HarrisDemocratic39.3%3,469TrumpRepublican59.5%5,256KennedyNonpartisan0.6%54
R+20.2- Lead
- 1,787
- Total
- 8,832
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- 72.0%
Akashiccounty
Lafayette County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.0% of 12,316 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic42.6%3,647TrumpRepublican56.4%4,821JorgensenLibertarian0.7%57
R+13.7- Lead
- 1,174
- Total
- 8,555
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Turnout
- 69.6%
ClintonDemocratic42.9%3,288TrumpRepublican51.9%3,977JohnsonLibertarian3.1%238
R+9.0- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 7,662
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Turnout
- 62.2%
ObamaDemocratic57.0%4,536RomneyRepublican41.7%3,314GrayIndependent0.6%46
D+15.4- Lead
- 1,222
- Total
- 7,952
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.4%4,732McCainRepublican38.1%2,984OtherAll other candidates1.5%115
D+22.3- Lead
- 1,748
- Total
- 7,831
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.5%4,402BushRepublican46.8%3,929OtherAll other candidates0.7%57
D+5.6- Lead
- 473
- Total
- 8,388
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic51.1%3,710BushRepublican45.9%3,336NaderGreen2.5%185
D+5.1- Lead
- 374
- Total
- 7,263
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic50.5%3,261DoleRepublican33.6%2,172PerotReform14.6%944
D+16.9- Lead
- 1,089
- Total
- 6,460
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,9422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,4622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.3 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Floyd County, IA · twin score 93.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.0%8,863 participants ÷ 12,316 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.8%–59.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,711 | 12,388 | 62.2% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,589 | 12,338 | 53.4% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,582 | 12,333 | 69.6% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,631 | 12,412 | 53.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,863 | 12,316 | 72.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 5.4%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 6.0%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 5.8%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 6.1%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 5.9%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 8,832 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-6CITY OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-6 | 537 | 487 | 17 | 1,041 | 51.6% | 46.8% | D+4.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF SHULLSBURG WARDS 1-3CITY OF SHULLSBURG WARDS 1-3 | 303 | 321 | 6 | 630 | 48.1% | 51.0% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2 | 223 | 299 | 6 | 528 | 42.2% | 56.6% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-3 | 175 | 345 | 6 | 526 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BENTON WARD 1VILLAGE OF BENTON WARD 1 | 240 | 264 | 2 | 506 | 47.4% | 52.2% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WIOTA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WIOTA WARDS 1-2 | 183 | 290 | 6 | 479 | 38.2% | 60.5% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WILLOW SPRINGS WARD 1TOWN OF WILLOW SPRINGS WARD 1 | 145 | 317 | 7 | 469 | 30.9% | 67.6% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ARGYLE WARD 1VILLAGE OF ARGYLE WARD 1 | 193 | 226 | 4 | 423 | 45.6% | 53.4% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BLANCHARDVILLE WARD 1VILLAGE OF BLANCHARDVILLE WARD 1 | 200 | 163 | 7 | 370 | 54.1% | 44.1% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2 | 145 | 208 | 1 | 354 | 41.0% | 58.8% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BENTON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BENTON WARDS 1-2 | 79 | 228 | 4 | 311 | 25.4% | 73.3% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GRATIOT WARD 1TOWN OF GRATIOT WARD 1 | 91 | 218 | 1 | 310 | 29.4% | 70.3% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ARGYLE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ARGYLE WARDS 1-3 | 130 | 172 | 4 | 306 | 42.5% | 56.2% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEW DIGGINGS WARD 1TOWN OF NEW DIGGINGS WARD 1 | 90 | 193 | 6 | 289 | 31.1% | 66.8% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAYNE WARD 1TOWN OF WAYNE WARD 1 | 59 | 199 | 3 | 261 | 22.6% | 76.2% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ELK GROVE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ELK GROVE WARDS 1-3 | 69 | 158 | 4 | 231 | 29.9% | 68.4% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SOUTH WAYNE WARD 1VILLAGE OF SOUTH WAYNE WARD 1 | 57 | 150 | 2 | 209 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FAYETTE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF FAYETTE WARDS 1-2 | 62 | 143 | 2 | 207 | 30.0% | 69.1% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BLANCHARD WARD 1TOWN OF BLANCHARD WARD 1 | 97 | 104 | 2 | 203 | 47.8% | 51.2% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KENDALL WARD 1TOWN OF KENDALL WARD 1 | 62 | 129 | 1 | 192 | 32.3% | 67.2% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAMONT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LAMONT WARDS 1-2 | 70 | 108 | 4 | 182 | 38.5% | 59.3% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SHULLSBURG WARD 1TOWN OF SHULLSBURG WARD 1 | 58 | 120 | 4 | 182 | 31.9% | 65.9% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SEYMOUR WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SEYMOUR WARDS 1-2 | 44 | 135 | 1 | 180 | 24.4% | 75.0% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF CUBA CITY WARD 5CITY OF CUBA CITY WARD 5 | 78 | 89 | 0 | 167 | 46.7% | 53.3% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF GRATIOT WARD 1VILLAGE OF GRATIOT WARD 1 | 39 | 86 | 3 | 128 | 30.5% | 67.2% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONTICELLO WARD 1TOWN OF MONTICELLO WARD 1 | 14 | 59 | 3 | 76 | 18.4% | 77.6% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WHITE OAK SPRINGS WARD 1TOWN OF WHITE OAK SPRINGS WARD 1 | 20 | 40 | 0 | 60 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HAZEL GREEN WARD 3VILLAGE OF HAZEL GREEN WARD 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 50.0% | 41.7% | D+8.3 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.6% |
| 1896 | −12.8% |
| 1900 | −14.7% |
| 1904 | −19.2% |
| 1908 | −14.5% |
| 1912 | +2.4% |
| 1916 | −10.3% |
| 1920 | −55.0% |
| 1924 | −18.3% |
| 1928 | −17.7% |
| 1932 | +20.0% |
| 1936 | +12.7% |
| 1940 | −7.9% |
| 1944 | −8.9% |
| 1948 | +6.4% |
| 1952 | −32.7% |
| 1956 | −19.1% |
| 1960 | −13.3% |
| 1964 | +16.6% |
| 1968 | −16.6% |
| 1972 | −26.9% |
| 1976 | −3.6% |
| 1980 | −9.6% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | −2.0% |
| 1992 | +7.1% |
| 1996 | +16.9% |
| 2000 | +5.1% |
| 2004 | +5.6% |
| 2008 | +22.3% |
| 2012 | +15.4% |
| 2016 | −9.0% |
| 2020 | −13.7% |
| 2024 | −20.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−44 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −847 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,802 in average income, against $68,784 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.3 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Lafayette County, WI itself (R+20.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grant County, WI108R+18.1
- Green County, WI55D+0.3
- Iowa County, WI40D+7.6
- Dane County, WI38D+51.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grant County, WI88
- Green County, WI65
- Dane County, WI44
- Iowa County, WI36
- Dubuque County, IA21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −20 |
| 2012 | −137 |
| 2013 | −207 |
| 2014 | +23 |
| 2015 | −93 |
| 2016 | −104 |
| 2017 | −141 |
| 2018 | −78 |
| 2019 | −67 |
| 2021 | +105 |
| 2022 | −21 |
| 2023 | −76 |
| 2024 | +13 |
| 2025 | −44 |
Lafayette County's economy revolves around livestock farming and small agricultural towns, and its electorate has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades, delivering a 20-point Republican margin in 2024 after splitting more closely in earlier elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.2 points.
A population of 16,942, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,462 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Floyd County and Buchanan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Floyd County
Iowa
93.1twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ German ancestry
Buchanan County
Iowa
92.0twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
Fayette County
Iowa
91.9twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2008–2012 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lafayette County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lafayette County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lafayette County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 20.2 points (R+20.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,832 votes cast, 3,469 went Democratic and 5,256 went Republican.
When did Lafayette County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lafayette County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Lafayette County, Wisconsin?
Lafayette County, Wisconsin has a population of 16,942 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lafayette County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Lafayette County, Wisconsin is $76,462 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Lafayette County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lafayette County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.