- Lead
- 134,178
- Total
- 368,155
- vs nation
- R+35.0
- Turnout
- 63.9%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 784,8412024 5-year
- Population density
- 11 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 68,994 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,6572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- South Dakota, SD · twin score 93.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.9%371,974 participants ÷ 581,737 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.5%–50.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 349,945 | 555,691 | 63.0% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 329,950 | 562,632 | 58.6% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 364,499 | 564,942 | 64.5% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 242,566 | 575,817 | 42.1% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 371,974 | 581,737 | 63.9% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
North Dakota · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
69.6%
178,350 votes · D+41.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
77.8%
160,082 votes · R+59.6
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 75.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
178,350votes
69.6% of the vote · D+41.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 163,148 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
246,505votes
67.0% of the vote · R+36.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 235,751 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+23.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.6 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +8.8 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+50.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.5 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +37.8 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+512 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +28,244 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +6,216 |
| 2012 | +10,456 |
| 2013 | +15,237 |
| 2014 | +9,492 |
| 2015 | +9,354 |
| 2016 | −6,302 |
| 2017 | −6,981 |
| 2018 | −2,358 |
| 2019 | −1,267 |
| 2021 | −3,878 |
| 2022 | −2,744 |
| 2023 | +930 |
| 2024 | −423 |
| 2025 | +512 |
Of 53 counties, the only two North Dakota gave the Democrats are the Standing Rock and Turtle Mountain reservations.
- Among the most Republican states
- R+36.4 in 2024 — its widest margin in at least nine cycles; Republican every cycle since 1968 · MIT Election Lab
- A near-uniform map
- Trump carried 51 of 53 counties; Slope R+81.7 is the reddest, the Bakken’s McKenzie R+69.2 and Williams R+67.6 among the next · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Standing Rock
- Sioux County: D+38.7, the state’s widest Democratic margin; 83.2% American Indian and other single-race, 43.3% poverty · MIT Election Lab; ACS 2024 5-year
- Turtle Mountain
- Rolette County: D+28.0; 75.9% American Indian and other single-race, 20.1% Turtle Mountain Chippewa ancestry — Democratic 2012–2024 · MIT Election Lab; ACS 2024 5-year
- White and agricultural
- 81.7% White — German 34.5%, Norwegian 20.3%; Catholic 21.1%, 13th of 50 · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- A young, oil-boom state
- Median age 36.4 — 4th-youngest of 50; income $76,657 vs U.S. $80,734 · ACS 2024 5-year
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/ND/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.