- Lead
- 1,893
- Total
- 3,447
- vs nation
- R+53.4
- Turnout
- 72.3%
Bottineau County, ND
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.3% of 4,823 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,754
- Total
- 3,471
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- 70.5%
- Lead
- 1,758
- Total
- 3,494
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 67.8%
- Lead
- 1,097
- Total
- 3,555
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 672
- Total
- 3,516
- vs nation
- R+26.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,300
- Total
- 3,674
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,176
- Total
- 3,690
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 402
- Total
- 3,519
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,3782024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,0002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.0 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- McLean County, ND · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.3%3,485 participants ÷ 4,823 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.8%–64.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,550 | 5,239 | 67.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,316 | 5,169 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,494 | 4,957 | 70.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,880 | 4,879 | 59.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,485 | 4,823 | 72.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 3,447 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -22 | 179 | 612 | 18 | 809 | 22.1% | 75.6% | R+53.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -44 | 156 | 574 | 14 | 744 | 21.0% | 77.2% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -55 | 103 | 544 | 8 | 655 | 15.7% | 83.1% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -11 | 167 | 435 | 22 | 624 | 26.8% | 69.7% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -33 | 130 | 463 | 22 | 615 | 21.1% | 75.3% | R+54.1 |
| Bottineau 06-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-11 Voting District11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-12 Voting District12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-13 Voting District13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-14 Voting District14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bottineau 06-15 Voting District15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −37.2% |
| 1896 | +2.6% |
| 1900 | −7.2% |
| 1904 | −43.9% |
| 1908 | −24.5% |
| 1912 | +4.8% |
| 1916 | +5.7% |
| 1920 | −52.4% |
| 1924 | −26.7% |
| 1928 | −0.6% |
| 1932 | +53.5% |
| 1936 | +35.7% |
| 1940 | −11.7% |
| 1944 | −15.2% |
| 1948 | −22.3% |
| 1952 | −56.0% |
| 1956 | −25.9% |
| 1960 | −22.1% |
| 1964 | +10.5% |
| 1968 | −25.4% |
| 1972 | −40.4% |
| 1976 | −13.9% |
| 1980 | −47.7% |
| 1984 | −44.3% |
| 1988 | −19.9% |
| 1992 | −12.7% |
| 1996 | −11.4% |
| 2000 | −31.9% |
| 2004 | −35.4% |
| 2008 | −19.1% |
| 2012 | −30.9% |
| 2016 | −50.3% |
| 2020 | −50.5% |
| 2024 | −54.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−54 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −198 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,104 in average income, against $94,092 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.0 on average — 7.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Bottineau County, ND itself (R+54.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ward County, ND36R+47.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ward County, ND42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +64 |
| 2012 | +120 |
| 2013 | +127 |
| 2014 | −71 |
| 2015 | +42 |
| 2016 | −143 |
| 2017 | −30 |
| 2018 | −108 |
| 2019 | −91 |
| 2021 | +35 |
| 2022 | −60 |
| 2023 | −54 |
| 2024 | +25 |
| 2025 | −54 |
Bottineau sits along the Canadian border in north-central North Dakota, where an agricultural economy and sparse, predominantly white rural population have produced some of the most lopsided federal election results in the state for over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.0 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.9 points.
A population of 6,378, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,000 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McLean County and Foster County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bottineau County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.