HarrisDemocratic31.2%7,336TrumpRepublican67.4%15,850KennedyNonpartisan0.5%123
R+36.2- Lead
- 8,514
- Total
- 23,500
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Akashiccounty
Shawano County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 32,141 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.5%7,131TrumpRepublican67.1%15,173JorgensenLibertarian1.1%253
R+35.6- Lead
- 8,042
- Total
- 22,615
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Turnout
- 71.3%
ClintonDemocratic30.6%6,068TrumpRepublican64.5%12,769JohnsonLibertarian3.1%613
R+33.8- Lead
- 6,701
- Total
- 19,810
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- 62.8%
ObamaDemocratic44.4%9,000RomneyRepublican54.4%11,022GrayIndependent0.7%139
R+10.0- Lead
- 2,022
- Total
- 20,279
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.1%10,259McCainRepublican47.5%9,538OtherAll other candidates1.5%292
D+3.6- Lead
- 721
- Total
- 20,089
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.2%8,657BushRepublican57.9%12,150OtherAll other candidates0.9%192
R+16.6- Lead
- 3,493
- Total
- 20,999
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.7%7,335BushRepublican54.2%9,548NaderGreen3.0%532
R+12.6- Lead
- 2,213
- Total
- 17,603
- vs nation
- R+13.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.2%6,850DoleRepublican41.3%6,396PerotReform13.4%2,071
D+2.9- Lead
- 454
- Total
- 15,500
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,0392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,4792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oconto County, WI · twin score 94.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.8%23,708 participants ÷ 32,141 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.1%–63.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,117 | 32,042 | 62.8% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,103 | 31,894 | 56.8% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,707 | 31,869 | 71.3% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,101 | 32,006 | 56.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,708 | 32,141 | 73.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 2.0%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 2.0%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 2.1%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 2.1%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 2.2%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
43 precincts · 23,500 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF WESCOTT WARDS 1-5TOWN OF WESCOTT WARDS 1-5 | 669 | 1,366 | 25 | 2,060 | 32.5% | 66.3% | R+33.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF RICHMOND WARDS 1-3TOWN OF RICHMOND WARDS 1-3 | 311 | 871 | 17 | 1,199 | 25.9% | 72.6% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WASHINGTON WARDS 1-4TOWN OF WASHINGTON WARDS 1-4 | 348 | 837 | 14 | 1,199 | 29.0% | 69.8% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ANGELICA WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ANGELICA WARDS 1-3 | 271 | 906 | 15 | 1,192 | 22.7% | 76.0% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BELLE PLAINE WARDS 1-4TOWN OF BELLE PLAINE WARDS 1-4 | 340 | 797 | 11 | 1,148 | 29.6% | 69.4% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 9-10CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 9-10 | 451 | 501 | 15 | 967 | 46.6% | 51.8% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LESSOR WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LESSOR WARDS 1-2 | 172 | 649 | 6 | 827 | 20.8% | 78.5% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BONDUEL WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF BONDUEL WARDS 1-2 | 213 | 572 | 12 | 797 | 26.7% | 71.8% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 11-12CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 11-12 | 345 | 430 | 12 | 787 | 43.8% | 54.6% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 3-4CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 3-4 | 293 | 432 | 22 | 747 | 39.2% | 57.8% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 1-2CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 1-2 | 268 | 464 | 14 | 746 | 35.9% | 62.2% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 5-6CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 5-6 | 267 | 381 | 14 | 662 | 40.3% | 57.6% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GREEN VALLEY WARDS 1-2TOWN OF GREEN VALLEY WARDS 1-2 | 128 | 489 | 11 | 628 | 20.4% | 77.9% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAUKECHON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WAUKECHON WARDS 1-2 | 158 | 459 | 9 | 626 | 25.2% | 73.3% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 7-8CITY OF SHAWANO WARDS 7-8 | 273 | 342 | 8 | 623 | 43.8% | 54.9% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAPLE GROVE WARD 1TOWN OF MAPLE GROVE WARD 1 | 153 | 431 | 3 | 587 | 26.1% | 73.4% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PELLA WARD 1TOWN OF PELLA WARD 1 | 128 | 440 | 7 | 575 | 22.3% | 76.5% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GRANT WARD 1TOWN OF GRANT WARD 1 | 104 | 446 | 10 | 560 | 18.6% | 79.6% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WITTENBERG WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WITTENBERG WARDS 1-2 | 156 | 374 | 4 | 534 | 29.2% | 70.0% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF RED SPRINGS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF RED SPRINGS WARDS 1-2 | 308 | 217 | 6 | 531 | 58.0% | 40.9% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF WITTENBERG WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF WITTENBERG WARDS 1-2 | 165 | 286 | 8 | 459 | 35.9% | 62.3% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HARTLAND WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HARTLAND WARDS 1-2 | 88 | 353 | 2 | 443 | 19.9% | 79.7% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HERMAN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HERMAN WARDS 1-2 | 114 | 319 | 5 | 438 | 26.0% | 72.8% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BIRNAMWOOD WARD 1TOWN OF BIRNAMWOOD WARD 1 | 133 | 288 | 5 | 426 | 31.2% | 67.6% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF TIGERTON WARD 1VILLAGE OF TIGERTON WARD 1 | 124 | 254 | 2 | 380 | 32.6% | 66.8% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BARTELME WARD 1TOWN OF BARTELME WARD 1 | 271 | 98 | 5 | 374 | 72.5% | 26.2% | D+46.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FAIRBANKS WARD 1TOWN OF FAIRBANKS WARD 1 | 66 | 294 | 3 | 363 | 18.2% | 81.0% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CECIL WARD 1VILLAGE OF CECIL WARD 1 | 89 | 254 | 3 | 346 | 25.7% | 73.4% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HUTCHINS WARD 1TOWN OF HUTCHINS WARD 1 | 75 | 258 | 7 | 340 | 22.1% | 75.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALMON WARD 1TOWN OF ALMON WARD 1 | 77 | 258 | 3 | 338 | 22.8% | 76.3% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ANIWA WARD 1TOWN OF ANIWA WARD 1 | 78 | 249 | 4 | 331 | 23.6% | 75.2% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SENECA WARD 1TOWN OF SENECA WARD 1 | 88 | 209 | 3 | 300 | 29.3% | 69.7% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BIRNAMWOOD WARD 1VILLAGE OF BIRNAMWOOD WARD 1 | 93 | 192 | 4 | 289 | 32.2% | 66.4% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NAVARINO WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NAVARINO WARDS 1-2 | 64 | 215 | 5 | 284 | 22.5% | 75.7% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF GRESHAM WARD 1VILLAGE OF GRESHAM WARD 1 | 111 | 153 | 3 | 267 | 41.6% | 57.3% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MORRIS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MORRIS WARDS 1-2 | 67 | 185 | 6 | 258 | 26.0% | 71.7% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GERMANIA WARD 1TOWN OF GERMANIA WARD 1 | 56 | 143 | 4 | 203 | 27.6% | 70.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MATTOON WARD 1VILLAGE OF MATTOON WARD 1 | 48 | 132 | 2 | 182 | 26.4% | 72.5% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BOWLER WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF BOWLER WARDS 1-2 | 55 | 76 | 0 | 131 | 42.0% | 58.0% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ANIWA WARD 1VILLAGE OF ANIWA WARD 1 | 35 | 86 | 2 | 123 | 28.5% | 69.9% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ELAND WARD 1VILLAGE OF ELAND WARD 1 | 48 | 65 | 2 | 115 | 41.7% | 56.5% | R+14.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF PULASKI WARDS 4,7VILLAGE OF PULASKI WARDS 4,7 | 32 | 68 | 1 | 101 | 31.7% | 67.3% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MARION WARD 4CITY OF MARION WARD 4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +19.5% |
| 1896 | −30.5% |
| 1900 | −36.1% |
| 1904 | −48.2% |
| 1908 | −30.5% |
| 1912 | +2.8% |
| 1916 | −41.2% |
| 1920 | −67.0% |
| 1924 | −17.8% |
| 1928 | −15.7% |
| 1932 | +49.6% |
| 1936 | +40.1% |
| 1940 | −9.6% |
| 1944 | −36.8% |
| 1948 | −19.6% |
| 1952 | −53.8% |
| 1956 | −43.5% |
| 1960 | −34.5% |
| 1964 | +0.3% |
| 1968 | −36.6% |
| 1972 | −37.0% |
| 1976 | −11.3% |
| 1980 | −27.7% |
| 1984 | −31.8% |
| 1988 | −11.8% |
| 1992 | −6.6% |
| 1996 | +2.9% |
| 2000 | −12.6% |
| 2004 | −16.6% |
| 2008 | +3.6% |
| 2012 | −10.0% |
| 2016 | −33.8% |
| 2020 | −35.6% |
| 2024 | −36.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+162 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −155 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,522 in average income, against $70,275 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.0 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Shawano County, WI itself (R+36.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Brown County, WI173R+7.5
- Outagamie County, WI100R+10.2
- Waupaca County, WI96R+33.4
- Marathon County, WI84R+18.6
- Oconto County, WI72R+43.0
- Menominee County, WI50D+61.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Brown County, WI157
- Outagamie County, WI92
- Marathon County, WI87
- Waupaca County, WI82
- Oconto County, WI59
- Menominee County, WI52
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −255 |
| 2012 | −194 |
| 2013 | −36 |
| 2014 | −58 |
| 2015 | −285 |
| 2016 | −65 |
| 2017 | −51 |
| 2018 | −120 |
| 2019 | +49 |
| 2021 | +54 |
| 2022 | +224 |
| 2023 | +215 |
| 2024 | +205 |
| 2025 | +162 |
Shawano's economy blends dairy farming, timber, and the Menominee Nation's reservation lands, producing an electorate that has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade and delivered a 36-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.2 points.
A population of 41,039, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,479 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oconto County and Waupaca County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Oconto County
Wisconsin
94.1twin score
elasticity2008 margin12-yr trend
Waupaca County
Wisconsin
94.1twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008 margin
Taylor County
Wisconsin
91.4twin score
elasticity12-yr trendPolish ancestry≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Shawano County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Shawano County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Shawano County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Shawano County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 36.2 points (R+36.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,500 votes cast, 7,336 went Democratic and 15,850 went Republican.
When did Shawano County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Shawano County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Shawano County, Wisconsin?
Shawano County, Wisconsin has a population of 41,039 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Shawano County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Shawano County, Wisconsin is $66,479 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Shawano County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Shawano County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.