- Lead
- 60
- Total
- 22,076
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- 77.8%
Green County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.8% of 28,769 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 682
- Total
- 21,406
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- 76.4%
- Lead
- 429
- Total
- 18,985
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- 68.3%
- Lead
- 3,349
- Total
- 19,322
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,772
- Total
- 18,534
- vs nation
- D+18.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,078
- Total
- 18,248
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,073
- Total
- 15,276
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,439
- Total
- 12,616
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,0172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,8522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.7 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Columbia County, WI · twin score 96.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.8%22,372 participants ÷ 28,769 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.3%–67.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,144 | 28,011 | 68.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,263 | 28,128 | 61.4% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,558 | 28,217 | 76.4% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 17,759 | 28,653 | 62.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,372 | 28,769 | 77.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 10.0%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 9.7%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 10.3%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 9.6%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 10.5%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 22,076 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF MONROE WARDS 1-9CITY OF MONROE WARDS 1-9 | 2,868 | 2,473 | 84 | 5,425 | 52.9% | 45.6% | D+7.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF BRODHEAD WARDS 1-6CITY OF BRODHEAD WARDS 1-6 | 695 | 892 | 27 | 1,614 | 43.1% | 55.3% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF EXETER WARDS 1-3TOWN OF EXETER WARDS 1-3 | 868 | 583 | 16 | 1,467 | 59.2% | 39.7% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF NEW GLARUS WARDS 1-4VILLAGE OF NEW GLARUS WARDS 1-4 | 958 | 460 | 31 | 1,449 | 66.1% | 31.7% | D+34.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DECATUR WARDS 1-4TOWN OF DECATUR WARDS 1-4 | 479 | 660 | 18 | 1,157 | 41.4% | 57.0% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEW GLARUS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NEW GLARUS WARDS 1-2 | 553 | 434 | 15 | 1,002 | 55.2% | 43.3% | D+11.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BROOKLYN WARDS 1-3TOWN OF BROOKLYN WARDS 1-3 | 444 | 363 | 11 | 818 | 54.3% | 44.4% | D+9.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALBANY WARDS 1-2TOWN OF ALBANY WARDS 1-2 | 381 | 404 | 12 | 797 | 47.8% | 50.7% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONROE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MONROE WARDS 1-2 | 328 | 445 | 13 | 786 | 41.7% | 56.6% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF YORK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF YORK WARDS 1-2 | 382 | 345 | 15 | 742 | 51.5% | 46.5% | D+5.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF JEFFERSON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF JEFFERSON WARDS 1-2 | 218 | 497 | 12 | 727 | 30.0% | 68.4% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLARNO WARDS 1-2TOWN OF CLARNO WARDS 1-2 | 257 | 455 | 11 | 723 | 35.5% | 62.9% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SYLVESTER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SYLVESTER WARDS 1-2 | 275 | 396 | 10 | 681 | 40.4% | 58.1% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MONTICELLO WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF MONTICELLO WARDS 1-2 | 372 | 298 | 4 | 674 | 55.2% | 44.2% | D+11.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SPRING GROVE WARD 1TOWN OF SPRING GROVE WARD 1 | 177 | 395 | 11 | 583 | 30.4% | 67.8% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ALBANY WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF ALBANY WARDS 1-2 | 300 | 268 | 3 | 571 | 52.5% | 46.9% | D+5.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WASHINGTON WARD 1TOWN OF WASHINGTON WARD 1 | 252 | 263 | 11 | 526 | 47.9% | 50.0% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CADIZ WARD 1TOWN OF CADIZ WARD 1 | 158 | 303 | 8 | 469 | 33.7% | 64.6% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MOUNT PLEASANT WARDS 1-3TOWN OF MOUNT PLEASANT WARDS 1-3 | 194 | 228 | 3 | 425 | 45.6% | 53.6% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF JORDAN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF JORDAN WARDS 1-2 | 154 | 214 | 1 | 369 | 41.7% | 58.0% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ADAMS WARD 1TOWN OF ADAMS WARD 1 | 161 | 189 | 4 | 354 | 45.5% | 53.4% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BELLEVILLE WARD 3VILLAGE OF BELLEVILLE WARD 3 | 230 | 102 | 5 | 337 | 68.2% | 30.3% | D+38.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BROOKLYN WARD 2VILLAGE OF BROOKLYN WARD 2 | 156 | 87 | 4 | 247 | 63.2% | 35.2% | D+27.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BROWNTOWN WARD 1VILLAGE OF BROWNTOWN WARD 1 | 43 | 89 | 1 | 133 | 32.3% | 66.9% | R+34.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −5.5% |
| 1896 | −13.3% |
| 1900 | −24.5% |
| 1904 | −31.6% |
| 1908 | −15.8% |
| 1912 | +2.8% |
| 1916 | −16.9% |
| 1920 | −74.9% |
| 1924 | −30.0% |
| 1928 | −29.2% |
| 1932 | +25.3% |
| 1936 | +22.7% |
| 1940 | −11.1% |
| 1944 | −15.0% |
| 1948 | −6.2% |
| 1952 | −41.0% |
| 1956 | −32.5% |
| 1960 | −35.6% |
| 1964 | +1.7% |
| 1968 | −28.2% |
| 1972 | −33.8% |
| 1976 | −11.1% |
| 1980 | −16.7% |
| 1984 | −28.1% |
| 1988 | −12.5% |
| 1992 | +4.1% |
| 1996 | +11.4% |
| 2000 | +7.0% |
| 2004 | +5.9% |
| 2008 | +25.7% |
| 2012 | +17.3% |
| 2016 | +2.3% |
| 2020 | +3.2% |
| 2024 | +0.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+17 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −266 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,655 in average income, against $81,495 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+25.9 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Green County, WI itself (D+0.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dane County, WI306D+51.5
- Rock County, WI120D+7.3
- Lafayette County, WI65R+20.2
- Stephenson County, IL44R+19.4
- Winnebago County, IL24D+0.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dane County, WI266
- Rock County, WI126
- Lafayette County, WI55
- Stephenson County, IL45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −92 |
| 2012 | −176 |
| 2013 | +35 |
| 2014 | −112 |
| 2015 | −19 |
| 2016 | −169 |
| 2017 | +6 |
| 2018 | +30 |
| 2019 | +26 |
| 2021 | +36 |
| 2022 | −135 |
| 2023 | +81 |
| 2024 | +206 |
| 2025 | +17 |
Green County sits in southwest Wisconsin's historic cheese-making belt, and its electorate has swung between parties by razor-thin margins in recent cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide rural-to-small-town voter shifts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.7 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 74.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 37,017, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,852 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Columbia County and Sauk County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Green County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.