Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Duluth, MN-WI
presidential margin
2008D+32.02012D+29.42016D+9.92020D+12.92024D+10.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+10.3
2024
median income$72,227U.S. $80,734 · MN $89,062
median age41.5U.S. 39.1
poverty rate12.7%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.9%U.S. 35.6%
non-english3.1%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German22.2%
Norwegian11.8%
Swedish10.0%
Mexican1.2%
African American†1.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline11.5%
Other Christian0.7%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
Jewish0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota

Akashic
Duluth, MN-WIHarrisD+10.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Duluth, MN-WI, MNA map of the constituent counties of Duluth, MN-WI, MN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Carlton County, MN · R+2.5St. Louis County, MN · D+13.7Douglas County, WI · D+5.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic54.1%89,314
Donald TrumpRepublican43.8%72,233
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People2.1%3,513
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Duluth, MN-WI, MN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Carlton County, MNRepublicanR+2.5
Douglas County, WIDemocraticD+5.3
St. Louis County, MNDemocraticD+13.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
54.1%Harris89,314
43.8%Trump72,233
2.1%Kennedy3,513
+10.3%
165,060
D
55.3%Biden91,020
42.4%Trump69,731
2.3%Jorgensen3,826
+12.9%
164,577
D
50.7%Clinton77,588
40.8%Trump62,451
8.6%Johnson13,130
+9.9%
153,169
D
63.5%Obama99,630
34.0%Romney53,422
2.5%Johnson3,872
+29.4%
156,924
D
64.9%Obama104,682
32.9%McCain53,126
2.2%Nader3,521
+32.0%
161,329
D
65.0%Kerry105,957
33.8%Bush55,202
1.2%Nader1,927
+31.1%
163,086
D
59.9%Gore86,450
33.2%Bush47,928
6.8%Nader9,873
+26.7%
144,251
D
60.1%Clinton79,764
26.2%Dole34,754
13.7%Perot18,184
+33.9%
132,702
D
56.1%Clinton81,868
23.4%Bush34,180
20.4%Perot29,767
+32.7%
145,815
D
67.8%Dukakis93,041
31.2%Bush42,865
1.0%McCarthy1,340
+36.6%
137,246
D
68.1%Mondale101,163
31.0%Reagan46,105
0.8%Larouche1,257
+37.1%
148,525
D
59.7%Carter89,928
30.1%Reagan45,425
10.2%Anderson15,353
+29.5%
150,706
D
65.6%Carter97,765
31.3%Ford46,701
3.0%McCarthy4,517
+34.3%
148,983
D
58.0%McGovern79,273
40.5%Nixon55,299
1.5%Schmitz2,109
+17.5%
136,681
D
70.2%Humphrey93,311
26.1%Nixon34,653
3.7%Wallace4,966
+44.1%
132,930
D
75.9%Johnson104,318
23.7%Goldwater32,605
0.3%Hass458
+52.2%
137,381
D
62.8%Kennedy89,756
36.7%Nixon52,540
0.5%Byrd720
+26.0%
143,016
D
59.7%Stevenson79,950
39.8%Eisenhower53,253
0.5%Andrews699
+19.9%
133,902
D
59.9%Stevenson81,002
39.0%Eisenhower52,752
1.1%Hallinan1,543
+20.9%
135,297
D
64.6%Truman81,798
29.6%Dewey37,484
5.9%Thurmond7,415
+35.0%
126,697
D
68.2%Roosevelt82,507
30.8%Dewey37,278
1.1%Thomas1,276
+37.4%
121,061
D
66.8%Roosevelt91,327
31.7%Willkie43,338
1.6%Thomas2,143
+35.1%
136,808
D
74.5%Roosevelt93,185
23.6%Landon29,574
1.9%Lemke2,392
+50.8%
125,151
D
48.4%Roosevelt53,482
41.7%Hoover46,107
9.9%Thomas10,927
+6.7%
110,516
R
35.0%Smith34,301
61.4%Hoover60,193
3.7%Thomas3,613
−26.4%
98,107
R
4.1%Davis3,518
53.6%Coolidge46,062
42.3%La Follette36,396
−49.5%
85,976
R
27.9%Cox18,030
58.9%Harding38,070
13.2%Debs8,515
−31.0%
64,615
D
45.1%Wilson16,111
41.8%Hughes14,937
13.2%Benson4,706
+3.3%
35,754
O
24.3%Wilson6,936
17.1%Taft4,894
58.6%Roosevelt16,769
Roosevelt +34.4
28,599
R
24.8%Bryan6,685
63.4%Taft17,072
11.8%Debs3,181
−38.6%
26,938
R
14.8%Parker3,182
76.3%Roosevelt16,419
8.9%Debs1,925
−61.5%
21,526
R
32.6%Bryan7,321
64.1%McKinley14,420
3.3%Woolley746
−31.6%
22,487
R
40.2%Bryan10,482
58.4%McKinley15,253
1.4%Palmer367
−18.3%
26,102
R
36.0%Cleveland6,296
50.6%Harrison8,861
13.4%Weaver2,343
−14.7%
17,500
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +10.3% in 2024.flipped D · 1932+10.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−14.7%
1896−18.3%
1900−31.6%
1904−61.5%
1908−38.6%
1912+7.1%
1916+3.3%
1920−31.0%
1924−49.5%
1928−26.4%
1932+6.7%
1936+50.8%
1940+35.1%
1944+37.4%
1948+35.0%
1952+20.9%
1956+19.9%
1960+26.0%
1964+52.2%
1968+44.1%
1972+17.5%
1976+34.3%
1980+29.5%
1984+37.1%
1988+36.6%
1992+32.7%
1996+33.9%
2000+26.7%
2004+31.1%
2008+32.0%
2012+29.4%
2016+9.9%
2020+12.9%
2024+10.3%
DemocraticRepublican

Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.3 points.

A population of 280,870, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,227 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Janesville-Beloit, WI and Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Janesville-Beloit, WI
90.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
84.8twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity
Eau Claire, WI
84.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryNorwegian ancestry% White≠ 2000 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Duluth, MN-WI

counties3
Carlton CountyDouglas CountySt. Louis County

Frequently asked questions

How did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 165,060 votes cast, 89,314 went Democratic and 72,233 went Republican.
When did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 280,870 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota is $72,227 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.