- Lead
- 4,186
- Total
- 8,499
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- 74.4%
Roseau County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.4% of 11,504 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,877
- Total
- 8,421
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Turnout
- 74.5%
- Lead
- 3,595
- Total
- 7,804
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- 68.8%
- Lead
- 1,637
- Total
- 7,352
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,341
- Total
- 7,700
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,913
- Total
- 7,911
- vs nation
- R+34.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,567
- Total
- 7,166
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 229
- Total
- 6,909
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,3022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,4742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bottineau County, ND · twin score 86.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.4%8,562 participants ÷ 11,504 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.4%–60.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,904 | 11,495 | 68.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,568 | 11,489 | 57.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,461 | 11,351 | 74.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,584 | 11,446 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,562 | 11,504 | 74.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
88 precincts · 8,499 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ROSEAUROSEAU | 466 | 976 | 18 | 1,460 | 31.9% | 66.8% | R+34.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LAKE TWPLAKE TWP | 194 | 792 | 12 | 998 | 19.4% | 79.4% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -WARROADWARROAD | 261 | 561 | 16 | 838 | 31.1% | 66.9% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -MORANVILLE TWPMORANVILLE TWP | 80 | 430 | 3 | 513 | 15.6% | 83.8% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -GREENBUSHGREENBUSH | 112 | 293 | 8 | 413 | 27.1% | 70.9% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -JADIS TWPJADIS TWP | 94 | 259 | 11 | 364 | 25.8% | 71.2% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -SPRUCE TWPSPRUCE TWP | 67 | 268 | 6 | 341 | 19.6% | 78.6% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -LAONA TWPLAONA TWP | 54 | 249 | 4 | 307 | 17.6% | 81.1% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -MALUNG TWPMALUNG TWP | 89 | 170 | 5 | 264 | 33.7% | 64.4% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -BADGERBADGER | 50 | 178 | 4 | 232 | 21.6% | 76.7% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -ROSS TWPROSS TWP | 43 | 181 | 8 | 232 | 18.5% | 78.0% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -ENSTROM TWPENSTROM TWP | 69 | 154 | 2 | 225 | 30.7% | 68.4% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -MICKINOCK TWPMICKINOCK TWP | 28 | 138 | 3 | 169 | 16.6% | 81.7% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -STAFFORD TWPSTAFFORD TWP | 42 | 117 | 3 | 162 | 25.9% | 72.2% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -FALUN TWPFALUN TWP | 50 | 107 | 1 | 158 | 31.6% | 67.7% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -HEREIM TWPHEREIM TWP | 38 | 101 | 1 | 140 | 27.1% | 72.1% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -STOKES TWPSTOKES TWP | 29 | 98 | 3 | 130 | 22.3% | 75.4% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -SKAGEN TWPSKAGEN TWP | 17 | 94 | 2 | 113 | 15.0% | 83.2% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -DIETER TWPDIETER TWP | 18 | 82 | 1 | 101 | 17.8% | 81.2% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -GRIMSTAD TWPGRIMSTAD TWP | 16 | 78 | 1 | 95 | 16.8% | 82.1% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -GOLDEN VALLEY TWPGOLDEN VALLEY TWP | 22 | 70 | 2 | 94 | 23.4% | 74.5% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -DEWEY TWPDEWEY TWP | 23 | 57 | 1 | 81 | 28.4% | 70.4% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -NORLAND/SPRUCE VALLEY UNORGANIZEDNORLAND/SPRUCE VALLEY UNORGANIZED | 16 | 57 | 3 | 76 | 21.1% | 75.0% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -ROOSEVELTROOSEVELT | 15 | 60 | 1 | 76 | 19.7% | 78.9% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -BARTO TWPBARTO TWP | 22 | 51 | 1 | 74 | 29.7% | 68.9% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -BEAVER TWPBEAVER TWP | 20 | 52 | 0 | 72 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -CEDARBEND TWPCEDARBEND TWP | 12 | 60 | 0 | 72 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -CLEAR RIVER/OAKS UNORGCLEAR RIVER/OAKS UNORG | 13 | 59 | 0 | 72 | 18.1% | 81.9% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -BARNETT TWPBARNETT TWP | 11 | 57 | 0 | 68 | 16.2% | 83.8% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -MOOSE TWPMOOSE TWP | 12 | 53 | 1 | 66 | 18.2% | 80.3% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -POPLAR GROVE TWPPOPLAR GROVE TWP | 18 | 48 | 0 | 66 | 27.3% | 72.7% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -SOLER TWPSOLER TWP | 13 | 51 | 0 | 64 | 20.3% | 79.7% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -DEER TWPDEER TWP | 10 | 45 | 4 | 59 | 16.9% | 76.3% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -REINE TWPREINE TWP | 9 | 47 | 1 | 57 | 15.8% | 82.5% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -HUSS TWPHUSS TWP | 8 | 46 | 0 | 54 | 14.8% | 85.2% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -AMERICA/BELTRAMI ISLAND FOREST UNORGAMERICA/BELTRAMI ISLAND FOREST UNORG | 11 | 22 | 0 | 33 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -NERESON TWPNERESON TWP | 9 | 20 | 1 | 30 | 30.0% | 66.7% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -PALMVILLE TWPPALMVILLE TWP | 10 | 20 | 0 | 30 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -LIND TWPLIND TWP | 9 | 20 | 0 | 29 | 31.0% | 69.0% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -STRATHCONASTRATHCONA | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -POLONIA TWPPOLONIA TWP | 7 | 11 | 0 | 18 | 38.9% | 61.1% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -POHLITZ TWPPOHLITZ TWP | 2 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -JUNEBERRY/BLOOMING VALLEY UNORGJUNEBERRY/BLOOMING VALLEY UNORG | 3 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 27.3% | 72.7% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -JADIS UNORGANIZEDJADIS UNORGANIZED | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
| America/Beltrami Island Forest Unorg. Voting District27_271350176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Badger Voting District27_271350005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnett Twp. Voting District27_271350010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barto Twp. Voting District27_271350015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Twp. Voting District27_271350020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedarbend Twp. Voting District27_271350025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear River/Oaks Unorg. Voting District27_271350028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deer Twp. Voting District27_271350030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dewey Twp. Voting District27_271350035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dieter Twp. Voting District27_271350040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Enstrom Twp. Voting District27_271350045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Falun Twp. Voting District27_271350050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Golden Valley Twp. Voting District27_271350055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenbush Voting District27_271350060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grimstad Twp. Voting District27_271350065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hereim Twp. Voting District27_271350070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Huss Twp. Voting District27_271350075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jadis Twp. Voting District27_271350080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jadis Unorganized Voting District27_271350083 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Juneberry/Blooming Valley Unorg. Voting District27_271350122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Twp. Voting District27_271350085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Laona Twp. Voting District27_271350090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lind Twp. Voting District27_271350095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Malung Twp. Voting District27_271350100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mickinock Twp. Voting District27_271350105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moose Twp. Voting District27_271350110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moranville Twp. Voting District27_271350115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nereson Twp. Voting District27_271350120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norland/Spruce Valley Unorg. Voting District27_271350121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmville Twp. Voting District27_271350125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pohlitz Twp. Voting District27_271350130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Polonia Twp. Voting District27_271350135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplar Grove Twp. Voting District27_271350140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reine Twp. Voting District27_271350145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt Voting District27_271350150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roseau Voting District27_271350155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ross Twp. Voting District27_271350160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skagen Twp. Voting District27_271350165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Soler Twp. Voting District27_271350170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spruce Twp. Voting District27_271350175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stafford Twp. Voting District27_271350180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stokes Twp. Voting District27_271350185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Strathcona Voting District27_271350190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Warroad Voting District27_271350195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1896–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1896 | +29.0% |
| 1900 | −8.0% |
| 1904 | −60.6% |
| 1908 | −25.8% |
| 1912 | +1.1% |
| 1916 | +0.6% |
| 1920 | −50.7% |
| 1924 | −34.6% |
| 1928 | −30.8% |
| 1932 | +40.9% |
| 1936 | +46.2% |
| 1940 | +41.8% |
| 1944 | +41.6% |
| 1948 | +40.1% |
| 1952 | +8.1% |
| 1956 | +23.3% |
| 1960 | +16.9% |
| 1964 | +37.5% |
| 1968 | +11.9% |
| 1972 | −8.4% |
| 1976 | +14.5% |
| 1980 | −11.7% |
| 1984 | −19.4% |
| 1988 | −14.1% |
| 1992 | −6.0% |
| 1996 | −3.3% |
| 2000 | −35.8% |
| 2004 | −36.8% |
| 2008 | −17.4% |
| 2012 | −22.3% |
| 2016 | −46.1% |
| 2020 | −46.0% |
| 2024 | −49.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,245 |
| 2018 | 8,945 |
| 2020 | 9,635 |
| 2022 | 9,343 |
| 2024 | 10,041 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−46 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,120 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,712 in average income, against $78,766 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pennington County, MN29
- Cass County, ND29
- Grand Forks County, ND24
- Polk County, MN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −113 |
| 2012 | −61 |
| 2013 | −94 |
| 2014 | +99 |
| 2015 | −111 |
| 2016 | −122 |
| 2017 | −295 |
| 2018 | −204 |
| 2019 | −44 |
| 2021 | −12 |
| 2022 | +56 |
| 2023 | −103 |
| 2024 | −70 |
| 2025 | −46 |
Roseau County sits along Minnesota's northern edge, where a sparse, agriculturally rooted population and tight-knit communities centered on farming and snowmobile manufacturing have produced some of the state's most lopsided federal election results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 60.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.3 points.
A population of 15,302, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,474 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bottineau County and Stutsman County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Roseau County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.