- Lead
- 5,386
- Total
- 11,186
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Turnout
- 73.9%
Taylor County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.9% of 15,216 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,964
- Total
- 10,686
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- 69.5%
- Lead
- 4,186
- Total
- 9,471
- vs nation
- R+46.3
- Turnout
- 61.9%
- Lead
- 1,838
- Total
- 9,512
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 23
- Total
- 9,346
- vs nation
- R+7.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,753
- Total
- 9,543
- vs nation
- R+15.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,024
- Total
- 8,992
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 145
- Total
- 7,932
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 20,0242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,3502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shawano County, WI · twin score 91.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.9%11,242 participants ÷ 15,216 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.6%–63.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,562 | 15,443 | 61.9% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,154 | 15,306 | 53.3% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,711 | 15,402 | 69.5% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,742 | 15,261 | 57.3% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,242 | 15,216 | 73.9% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 11,186 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF MEDFORD WARDS 1-9CITY OF MEDFORD WARDS 1-9 | 864 | 1,369 | 31 | 2,264 | 38.2% | 60.5% | R+22.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF MEDFORD WARDS 1-3TOWN OF MEDFORD WARDS 1-3 | 370 | 1,251 | 7 | 1,628 | 22.7% | 76.8% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LITTLE BLACK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LITTLE BLACK WARDS 1-2 | 147 | 492 | 16 | 655 | 22.4% | 75.1% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BROWNING WARD 1TOWN OF BROWNING WARD 1 | 86 | 421 | 8 | 515 | 16.7% | 81.7% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHELSEA WARD 1TOWN OF CHELSEA WARD 1 | 105 | 352 | 15 | 472 | 22.2% | 74.6% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WESTBORO WARD 1TOWN OF WESTBORO WARD 1 | 96 | 361 | 7 | 464 | 20.7% | 77.8% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HAMMEL WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HAMMEL WARDS 1-2 | 94 | 359 | 4 | 457 | 20.6% | 78.6% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF RIB LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF RIB LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 111 | 334 | 5 | 450 | 24.7% | 74.2% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF RIB LAKE WARD 1VILLAGE OF RIB LAKE WARD 1 | 114 | 294 | 13 | 421 | 27.1% | 69.8% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GREENWOOD WARD 1TOWN OF GREENWOOD WARD 1 | 89 | 306 | 4 | 399 | 22.3% | 76.7% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DEER CREEK WARD 1TOWN OF DEER CREEK WARD 1 | 63 | 325 | 3 | 391 | 16.1% | 83.1% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HOLWAY WARD 1TOWN OF HOLWAY WARD 1 | 60 | 274 | 8 | 342 | 17.5% | 80.1% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GOODRICH WARD 1TOWN OF GOODRICH WARD 1 | 64 | 225 | 1 | 290 | 22.1% | 77.6% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF STETSONVILLE WARD 1VILLAGE OF STETSONVILLE WARD 1 | 71 | 197 | 1 | 269 | 26.4% | 73.2% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF GILMAN WARD 1VILLAGE OF GILMAN WARD 1 | 71 | 144 | 4 | 219 | 32.4% | 65.8% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MOLITOR WARD 1TOWN OF MOLITOR WARD 1 | 54 | 158 | 3 | 215 | 25.1% | 73.5% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF AURORA WARD 1TOWN OF AURORA WARD 1 | 23 | 187 | 3 | 213 | 10.8% | 87.8% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MCKINLEY WARD 1TOWN OF MCKINLEY WARD 1 | 24 | 185 | 3 | 212 | 11.3% | 87.3% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ROOSEVELT WARD 1TOWN OF ROOSEVELT WARD 1 | 55 | 142 | 1 | 198 | 27.8% | 71.7% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAPLEHURST WARD 1TOWN OF MAPLEHURST WARD 1 | 30 | 149 | 1 | 180 | 16.7% | 82.8% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TAFT WARD 1TOWN OF TAFT WARD 1 | 48 | 115 | 2 | 165 | 29.1% | 69.7% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GROVER WARD 1TOWN OF GROVER WARD 1 | 26 | 135 | 3 | 164 | 15.9% | 82.3% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLEVELAND WARD 1TOWN OF CLEVELAND WARD 1 | 37 | 112 | 10 | 159 | 23.3% | 70.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF JUMP RIVER WARD 1TOWN OF JUMP RIVER WARD 1 | 44 | 109 | 0 | 153 | 28.8% | 71.2% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FORD WARD 1TOWN OF FORD WARD 1 | 29 | 107 | 0 | 136 | 21.3% | 78.7% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PERSHING WARD 1TOWN OF PERSHING WARD 1 | 31 | 63 | 1 | 95 | 32.6% | 66.3% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF LUBLIN WARD 1VILLAGE OF LUBLIN WARD 1 | 17 | 43 | 0 | 60 | 28.3% | 71.7% | R+43.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +10.0% |
| 1896 | −31.5% |
| 1900 | −16.5% |
| 1904 | −39.2% |
| 1908 | −26.3% |
| 1912 | +2.1% |
| 1916 | −27.3% |
| 1920 | −65.1% |
| 1924 | −25.6% |
| 1928 | −11.4% |
| 1932 | +52.3% |
| 1936 | +42.4% |
| 1940 | +1.3% |
| 1944 | +0.3% |
| 1948 | +9.9% |
| 1952 | −27.5% |
| 1956 | −16.3% |
| 1960 | +4.4% |
| 1964 | +34.3% |
| 1968 | −1.9% |
| 1972 | −16.1% |
| 1976 | +6.5% |
| 1980 | −9.6% |
| 1984 | −19.9% |
| 1988 | −5.8% |
| 1992 | −1.2% |
| 1996 | +1.8% |
| 2000 | −22.5% |
| 2004 | −18.4% |
| 2008 | −0.2% |
| 2012 | −19.3% |
| 2016 | −44.2% |
| 2020 | −46.5% |
| 2024 | −48.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+42 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −646 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,197 in average income, against $62,819 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+29.6 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Taylor County, WI itself (R+48.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clark County, WI73R+38.9
- Marathon County, WI51R+18.6
- Price County, WI30R+31.1
- Chippewa County, WI25R+22.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marathon County, WI61
- Clark County, WI56
- Chippewa County, WI30
- Price County, WI29
- Wood County, WI25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −49 |
| 2012 | −378 |
| 2013 | +25 |
| 2014 | −74 |
| 2015 | −167 |
| 2016 | −79 |
| 2017 | −25 |
| 2018 | +26 |
| 2019 | −55 |
| 2021 | −19 |
| 2022 | +12 |
| 2023 | +112 |
| 2024 | −17 |
| 2025 | +42 |
Taylor County's R+48.1 margin in 2024 places it among Wisconsin's most Republican-leaning counties, reflecting the broader rural realignment that has reshaped small-population, timber-and-agriculture communities across the Upper Midwest over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.1 points.
A population of 20,024, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,350 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shawano County and Langlade County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Taylor County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55119/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.