- Lead
- 4,246
- Total
- 25,392
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Turnout
- 75.7%
Pierce County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.7% of 33,544 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,019
- Total
- 23,317
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- 72.1%
- Lead
- 2,873
- Total
- 21,376
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Turnout
- 67.9%
- Lead
- 162
- Total
- 21,020
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,991
- Total
- 22,107
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 739
- Total
- 21,876
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 390
- Total
- 17,962
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,371
- Total
- 15,000
- vs nation
- D+14.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,5842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,1092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Croix County, WI · twin score 89.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.7%25,392 participants ÷ 33,544 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.6%–61.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 21,638 | 31,868 | 67.9% | D/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,793 | 32,478 | 54.8% | D/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 23,892 | 33,128 | 72.1% | D/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,611 | 33,205 | 56.0% | D/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,392 | 33,544 | 75.7% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 29.9%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 29.7%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 27.9%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 28.7%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 25,392 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF PRESCOTT WARDS 1-5CITY OF PRESCOTT WARDS 1-5 | 1,113 | 1,400 | 86 | 2,599 | 42.8% | 53.9% | R+11.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 6-9CITY OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 6-9 | 1,364 | 961 | 67 | 2,392 | 57.0% | 40.2% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 14-18CITY OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 14-18 | 1,216 | 1,097 | 65 | 2,378 | 51.1% | 46.1% | D+5.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ELLSWORTH WARDS 1-4VILLAGE OF ELLSWORTH WARDS 1-4 | 618 | 1,098 | 36 | 1,752 | 35.3% | 62.7% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OAK GROVE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF OAK GROVE WARDS 1-3 | 535 | 1,132 | 30 | 1,697 | 31.5% | 66.7% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLIFTON WARDS 1-4TOWN OF CLIFTON WARDS 1-4 | 708 | 912 | 47 | 1,667 | 42.5% | 54.7% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 1-5TOWN OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 1-5 | 722 | 838 | 46 | 1,606 | 45.0% | 52.2% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 10-13CITY OF RIVER FALLS WARDS 10-13 | 816 | 728 | 41 | 1,585 | 51.5% | 45.9% | D+5.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TRENTON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF TRENTON WARDS 1-2 | 381 | 755 | 31 | 1,167 | 32.6% | 64.7% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TRIMBELLE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF TRIMBELLE WARDS 1-2 | 300 | 779 | 25 | 1,104 | 27.2% | 70.6% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SPRING VALLEY WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF SPRING VALLEY WARDS 1-2 | 312 | 452 | 43 | 807 | 38.7% | 56.0% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MARTELL WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MARTELL WARDS 1-2 | 304 | 478 | 17 | 799 | 38.0% | 59.8% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ELLSWORTH WARDS 1-2TOWN OF ELLSWORTH WARDS 1-2 | 235 | 524 | 21 | 780 | 30.1% | 67.2% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GILMAN WARD 1TOWN OF GILMAN WARD 1 | 257 | 391 | 34 | 682 | 37.7% | 57.3% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HARTLAND WARD 1TOWN OF HARTLAND WARD 1 | 140 | 410 | 24 | 574 | 24.4% | 71.4% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF EL PASO WARD 1TOWN OF EL PASO WARD 1 | 156 | 278 | 22 | 456 | 34.2% | 61.0% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ELMWOOD WARD 1VILLAGE OF ELMWOOD WARD 1 | 140 | 259 | 20 | 419 | 33.4% | 61.8% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAIDEN ROCK WARD 1TOWN OF MAIDEN ROCK WARD 1 | 137 | 252 | 18 | 407 | 33.7% | 61.9% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SPRING LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SPRING LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 106 | 267 | 21 | 394 | 26.9% | 67.8% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF UNION WARD 1TOWN OF UNION WARD 1 | 85 | 280 | 12 | 377 | 22.5% | 74.3% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DIAMOND BLUFF WARD 1TOWN OF DIAMOND BLUFF WARD 1 | 110 | 216 | 5 | 331 | 33.2% | 65.3% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF PLUM CITY WARD 1VILLAGE OF PLUM CITY WARD 1 | 97 | 212 | 13 | 322 | 30.1% | 65.8% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SALEM WARD 1TOWN OF SALEM WARD 1 | 88 | 214 | 17 | 319 | 27.6% | 67.1% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ROCK ELM WARD 1TOWN OF ROCK ELM WARD 1 | 90 | 174 | 21 | 285 | 31.6% | 61.1% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BAY CITY WARD 1VILLAGE OF BAY CITY WARD 1 | 61 | 146 | 24 | 231 | 26.4% | 63.2% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ISABELLE WARD 1TOWN OF ISABELLE WARD 1 | 48 | 116 | 12 | 176 | 27.3% | 65.9% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MAIDEN ROCK WARD 1VILLAGE OF MAIDEN ROCK WARD 1 | 32 | 48 | 6 | 86 | 37.2% | 55.8% | R+18.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −27.5% |
| 1896 | −43.3% |
| 1900 | −50.8% |
| 1904 | −68.3% |
| 1908 | −48.2% |
| 1912 | −0.0% |
| 1916 | −7.9% |
| 1920 | −70.6% |
| 1924 | −36.6% |
| 1928 | −36.2% |
| 1932 | +7.2% |
| 1936 | +1.4% |
| 1940 | −33.7% |
| 1944 | −25.6% |
| 1948 | +7.7% |
| 1952 | −35.1% |
| 1956 | −22.6% |
| 1960 | −13.2% |
| 1964 | +31.7% |
| 1968 | −2.0% |
| 1972 | −2.5% |
| 1976 | +16.8% |
| 1980 | +7.0% |
| 1984 | −2.2% |
| 1988 | +17.7% |
| 1992 | +17.3% |
| 1996 | +22.5% |
| 2000 | +2.2% |
| 2004 | +3.4% |
| 2008 | +9.0% |
| 2012 | −0.8% |
| 2016 | −13.4% |
| 2020 | −12.9% |
| 2024 | −16.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+179 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,380 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $72,728 in average income, against $95,545 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.3 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Pierce County, WI itself (R+16.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Croix County, WI356R+19.2
- Dakota County, MN116D+12.8
- Washington County, MN113D+8.9
- Hennepin County, MN69D+42.4
- Ramsey County, MN65D+43.1
- Dunn County, WI53R+15.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Croix County, WI350
- Dakota County, MN94
- Washington County, MN80
- Ramsey County, MN72
- Hennepin County, MN56
- Dunn County, WI49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −351 |
| 2012 | −339 |
| 2013 | −107 |
| 2014 | +77 |
| 2015 | −129 |
| 2016 | +246 |
| 2017 | +438 |
| 2018 | +456 |
| 2019 | +76 |
| 2021 | −560 |
| 2022 | +850 |
| 2023 | +407 |
| 2024 | +137 |
| 2025 | +179 |
Pierce County sits on Wisconsin's western edge across from the Twin Cities metro, drawing suburban and rural residents whose voting patterns have trended Republican by double digits over the past decade despite the county's proximity to a major Democratic urban center.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 70.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.7 points.
A population of 42,584, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,109 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Croix County and Nicollet County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pierce County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.