- Lead
- 2,105
- Total
- 5,373
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Turnout
- 75.0%
Rock County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.0% of 7,162 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,027
- Total
- 5,240
- vs nation
- R+43.1
- Turnout
- 74.8%
- Lead
- 1,718
- Total
- 4,839
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Turnout
- 69.8%
- Lead
- 864
- Total
- 4,846
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 696
- Total
- 4,975
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,111
- Total
- 5,191
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 691
- Total
- 5,010
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 27
- Total
- 4,904
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,6212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,2952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, MN · twin score 90.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.0%5,373 participants ÷ 7,162 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.8%–58.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,916 | 7,043 | 69.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,770 | 6,986 | 54.0% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,240 | 7,002 | 74.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,139 | 7,187 | 57.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,373 | 7,162 | 75.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
48 precincts · 5,373 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LUVERNE W-1 NELUVERNE W-1 NE | 414 | 618 | 26 | 1,058 | 39.1% | 58.4% | R+19.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LUVERNE W-2 SELUVERNE W-2 SE | 304 | 462 | 17 | 783 | 38.8% | 59.0% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -LUVERNE W-1 NWLUVERNE W-1 NW | 175 | 279 | 8 | 462 | 37.9% | 60.4% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -HILLSHILLS | 74 | 314 | 3 | 391 | 18.9% | 80.3% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -LUVERNE W-2 SWLUVERNE W-2 SW | 133 | 247 | 6 | 386 | 34.5% | 64.0% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -BEAVER CREEK TWPBEAVER CREEK TWP | 52 | 173 | 3 | 228 | 22.8% | 75.9% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -MARTIN TWPMARTIN TWP | 32 | 193 | 3 | 228 | 14.0% | 84.6% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -LUVERNE TWP P2LUVERNE TWP P2 | 37 | 122 | 3 | 162 | 22.8% | 75.3% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -CLINTON TWPCLINTON TWP | 22 | 134 | 2 | 158 | 13.9% | 84.8% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -BEAVER CREEKBEAVER CREEK | 42 | 114 | 1 | 157 | 26.8% | 72.6% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -LUVERNE TWP P1LUVERNE TWP P1 | 28 | 123 | 0 | 151 | 18.5% | 81.5% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -MOUND TWPMOUND TWP | 35 | 97 | 3 | 135 | 25.9% | 71.9% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -MAGNOLIA TWPMAGNOLIA TWP | 34 | 97 | 3 | 134 | 25.4% | 72.4% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -KANARANZI TWPKANARANZI TWP | 21 | 108 | 1 | 130 | 16.2% | 83.1% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -SPRINGWATER TWPSPRINGWATER TWP | 23 | 105 | 1 | 129 | 17.8% | 81.4% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -BATTLE PLAIN TWPBATTLE PLAIN TWP | 15 | 97 | 2 | 114 | 13.2% | 85.1% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -VIENNA TWPVIENNA TWP | 27 | 70 | 2 | 99 | 27.3% | 70.7% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -ROSE DELL TWPROSE DELL TWP | 13 | 82 | 3 | 98 | 13.3% | 83.7% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -DENVER TWPDENVER TWP | 12 | 75 | 2 | 89 | 13.5% | 84.3% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -HARDWICKHARDWICK | 38 | 43 | 3 | 84 | 45.2% | 51.2% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -STEENSTEEN | 17 | 59 | 5 | 81 | 21.0% | 72.8% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -MAGNOLIA CITYMAGNOLIA CITY | 20 | 50 | 0 | 70 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -JASPERJASPER | 12 | 10 | 1 | 23 | 52.2% | 43.5% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -KENNETHKENNETH | 5 | 18 | 0 | 23 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.5 |
| Battle Plain Twp. Voting District27_271330005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Creek Twp. Voting District27_271330015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Creek Voting District27_271330010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clinton Twp. Voting District27_271330020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Denver Twp. Voting District27_271330025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hardwick Voting District27_271330030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hills Voting District27_271330035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jasper Voting District27_271330040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kanaranzi Twp. Voting District27_271330045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kenneth Voting District27_271330050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luverne Twp. P-127_271330075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luverne Twp. P-227_271330077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luverne W-1 NE27_271330055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luverne W-1 NW27_271330060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luverne W-2 SE27_271330065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luverne W-2 SW27_271330070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Magnolia City Voting District27_271330080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Magnolia Twp. Voting District27_271330085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Martin Twp. Voting District27_271330090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mound Twp. Voting District27_271330095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Dell Twp. Voting District27_271330100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Springwater Twp. Voting District27_271330105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steen Voting District27_271330110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vienna Twp. Voting District27_271330115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −35.3% |
| 1896 | −22.0% |
| 1900 | −34.9% |
| 1904 | −63.8% |
| 1908 | −38.6% |
| 1912 | +0.2% |
| 1916 | −24.5% |
| 1920 | −72.6% |
| 1924 | −45.4% |
| 1928 | −20.4% |
| 1932 | +29.6% |
| 1936 | +23.9% |
| 1940 | −19.4% |
| 1944 | −21.9% |
| 1948 | +2.3% |
| 1952 | −49.1% |
| 1956 | −34.5% |
| 1960 | −31.1% |
| 1964 | +9.6% |
| 1968 | −18.1% |
| 1972 | −24.6% |
| 1976 | −2.1% |
| 1980 | −18.8% |
| 1984 | −15.1% |
| 1988 | −5.8% |
| 1992 | −1.1% |
| 1996 | −0.6% |
| 2000 | −13.8% |
| 2004 | −21.4% |
| 2008 | −14.0% |
| 2012 | −17.8% |
| 2016 | −35.5% |
| 2020 | −38.7% |
| 2024 | −39.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,687 |
| 2018 | 5,282 |
| 2020 | 5,876 |
| 2022 | 5,664 |
| 2024 | 6,213 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−10 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −309 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,332 in average income, against $89,416 for residents who stayed — 45% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.5 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Rock County, MN itself (R+39.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Minnehaha County, SD61R+12.7
- Nobles County, MN26R+35.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Minnehaha County, SD55
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −27 |
| 2012 | −108 |
| 2013 | −47 |
| 2014 | −41 |
| 2015 | +73 |
| 2016 | −40 |
| 2017 | +73 |
| 2018 | −42 |
| 2019 | −91 |
| 2021 | +30 |
| 2022 | −93 |
| 2023 | +54 |
| 2024 | −40 |
| 2025 | −10 |
Rock County, tucked into Minnesota's southwestern tip along the South Dakota border, has backed Republican presidential candidates by growing margins over the past decade, reflecting the broader rural realignment across the Upper Midwest's agricultural heartland.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.6 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 39.2 points.
A population of 9,621, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,295 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and Kingsbury County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rock County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.