD 1VILLAGE OF KINGSTON WARD 1 | 55 | 146 | 3 | 204 | 27.0% | 71.6% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MARQUETTE WARD 1VILLAGE OF MARQUETTE WARD 1 | 31 | 91 | 0 | 122 | 25.4% | 74.6% | R+49.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +11.3% |
| 1896 | −14.2% |
| 1900 | −15.2% |
| 1904 | −25.5% |
| 1908 | −12.8% |
| 1912 | +4.6% |
| 1916 | −9.6% |
| 1920 | −56.1% |
| 1924 | −16.9% |
| 1928 | −7.3% |
| 1932 | +33.9% |
| 1936 | +13.3% |
| 1940 | −35.0% |
| 1944 | −35.1% |
| 1948 | −38.7% |
| 1952 | −58.7% |
| 1956 | −53.4% |
| 1960 | −29.6% |
| 1964 | +0.3% |
| 1968 | −33.8% |
| 1972 | −38.5% |
| 1976 | −18.7% |
| 1980 | −32.6% |
| 1984 | −43.1% |
| 1988 | −26.2% |
| 1992 | −11.8% |
| 1996 | −5.2% |
| 2000 | −23.6% |
| 2004 | −28.2% |
| 2008 | −14.6% |
| 2012 | −20.6% |
| 2016 | −37.4% |
| 2020 | −35.8% |
| 2024 | −36.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+41 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +736 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,995 in average income, against $73,462 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+17.0 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Green Lake County, WI itself (R+36.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fond du Lac County, WI90R+28.7
- Winnebago County, WI65R+4.7
- Waushara County, WI53R+35.2
- Marquette County, WI27R+29.6
- Columbia County, WI26R+4.6
- Dodge County, WI25R+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Winnebago County, WI99
- Fond du Lac County, WI81
- Waushara County, WI60
- Dodge County, WI35
- Marquette County, WI27
- Milwaukee County, WI22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +23 |
| 2012 | −16 |
| 2013 | −97 |
| 2014 | −108 |
| 2015 | +10 |
| 2016 | −77 |
| 2017 | +169 |
| 2018 | +146 |
| 2019 | +80 |
| 2021 | +316 |
| 2022 | +49 |
| 2023 | +214 |
| 2024 | −14 |
| 2025 | +41 |
Green Lake County's R+36.3 margin in 2024 puts it well outside the competitive range that defines Wisconsin statewide, reflecting a predominantly rural, non-college white demographic that has shifted sharply rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 58.7 points in 1952. The 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 19,263, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,196 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Taylor County and Washington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Green Lake County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.