- Lead
- 10,432
- Total
- 23,476
- vs nation
- R+43.0
Minnesota State House District 21A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,069
- Total
- 23,512
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Lead
- 9,030
- Total
- 22,278
- vs nation
- R+42.6
- Lead
- 3,994
- Total
- 22,232
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Lead
- 2,366
- Total
- 22,649
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Lead
- 4,592
- Total
- 23,819
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 3,198
- Total
- 23,114
- vs nation
- R+14.4
- Lead
- 100
- Total
- 22,821
- vs nation
- R+9.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,4632024 5-year
- Population density
- 14 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,977 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,7532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.3 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 4, SD · twin score 98.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 21A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
65.3%
13,864 votes · D+32.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.9%
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
88.1%
1,161 votes · R+76.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 81.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
15,861votes
58.0% of the vote · D+16.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 15,003 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
19,853votes
69.9% of the vote · R+40.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · 16,986 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+14.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.4 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +9.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+47.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +43.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.0%5,935 | 73.0%16,036 | 21,971 |
| 2020 | R | 35.6%7,537 | 64.4%13,608 | 21,145 |
District 21A covers a rural swath of south-central Minnesota where Donald Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote by 45.5 points, placing it among the state's most lopsided legislative districts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 76.3 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.4 points.
A population of 42,463, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,753 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 4 and State House District 16A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 21A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2721A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.