HarrisDemocratic36.6%6,306TrumpRepublican61.8%10,633KennedyNonpartisan0.7%119
R+25.1- Lead
- 4,327
- Total
- 17,209
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Turnout
- 74.5%
Akashiccounty
Lincoln County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.5% of 23,216 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic38.0%6,261TrumpRepublican60.7%10,017JorgensenLibertarian1.1%175
R+22.8- Lead
- 3,756
- Total
- 16,497
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- 73.8%
ClintonDemocratic36.5%5,371TrumpRepublican57.1%8,401JohnsonLibertarian4.1%596
R+20.6- Lead
- 3,030
- Total
- 14,712
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Turnout
- 65.3%
ObamaDemocratic49.7%7,563RomneyRepublican49.0%7,455GrayIndependent0.6%90
D+0.7- Lead
- 108
- Total
- 15,216
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.2%8,424McCainRepublican42.7%6,519OtherAll other candidates2.1%325
D+12.5- Lead
- 1,905
- Total
- 15,268
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.7%7,484BushRepublican51.1%8,024OtherAll other candidates1.2%192
R+3.4- Lead
- 540
- Total
- 15,700
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.8%6,664BushRepublican47.2%6,727NaderGreen3.6%509
R+0.4- Lead
- 63
- Total
- 14,239
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic50.4%6,166DoleRepublican33.3%4,076PerotReform14.7%1,800
D+17.1- Lead
- 2,090
- Total
- 12,246
- vs nation
- D+8.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,4262024 5-year
- Population density
- 32 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 879 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,1642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Price County, WI · twin score 89.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.5%17,301 participants ÷ 23,216 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.5%–64.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,712 | 22,524 | 65.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,633 | 22,446 | 60.7% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,566 | 22,446 | 73.8% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,641 | 23,193 | 58.8% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,301 | 23,216 | 74.5% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Lincoln County, WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
61.6%
5,093 votes · D+25.8
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.1%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
72.1%
3,713 votes · R+55.8
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
8,424votes
55.2% of the vote · D+12.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 7,563 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,633votes
61.8% of the vote · R+25.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,017 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+13.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.3 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +12.8 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+38.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.5 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +29.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+140 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +95 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,523 in average income, against $72,744 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.3 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, WI itself (R+25.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marathon County, WI198R+18.6
- Oneida County, WI80R+17.6
- Dane County, WI27D+51.5
- Portage County, WI20D+1.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marathon County, WI187
- Oneida County, WI69
- Portage County, WI23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −213 |
| 2012 | +56 |
| 2013 | −114 |
| 2014 | −129 |
| 2015 | −157 |
| 2016 | +27 |
| 2017 | −9 |
| 2018 | −47 |
| 2019 | −54 |
| 2021 | +214 |
| 2022 | +85 |
| 2023 | +193 |
| 2024 | +103 |
| 2025 | +140 |
Lincoln County's economy anchors on timber, manufacturing, and tourism around the Tomahawk and Wisconsin River corridors. It shifted from a competitive swing county to a reliable Republican stronghold over roughly 15 years, tracking broader rural realignment across the upper Midwest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.1 points.
A population of 28,426, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,164 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Price County and Marquette County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Price County
Wisconsin
89.3twin score
2004–2012 trajectory12-yr trend≠ French ancestry
Marquette County
Wisconsin
87.6twin score
elasticity2012 margin12-yr trend≠ % unaffiliated
Wood County
Wisconsin
86.5twin score
elasticity2004–2008 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lincoln County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 25.1 points (R+25.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,209 votes cast, 6,306 went Democratic and 10,633 went Republican.
When did Lincoln County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Wisconsin?
Lincoln County, Wisconsin has a population of 28,426 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Wisconsin is $68,164 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.