- Lead
- 1,341
- Total
- 25,234
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Turnout
- 71.4%
Douglas County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.4% of 35,465 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,295
- Total
- 24,677
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- 71.9%
- Lead
- 1,696
- Total
- 22,536
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 7,158
- Total
- 22,894
- vs nation
- D+27.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,995
- Total
- 24,066
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,089
- Total
- 25,187
- vs nation
- D+34.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,663
- Total
- 21,706
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,809
- Total
- 18,591
- vs nation
- D+22.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,2292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,0992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Carlton County, MN · twin score 97.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.4%25,307 participants ÷ 35,465 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.0%–56.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,611 | 34,415 | 65.7% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,871 | 34,221 | 55.1% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,758 | 34,450 | 71.9% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,852 | 35,222 | 53.5% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,307 | 35,465 | 71.4% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 25,234 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 17-22CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 17-22 | 1,736 | 1,236 | 72 | 3,044 | 57.0% | 40.6% | D+16.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 6-10CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 6-10 | 1,647 | 1,309 | 55 | 3,011 | 54.7% | 43.5% | D+11.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 1-5CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 1-5 | 1,681 | 1,125 | 39 | 2,845 | 59.1% | 39.5% | D+19.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 11-16CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 11-16 | 1,622 | 977 | 41 | 2,640 | 61.4% | 37.0% | D+24.4 |
| Precinct -CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 23-28CITY OF SUPERIOR WARDS 23-28 | 1,257 | 682 | 48 | 1,987 | 63.3% | 34.3% | D+28.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SUPERIOR WARDS 1-3TOWN OF SUPERIOR WARDS 1-3 | 698 | 799 | 25 | 1,522 | 45.9% | 52.5% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OAKLAND WARDS 1-2TOWN OF OAKLAND WARDS 1-2 | 372 | 403 | 12 | 787 | 47.3% | 51.2% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF LAKE NEBAGAMON WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF LAKE NEBAGAMON WARDS 1-2 | 352 | 422 | 11 | 785 | 44.8% | 53.8% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PARKLAND WARDS 1-2TOWN OF PARKLAND WARDS 1-2 | 358 | 385 | 8 | 751 | 47.7% | 51.3% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF AMNICON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF AMNICON WARDS 1-2 | 328 | 390 | 10 | 728 | 45.1% | 53.6% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SOLON SPRINGS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SOLON SPRINGS WARDS 1-2 | 270 | 432 | 13 | 715 | 37.8% | 60.4% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SUMMIT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SUMMIT WARDS 1-2 | 323 | 365 | 10 | 698 | 46.3% | 52.3% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HAWTHORNE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HAWTHORNE WARDS 1-2 | 252 | 392 | 8 | 652 | 38.7% | 60.1% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WASCOTT WARD 1TOWN OF WASCOTT WARD 1 | 274 | 351 | 8 | 633 | 43.3% | 55.5% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GORDON WARD 1TOWN OF GORDON WARD 1 | 205 | 371 | 9 | 585 | 35.0% | 63.4% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BENNETT WARD 1TOWN OF BENNETT WARD 1 | 178 | 293 | 8 | 479 | 37.2% | 61.2% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAPLE WARD 1TOWN OF MAPLE WARD 1 | 213 | 240 | 11 | 464 | 45.9% | 51.7% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAKESIDE WARD 1TOWN OF LAKESIDE WARD 1 | 198 | 250 | 13 | 461 | 43.0% | 54.2% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SUPERIOR WARD 1VILLAGE OF SUPERIOR WARD 1 | 237 | 205 | 2 | 444 | 53.4% | 46.2% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SOLON SPRINGS WARD 1VILLAGE OF SOLON SPRINGS WARD 1 | 185 | 227 | 4 | 416 | 44.5% | 54.6% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BRULE WARD 1TOWN OF BRULE WARD 1 | 210 | 197 | 5 | 412 | 51.0% | 47.8% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF POPLAR WARD 1VILLAGE OF POPLAR WARD 1 | 134 | 247 | 3 | 384 | 34.9% | 64.3% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF OLIVER WARD 1VILLAGE OF OLIVER WARD 1 | 147 | 115 | 5 | 267 | 55.1% | 43.1% | D+12.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HIGHLAND WARD 1TOWN OF HIGHLAND WARD 1 | 119 | 131 | 4 | 254 | 46.9% | 51.6% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLOVERLAND WARD 1TOWN OF CLOVERLAND WARD 1 | 49 | 88 | 1 | 138 | 35.5% | 63.8% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DAIRYLAND WARD 1TOWN OF DAIRYLAND WARD 1 | 28 | 100 | 4 | 132 | 21.2% | 75.8% | R+54.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.7% |
| 1896 | −25.1% |
| 1900 | −32.5% |
| 1904 | −57.4% |
| 1908 | −28.6% |
| 1912 | +8.8% |
| 1916 | −1.0% |
| 1920 | −47.9% |
| 1924 | −34.9% |
| 1928 | −24.5% |
| 1932 | +9.6% |
| 1936 | +52.4% |
| 1940 | +33.4% |
| 1944 | +28.9% |
| 1948 | +31.3% |
| 1952 | +8.7% |
| 1956 | +10.2% |
| 1960 | +21.6% |
| 1964 | +53.7% |
| 1968 | +35.8% |
| 1972 | +13.3% |
| 1976 | +30.9% |
| 1980 | +21.0% |
| 1984 | +33.7% |
| 1988 | +36.5% |
| 1992 | +29.8% |
| 1996 | +31.2% |
| 2000 | +30.7% |
| 2004 | +32.1% |
| 2008 | +33.2% |
| 2012 | +31.3% |
| 2016 | +7.5% |
| 2020 | +9.3% |
| 2024 | +5.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+212 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −940 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,493 in average income, against $72,955 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+13.7 on average — 8.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Douglas County, WI itself (D+5.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Louis County, MN391D+13.7
- Carlton County, MN52R+2.5
- Bayfield County, WI38D+11.1
- Hennepin County, MN36D+42.4
- Ramsey County, MN25D+43.1
- Washburn County, WI20R+28.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Louis County, MN315
- Bayfield County, WI47
- Carlton County, MN44
- Hennepin County, MN41
- Ramsey County, MN26
- Eau Claire County, WI20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −211 |
| 2012 | −314 |
| 2013 | −26 |
| 2014 | −127 |
| 2015 | −193 |
| 2016 | −135 |
| 2017 | −86 |
| 2018 | −153 |
| 2019 | +53 |
| 2021 | −232 |
| 2022 | +287 |
| 2023 | +29 |
| 2024 | −44 |
| 2025 | +212 |
Douglas County, anchored by Superior and its union-heavy port economy, gave Democrats a 5-point margin in 2024 even as much of rural Wisconsin moved sharply right — a remnant of the Iron Range–style labor politics that once defined the western Great Lakes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.3 points.
A population of 44,229, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,099 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carlton County and St. Louis County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Douglas County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.