Minot, North Dakota
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −32.1% |
| 2008 | −15.9% |
| 2012 | −24.6% |
| 2016 | −40.2% |
| 2020 | −37.9% |
| 2024 | −40.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 28.2%Harris5,797 | 69.1%Trump14,205 | 2.7% | R+40.9 | R+3.0 | R+39.4 | 20,549 | |
| R | 29.2%Biden5,683 | 67.0%Trump13,061 | 3.8% | R+37.9 | D+2.3 | R+42.3 | 19,482 | |
| R | 24.0%Clinton4,494 | 64.2%Trump12,013 | 11.8% | R+40.2 | R+15.5 | R+42.2 | 18,724 | |
| R | 36.0%Obama6,533 | 60.6%Romney10,998 | 3.3% | R+24.6 | R+8.7 | R+28.5 | 18,137 | |
| R | 41.1%Obama7,803 | 57.0%McCain10,820 | 1.9% | R+15.9 | D+16.2 | R+23.2 | 18,978 | |
| R | 33.1%Kerry6,266 | 65.3%Bush12,341 | 1.6% | R+32.1 | — | R+29.7 | 18,911 |
Minot's economy and demographic profile are shaped by two forces: military presence from one of the Air Force's largest bases and the residual influx of energy-sector workers from North Dakota's oil patch expansion after 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 40.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 47,791, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,219 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dickinson and Mandan.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Minot, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3853380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.