HarrisDemocratic43.8%8,312TrumpRepublican54.3%10,297KennedyIndependent1.0%185
R+10.5- Lead
- 1,985
- Total
- 18,969
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Turnout
- 68.2%
Akashiccounty
Mower County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.2% of 27,947 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.0%8,899TrumpRepublican51.8%10,025JorgensenLibertarian0.9%177
R+5.8- Lead
- 1,126
- Total
- 19,345
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- 71.7%
ClintonDemocratic42.0%7,437TrumpRepublican49.8%8,823JohnsonLibertarian3.5%620
R+7.8- Lead
- 1,386
- Total
- 17,715
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- 64.8%
ObamaDemocratic60.0%11,129RomneyRepublican37.4%6,938GRAYLibertarian1.2%219
D+22.6- Lead
- 4,191
- Total
- 18,539
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.5%11,605McCainRepublican36.9%7,075OtherAll other candidates2.6%507
D+23.6- Lead
- 4,530
- Total
- 19,187
- vs nation
- D+16.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic61.0%12,334BushRepublican37.5%7,591OtherAll other candidates1.5%297
D+23.5- Lead
- 4,743
- Total
- 20,222
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic57.9%10,693BushRepublican37.2%6,873NaderGreen3.7%678
D+20.7- Lead
- 3,820
- Total
- 18,480
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic57.6%10,413DoleRepublican27.6%4,994PerotReform13.6%2,464
D+30.0- Lead
- 5,419
- Total
- 18,063
- vs nation
- D+21.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,3432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,0742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Freeborn County, MN · twin score 90.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.2%19,064 participants ÷ 27,947 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.8%–53.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,959 | 27,710 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,148 | 27,336 | 55.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,519 | 27,217 | 71.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,214 | 27,685 | 51.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,064 | 27,947 | 68.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
78 precincts · 18,969 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -AUSTIN W-2 P-2AUSTIN W-2 P-2 | 1,274 | 1,166 | 55 | 2,495 | 51.1% | 46.7% | D+4.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -AUSTIN W-3 P-2AUSTIN W-3 P-2 | 891 | 934 | 27 | 1,852 | 48.1% | 50.4% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -AUSTIN W-1 P-2AUSTIN W-1 P-2 | 987 | 797 | 33 | 1,817 | 54.3% | 43.9% | D+10.5 |
| Precinct -AUSTIN W-2 P-1AUSTIN W-2 P-1 | 846 | 812 | 25 | 1,683 | 50.3% | 48.2% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -AUSTIN W-1 P-1AUSTIN W-1 P-1 | 909 | 658 | 24 | 1,591 | 57.1% | 41.4% | D+15.8 |
| Precinct -AUSTIN W-3 P-1AUSTIN W-3 P-1 | 717 | 677 | 31 | 1,425 | 50.3% | 47.5% | D+2.8 |
| Precinct -GRAND MEADOWGRAND MEADOW | 187 | 417 | 10 | 614 | 30.5% | 67.9% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -LANSING TWPLANSING TWP | 225 | 313 | 8 | 546 | 41.2% | 57.3% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -AUSTIN TWPAUSTIN TWP | 207 | 328 | 5 | 540 | 38.3% | 60.7% | R+22.4 |
| Precinct -LE ROYLE ROY | 163 | 305 | 11 | 479 | 34.0% | 63.7% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -RED ROCK TWPRED ROCK TWP | 169 | 303 | 6 | 478 | 35.4% | 63.4% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -ADAMSADAMS | 147 | 238 | 11 | 396 | 37.1% | 60.1% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -BROWNSDALEBROWNSDALE | 151 | 224 | 5 | 380 | 39.7% | 58.9% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -RACINE TWPRACINE TWP | 71 | 226 | 5 | 302 | 23.5% | 74.8% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -LYLELYLE | 114 | 157 | 11 | 282 | 40.4% | 55.7% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -RACINERACINE | 56 | 218 | 5 | 279 | 20.1% | 78.1% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -UDOLPHO TWPUDOLPHO TWP | 111 | 159 | 8 | 278 | 39.9% | 57.2% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -WINDOM TWPWINDOM TWP | 107 | 160 | 9 | 276 | 38.8% | 58.0% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -ADAMS TWPADAMS TWP | 94 | 164 | 5 | 263 | 35.7% | 62.4% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -FRANKFORD TWPFRANKFORD TWP | 70 | 185 | 5 | 260 | 26.9% | 71.2% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -LYLE TWPLYLE TWP | 53 | 168 | 1 | 222 | 23.9% | 75.7% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -WALTHAM TWPWALTHAM TWP | 61 | 141 | 7 | 209 | 29.2% | 67.5% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -NEVADA TWPNEVADA TWP | 67 | 135 | 2 | 204 | 32.8% | 66.2% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -ROSE CREEKROSE CREEK | 87 | 111 | 6 | 204 | 42.6% | 54.4% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -LE ROY TWPLE ROY TWP | 60 | 140 | 1 | 201 | 29.9% | 69.7% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -SARGEANT TWPSARGEANT TWP | 38 | 158 | 5 | 201 | 18.9% | 78.6% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL TWPMARSHALL TWP | 65 | 118 | 5 | 188 | 34.6% | 62.8% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT VALLEYPLEASANT VALLEY | 49 | 124 | 7 | 180 | 27.2% | 68.9% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -DEXTERDEXTER | 65 | 109 | 3 | 177 | 36.7% | 61.6% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -GRAND MEADOW TWPGRAND MEADOW TWP | 41 | 126 | 5 | 172 | 23.8% | 73.3% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -DEXTER TWPDEXTER TWP | 45 | 117 | 2 | 164 | 27.4% | 71.3% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -LODI TWPLODI TWP | 38 | 110 | 2 | 150 | 25.3% | 73.3% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -BENNINGTON TWPBENNINGTON TWP | 25 | 77 | 2 | 104 | 24.0% | 74.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -CLAYTON TWPCLAYTON TWP | 30 | 63 | 2 | 95 | 31.6% | 66.3% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -WALTHAMWALTHAM | 22 | 57 | 6 | 85 | 25.9% | 67.1% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -ELKTONELKTON | 19 | 41 | 3 | 63 | 30.2% | 65.1% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -MAPLEVIEWMAPLEVIEW | 27 | 25 | 1 | 53 | 50.9% | 47.2% | D+3.8 |
| Precinct -SARGEANTSARGEANT | 7 | 26 | 0 | 33 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -TAOPITAOPI | 17 | 10 | 1 | 28 | 60.7% | 35.7% | D+25.0 |
| Adams Twp. Voting District27_270990010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adams Voting District27_270990005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin Twp. Voting District27_270990070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin W-1 P-127_270990015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin W-1 P-227_270990020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin W-2 P-127_270990030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin W-2 P-227_270990035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin W-3 P-127_270990050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Austin W-3 P-227_270990055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bennington Twp. Voting District27_270990075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brownsdale Voting District27_270990080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clayton Twp. Voting District27_270990085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dexter Twp. Voting District27_270990095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dexter Voting District27_270990090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elkton Voting District27_270990100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Frankford Twp. Voting District27_270990105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grand Meadow Twp. Voting District27_270990115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grand Meadow Voting District27_270990110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lansing Twp. Voting District27_270990120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Roy Twp. Voting District27_270990130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Roy Voting District27_270990125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lodi Twp. Voting District27_270990135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyle Twp. Voting District27_270990145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyle Voting District27_270990140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mapleview Voting District27_270990150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall Twp. Voting District27_270990155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nevada Twp. Voting District27_270990160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Valley Voting District27_270990165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Racine Twp. Voting District27_270990175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Racine Voting District27_270990170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Rock Twp. Voting District27_270990180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Creek Voting District27_270990185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sargeant Twp. Voting District27_270990195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sargeant Voting District27_270990190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taopi Voting District27_270990200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Udolpho Twp. Voting District27_270990205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waltham Twp. Voting District27_270990215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waltham Voting District27_270990210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Windom Twp. Voting District27_270990220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.3% |
| 1896 | −40.2% |
| 1900 | −45.9% |
| 1904 | −62.0% |
| 1908 | −34.3% |
| 1912 | −2.2% |
| 1916 | −22.4% |
| 1920 | −68.3% |
| 1924 | −49.5% |
| 1928 | −26.6% |
| 1932 | +22.8% |
| 1936 | +25.8% |
| 1940 | +5.4% |
| 1944 | +4.4% |
| 1948 | +24.8% |
| 1952 | −7.1% |
| 1956 | −1.9% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +35.1% |
| 1968 | +16.9% |
| 1972 | +1.7% |
| 1976 | +21.8% |
| 1980 | +12.9% |
| 1984 | +21.5% |
| 1988 | +25.9% |
| 1992 | +23.7% |
| 1996 | +30.0% |
| 2000 | +20.7% |
| 2004 | +23.5% |
| 2008 | +23.6% |
| 2012 | +22.6% |
| 2016 | −7.8% |
| 2020 | −5.8% |
| 2024 | −10.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,358 |
| 2018 | 20,509 |
| 2020 | 22,695 |
| 2022 | 22,366 |
| 2024 | 23,742 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+18 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,098 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,065 in average income, against $76,196 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Mower County, MN itself (R+10.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Olmsted County, MN147D+10.6
- Freeborn County, MN56R+21.3
- Dodge County, MN32R+31.9
- Hennepin County, MN32D+42.4
- Fillmore County, MN30R+25.4
- Ramsey County, MN26D+43.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Olmsted County, MN153
- Freeborn County, MN93
- Hennepin County, MN54
- Ramsey County, MN37
- Steele County, MN34
- Dodge County, MN29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −30 |
| 2012 | −170 |
| 2013 | −218 |
| 2014 | −169 |
| 2015 | −318 |
| 2016 | −191 |
| 2017 | +1 |
| 2018 | +90 |
| 2019 | −372 |
| 2021 | −27 |
| 2022 | −397 |
| 2023 | −289 |
| 2024 | −26 |
| 2025 | +18 |
Mower County anchors its economy around the Hormel Foods complex in Austin, giving it an unusually high share of Latino and immigrant workers for rural Minnesota. Despite that union heritage, the county has shifted more than 20 points toward Republicans over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 68.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.5 points.
A population of 40,343, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,074 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Freeborn County and Rice County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Freeborn County
Minnesota
90.2twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Rice County
Minnesota
84.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Marshall County
Iowa
83.1twin score
2008–2020 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mower County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Mower County
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Mower County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mower County, Minnesota voted Republican by 10.5 points (R+10.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,969 votes cast, 8,312 went Democratic and 10,297 went Republican.
When did Mower County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mower County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Mower County, Minnesota?
Mower County, Minnesota has a population of 40,343 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mower County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Mower County, Minnesota is $73,074 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Mower County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mower County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.