akashic
1876–2024
State House District 21A·Minnesota

State House District 21A peaked at D+34; 2024 delivered R+41.

One of Minnesota's most Republican-leaning state house seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+41
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
50,335
2024 ACS

State House District 21A, Minnesota: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+66 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+41MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
50,3352024 5-year
Median household income
$70,6322024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.9%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+66 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−41.0%
7,46718,21326,181
R
−38.8%
7,84818,10026,428
R
−36.7%
7,05416,31625,237
R
−13.7%
10,67014,14725,347
R
−6.3%
11,80813,44125,936
R
−15.1%
11,35615,46327,199
R
−10.4%
11,18513,91226,298
D
+3.0%
11,72710,92726,299
D
+2.2%
10,68210,06028,503
D
+1.0%
13,93713,66927,890
R
−8.7%
13,38515,97529,662
R
−11.3%
13,01716,69232,514
D
+8.3%
17,70014,95433,214
R
−9.4%
14,25317,25331,901
R
−7.6%
13,52715,86630,823
D
+19.7%
18,86112,65831,558
R
−15.1%
13,90718,86232,823
R
−18.1%
12,20417,62229,873
R
−37.0%
10,02121,88632,025
D
+16.3%
15,85511,36727,618
R
−9.7%
11,77114,31926,219
R
−9.5%
14,00616,96231,130
D
+28.4%
17,5489,42528,578
D
+34.1%
15,8937,71024,029
R
−16.8%
9,73213,68423,571
R
−43.3%
1,40311,07422,329
R
−66.2%
3,04616,83320,815
R
−7.8%
4,9085,79411,365
O
+11.7%
3,0891,91110,075
R
−28.4%
3,2406,0129,744
R
−58.2%
1,7197,1039,250
R
−27.9%
3,4756,31810,179
R
−9.5%
4,5535,54210,365
D
+18.6%
3,4152,0147,513
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
37.4%
Irish
5.5%
English
3.8%
American
2.8%
Polish
1.7%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.2%
85+
2.1%
3.2%
75–84
3.6%
6.0%
65–74
5.7%
6.6%
55–64
6.5%
5.4%
45–54
5.3%
5.7%
35–44
5.6%
5.5%
25–34
5.0%
4.1%
18–24
3.5%
9.8%
5–17
8.8%
3.0%
<5
3.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,632
State House District 21A ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 21A$70,632
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.2%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)11.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.8%
speak English only
Spanish8.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.8%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
40.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
18.9%
Other Christian
5.0%
Methodist
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 31.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

District 21A covers a rural swath of south-central Minnesota where Donald Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote by 45.5 points, placing it among the state's most lopsided legislative districts.

The Democratic margin in State House District 21A peaked at thirty-four points in 1932. By 2000 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,632 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 21A, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2721A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 21A, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 21A, Minnesota voted Republican by 41.0 points (R+41), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,181 votes cast, 7,467 went Democratic and 18,213 went Republican.
What is State House District 21A, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 21A, Minnesota as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 21A, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 21A, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State House District 21A, Minnesota?
State House District 21A, Minnesota has a population of 50,335 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 21A, Minnesota?
Median household income in State House District 21A, Minnesota is $70,632 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State House District 21A, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 21A, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.