HarrisDemocratic48.6%9,441TrumpRepublican49.1%9,540KennedyIndependent1.0%193
R+0.5- Lead
- 99
- Total
- 19,417
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Turnout
- 74.0%
Akashiccounty
Nicollet County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.0% of 26,347 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic50.3%9,622TrumpRepublican47.2%9,018JorgensenLibertarian1.2%222
D+3.2- Lead
- 604
- Total
- 19,125
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- 74.4%
ClintonDemocratic43.6%7,886TrumpRepublican46.6%8,437JohnsonLibertarian4.6%831
R+3.0- Lead
- 551
- Total
- 18,097
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- 72.7%
ObamaDemocratic52.6%9,652RomneyRepublican44.7%8,214GRAYLibertarian1.3%237
D+7.8- Lead
- 1,438
- Total
- 18,357
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.2%9,887McCainRepublican43.7%7,968OtherAll other candidates2.1%390
D+10.5- Lead
- 1,919
- Total
- 18,245
- vs nation
- D+3.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.6%8,797BushRepublican49.0%8,689OtherAll other candidates1.4%255
D+0.6- Lead
- 108
- Total
- 17,741
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.9%7,041BushRepublican47.1%7,221NaderGreen5.5%842
R+1.2- Lead
- 180
- Total
- 15,327
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.9%6,772DoleRepublican36.5%5,057PerotReform12.5%1,737
D+12.4- Lead
- 1,715
- Total
- 13,842
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,4112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,7562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Blue Earth County, MN · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.0%19,508 participants ÷ 26,347 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.2%–60.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,266 | 25,138 | 72.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,873 | 25,583 | 62.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,212 | 25,810 | 74.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,377 | 26,232 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,508 | 26,347 | 74.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 19,417 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ST PETER W-1 P-1ST PETER W-1 P-1 | 1,675 | 1,317 | 75 | 3,067 | 54.6% | 42.9% | D+11.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ST PETER W-2 P-1ST PETER W-2 P-1 | 1,852 | 1,009 | 82 | 2,943 | 62.9% | 34.3% | D+28.6 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-4NORTH MANKATO P-4 | 728 | 567 | 31 | 1,326 | 54.9% | 42.8% | D+12.1 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-5NORTH MANKATO P-5 | 597 | 652 | 27 | 1,276 | 46.8% | 51.1% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-7NORTH MANKATO P-7 | 573 | 621 | 31 | 1,225 | 46.8% | 50.7% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-6NORTH MANKATO P-6 | 565 | 567 | 22 | 1,154 | 49.0% | 49.1% | R+0.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-1NORTH MANKATO P-1 | 643 | 462 | 14 | 1,119 | 57.5% | 41.3% | D+16.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-2NORTH MANKATO P-2 | 639 | 442 | 24 | 1,105 | 57.8% | 40.0% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -NORTH MANKATO P-3NORTH MANKATO P-3 | 616 | 450 | 28 | 1,094 | 56.3% | 41.1% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct -BELGRADE TWPBELGRADE TWP | 271 | 427 | 21 | 719 | 37.7% | 59.4% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -NICOLLET CITYNICOLLET CITY | 197 | 467 | 7 | 671 | 29.4% | 69.6% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -COURTLAND CITYCOURTLAND CITY | 123 | 347 | 6 | 476 | 25.8% | 72.9% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -LAKE PRAIRIE TWPLAKE PRAIRIE TWP | 152 | 260 | 9 | 421 | 36.1% | 61.8% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -LAFAYETTE TWPLAFAYETTE TWP | 109 | 295 | 6 | 410 | 26.6% | 72.0% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -COURTLAND TWPCOURTLAND TWP | 96 | 274 | 5 | 375 | 25.6% | 73.1% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -OSHAWA TWPOSHAWA TWP | 134 | 186 | 18 | 338 | 39.6% | 55.0% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -NICOLLET TWPNICOLLET TWP | 93 | 232 | 3 | 328 | 28.4% | 70.7% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -WEST NEWTON TWPWEST NEWTON TWP | 67 | 210 | 2 | 279 | 24.0% | 75.3% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -LAFAYETTE CITYLAFAYETTE CITY | 69 | 189 | 7 | 265 | 26.0% | 71.3% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -TRAVERSE TWPTRAVERSE TWP | 68 | 130 | 2 | 200 | 34.0% | 65.0% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -NEW SWEDEN TWPNEW SWEDEN TWP | 56 | 115 | 6 | 177 | 31.6% | 65.0% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -GRANBY TWPGRANBY TWP | 41 | 109 | 6 | 156 | 26.3% | 69.9% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -BERNADOTTE TWPBERNADOTTE TWP | 44 | 110 | 1 | 155 | 28.4% | 71.0% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -BRIGHTON TWPBRIGHTON TWP | 12 | 64 | 2 | 78 | 15.4% | 82.1% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -RIDGELY TWPRIDGELY TWP | 21 | 38 | 1 | 60 | 35.0% | 63.3% | R+28.3 |
| Belgrade Township Voting District27_271030005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bernadotte Township Voting District27_271030010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brighton Township Voting District27_271030015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City Of Courtland Voting District27_271030020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City Of Lafayette Voting District27_271030035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City Of Nicollet Voting District27_271030060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courtland Township Voting District27_271030025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Granby Township Voting District27_271030030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lafayette Township Voting District27_271030040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Prairie Township Voting District27_271030045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-2 P-3027_271030050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Sweden Township Voting District27_271030055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nicollet Township Voting District27_271030065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-1A27_271030070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-1B27_271030075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-2A27_271030080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-2B27_271030085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-3A27_271030090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-3B27_271030095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-4A27_271030100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-4B27_271030105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-5A27_271030106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-5B27_271030107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-6A27_271030108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato P-6B27_271030109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oshawa Township Voting District27_271030110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgely Township Voting District27_271030115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St Peter W-1 P-127_271030120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St Peter W-1 P-227_271030125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St Peter W-2 P-127_271030130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St Peter W-2 P-227_271030135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Traverse Township Voting District27_271030140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Newton Township Voting District27_271030145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.0% |
| 1896 | −35.6% |
| 1900 | −31.5% |
| 1904 | −51.4% |
| 1908 | −23.9% |
| 1912 | +16.7% |
| 1916 | −21.5% |
| 1920 | −72.2% |
| 1924 | −44.3% |
| 1928 | −18.9% |
| 1932 | +27.5% |
| 1936 | +25.4% |
| 1940 | −24.4% |
| 1944 | −30.2% |
| 1948 | +1.2% |
| 1952 | −38.0% |
| 1956 | −33.7% |
| 1960 | −14.3% |
| 1964 | +17.4% |
| 1968 | −4.6% |
| 1972 | −14.0% |
| 1976 | −2.4% |
| 1980 | −7.6% |
| 1984 | −12.6% |
| 1988 | −0.7% |
| 1992 | +6.4% |
| 1996 | +12.4% |
| 2000 | −1.2% |
| 2004 | +0.6% |
| 2008 | +10.5% |
| 2012 | +7.8% |
| 2016 | −3.0% |
| 2020 | +3.2% |
| 2024 | −0.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,078 |
| 2018 | 20,585 |
| 2020 | 21,693 |
| 2022 | 21,593 |
| 2024 | 22,743 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−36 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −859 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,179 in average income, against $90,291 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.0 on average — 3.5 points more Republican-leaning than Nicollet County, MN itself (R+0.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Blue Earth County, MN473R+1.2
- Le Sueur County, MN75R+33.6
- Brown County, MN58R+35.0
- Hennepin County, MN54D+42.4
- Dakota County, MN29D+12.8
- Ramsey County, MN28D+43.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Blue Earth County, MN405
- Hennepin County, MN105
- Cottonwood County, MN62
- Le Sueur County, MN59
- Brown County, MN57
- Dakota County, MN41
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4 |
| 2012 | −147 |
| 2013 | −212 |
| 2014 | +161 |
| 2015 | −72 |
| 2016 | −17 |
| 2017 | +125 |
| 2018 | +16 |
| 2019 | −53 |
| 2021 | −209 |
| 2022 | +53 |
| 2023 | −567 |
| 2024 | +103 |
| 2025 | −36 |
Nicollet County, anchored by Mankato's southern suburbs along the Minnesota River, has drifted toward competitive status over recent cycles — the 2024 presidential contest settled at roughly half a percentage point, reflecting a mixed blend of small-city and agricultural voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.5 points.
A population of 34,411, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,756 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Blue Earth County and Eau Claire County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Blue Earth County
Minnesota
94.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Eau Claire County
Wisconsin
91.8twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Rice County
Minnesota
90.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nicollet County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Nicollet County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Nicollet County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nicollet County, Minnesota voted Republican by 0.5 points (R+0.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,417 votes cast, 9,441 went Democratic and 9,540 went Republican.
When did Nicollet County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nicollet County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Nicollet County, Minnesota?
Nicollet County, Minnesota has a population of 34,411 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nicollet County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Nicollet County, Minnesota is $79,756 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Nicollet County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nicollet County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.