- Lead
- 2,017
- Total
- 4,769
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- 77.4%
Murray County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.4% of 6,208 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,914
- Total
- 4,896
- vs nation
- R+43.5
- Turnout
- 78.0%
- Lead
- 1,679
- Total
- 4,668
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- 72.9%
- Lead
- 344
- Total
- 4,767
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 4,813
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 501
- Total
- 4,998
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 314
- Total
- 4,753
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 266
- Total
- 4,869
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,0972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Renville County, MN · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.4%4,806 participants ÷ 6,208 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.3%–66.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,759 | 6,525 | 72.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,229 | 6,401 | 66.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,924 | 6,310 | 78.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,935 | 6,256 | 62.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,806 | 6,208 | 77.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 4,769 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SLAYTON CITYSLAYTON CITY | 352 | 710 | 23 | 1,085 | 32.4% | 65.4% | R+33.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FULDAFULDA | 221 | 433 | 20 | 674 | 32.8% | 64.2% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -LAKE SARAH TWPLAKE SARAH TWP | 67 | 188 | 5 | 260 | 25.8% | 72.3% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -SHETEK TWPSHETEK TWP | 66 | 145 | 2 | 213 | 31.0% | 68.1% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -SLAYTON TWPSLAYTON TWP | 58 | 128 | 2 | 188 | 30.9% | 68.1% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -MASON TWPMASON TWP | 57 | 124 | 3 | 184 | 31.0% | 67.4% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -BONDIN TWPBONDIN TWP | 41 | 105 | 4 | 150 | 27.3% | 70.0% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE WILSONLAKE WILSON | 48 | 93 | 3 | 144 | 33.3% | 64.6% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -MOULTON TWPMOULTON TWP | 9 | 121 | 0 | 130 | 6.9% | 93.1% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -LEEDS TWPLEEDS TWP | 22 | 101 | 5 | 128 | 17.2% | 78.9% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -CHANARAMBIE TWPCHANARAMBIE TWP | 14 | 95 | 4 | 113 | 12.4% | 84.1% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -CURRIECURRIE | 51 | 56 | 2 | 109 | 46.8% | 51.4% | R+4.6 |
| Precinct -LIME LAKE TWPLIME LAKE TWP | 17 | 84 | 2 | 103 | 16.5% | 81.6% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -BELFAST TWPBELFAST TWP | 25 | 76 | 1 | 102 | 24.5% | 74.5% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -CHANDLERCHANDLER | 13 | 88 | 0 | 101 | 12.9% | 87.1% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -FENTON TWPFENTON TWP | 15 | 85 | 0 | 100 | 15.0% | 85.0% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -DOVRAY TWPDOVRAY TWP | 20 | 77 | 0 | 97 | 20.6% | 79.4% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -MURRAY TWPMURRAY TWP | 24 | 69 | 3 | 96 | 25.0% | 71.9% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -LOWVILLE TWPLOWVILLE TWP | 21 | 72 | 2 | 95 | 22.1% | 75.8% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -IONAIONA | 23 | 68 | 1 | 92 | 25.0% | 73.9% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -IONA TWPIONA TWP | 25 | 63 | 1 | 89 | 28.1% | 70.8% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -DES MOINES RIVERDES MOINES RIVER | 19 | 64 | 2 | 85 | 22.4% | 75.3% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -ELLSBOROUGH TWPELLSBOROUGH TWP | 20 | 64 | 1 | 85 | 23.5% | 75.3% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -HOLLY TWPHOLLY TWP | 14 | 56 | 0 | 70 | 20.0% | 80.0% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -SKANDIA TWPSKANDIA TWP | 25 | 43 | 2 | 70 | 35.7% | 61.4% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -CAMERON TWPCAMERON TWP | 14 | 50 | 1 | 65 | 21.5% | 76.9% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -AVOCAAVOCA | 18 | 42 | 2 | 62 | 29.0% | 67.7% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -HADLEYHADLEY | 20 | 20 | 2 | 42 | 47.6% | 47.6% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -DOVRAY CITYDOVRAY CITY | 10 | 26 | 1 | 37 | 27.0% | 70.3% | R+43.2 |
| Avoca Voting District27_271010005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belfast Twp. Voting District27_271010010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bondin Twp. Voting District27_271010015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cameron Twp. Voting District27_271010020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanarambie Twp. Voting District27_271010025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chandler Voting District27_271010030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Currie Voting District27_271010035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Des Moines River Voting District27_271010040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dovray City Voting District27_271010046 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dovray Twp. Voting District27_271010045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ellsborough Twp. Voting District27_271010050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fenton Twp. Voting District27_271010055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fulda Voting District27_271010060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hadley Voting District27_271010065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holly Twp. Voting District27_271010070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iona Twp. Voting District27_271010080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iona Voting District27_271010075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Sarah Twp. Voting District27_271010085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Wilson Voting District27_271010090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leeds Twp. Voting District27_271010095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lime Lake Twp. Voting District27_271010100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lowville Twp. Voting District27_271010105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mason Twp. Voting District27_271010110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moulton Twp. Voting District27_271010115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Murray Twp. Voting District27_271010120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shetek Twp. Voting District27_271010125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skandia Twp. Voting District27_271010130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Slayton City Voting District27_271010135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Slayton Twp. Voting District27_271010140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.3% |
| 1896 | −6.5% |
| 1900 | −24.2% |
| 1904 | −44.9% |
| 1908 | −24.8% |
| 1912 | +17.1% |
| 1916 | +2.3% |
| 1920 | −62.3% |
| 1924 | −38.3% |
| 1928 | −11.1% |
| 1932 | +41.9% |
| 1936 | +39.7% |
| 1940 | +2.5% |
| 1944 | −1.8% |
| 1948 | +29.3% |
| 1952 | −30.7% |
| 1956 | −9.5% |
| 1960 | −5.5% |
| 1964 | +24.3% |
| 1968 | −4.1% |
| 1972 | −1.1% |
| 1976 | +16.9% |
| 1980 | −4.7% |
| 1984 | −0.7% |
| 1988 | +10.1% |
| 1992 | +7.4% |
| 1996 | +5.5% |
| 2000 | −6.6% |
| 2004 | −10.0% |
| 2008 | +0.5% |
| 2012 | −7.2% |
| 2016 | −36.0% |
| 2020 | −39.1% |
| 2024 | −42.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,341 |
| 2018 | 5,265 |
| 2020 | 5,547 |
| 2022 | 5,350 |
| 2024 | 5,475 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−73 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −630 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,233 in average income, against $85,488 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.5 on average — 8.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Murray County, MN itself (R+42.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lyon County, MN31R+31.7
- Nobles County, MN27R+35.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Nobles County, MN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −59 |
| 2012 | −38 |
| 2013 | −65 |
| 2014 | −58 |
| 2015 | −47 |
| 2016 | −90 |
| 2017 | +39 |
| 2018 | −78 |
| 2019 | −68 |
| 2021 | −20 |
| 2022 | −65 |
| 2023 | +47 |
| 2024 | −55 |
| 2025 | −73 |
Murray County's agricultural economy and sparse population density mirror the broader southwest Minnesota pattern of decisive Republican margins — the 2024 presidential race landed at R+42.3, consistent with the region's decade-long rightward consolidation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.3 points.
A population of 8,097, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,033 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Renville County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Murray County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.