HarrisDemocratic54.1%89,314TrumpRepublican43.8%72,233KennedyIndependent0.8%1,354
D+10.3- Lead
- 17,081
- Total
- 165,060
- vs nation
- D+11.8
Akashicmetro area
Duluth, MN-WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic55.3%91,020TrumpRepublican42.4%69,731OtherAll other candidates2.3%3,826
D+12.9- Lead
- 21,289
- Total
- 164,577
- vs nation
- D+8.5
ClintonDemocratic50.7%77,588TrumpRepublican40.8%62,451OtherAll other candidates8.6%13,130
D+9.9- Lead
- 15,137
- Total
- 153,169
- vs nation
- D+7.8
ObamaDemocratic63.5%99,630RomneyRepublican34.0%53,422OtherAll other candidates2.5%3,872
D+29.4- Lead
- 46,208
- Total
- 156,924
- vs nation
- D+25.6
ObamaDemocratic64.9%104,682McCainRepublican32.9%53,126OtherAll other candidates2.2%3,521
D+32.0- Lead
- 51,556
- Total
- 161,329
- vs nation
- D+24.7
KerryDemocratic65.0%105,957BushRepublican33.8%55,202OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,927
D+31.1- Lead
- 50,755
- Total
- 163,086
- vs nation
- D+33.6
GoreDemocratic59.9%86,450BushRepublican33.2%47,928OtherAll other candidates6.8%9,873
D+26.7- Lead
- 38,522
- Total
- 144,251
- vs nation
- D+26.2
ClintonDemocratic60.1%79,764DoleRepublican26.2%34,754OtherAll other candidates13.7%18,184
D+33.9- Lead
- 45,010
- Total
- 132,702
- vs nation
- D+25.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 280,8702024 5-year
- Population density
- 33 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8,414 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,2272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Janesville-Beloit, WI · twin score 90.7
presidential history
Party record book
Duluth, MN-WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.9%
104,318 votes · D+52.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 74.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
76.3%
16,419 votes · R+61.5
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 64.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
105,957votes
65.0% of the vote · D+31.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 104,682 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72,233votes
43.8% of the vote · D+10.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69,731 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+55.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.1 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +44.8 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+41.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +29.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+779 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,047 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −7 |
| 2012 | −647 |
| 2013 | −7 |
| 2014 | +39 |
| 2015 | −640 |
| 2016 | −343 |
| 2017 | −239 |
| 2018 | +151 |
| 2019 | −377 |
| 2021 | −228 |
| 2022 | +2,369 |
| 2023 | +644 |
| 2024 | +553 |
| 2025 | +779 |
Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.3 points.
A population of 280,870, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,227 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Janesville-Beloit, WI and Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Janesville-Beloit, WI
90.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
84.8twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity
Eau Claire, WI
84.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryNorwegian ancestry% White≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 165,060 votes cast, 89,314 went Democratic and 72,233 went Republican.
When did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 280,870 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota is $72,227 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.