- Lead
- 4,060
- Total
- 7,587
- vs nation
- R+52.0
North Dakota 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,631
- Total
- 7,263
- vs nation
- R+54.4
- Lead
- 3,538
- Total
- 6,808
- vs nation
- R+54.1
- Lead
- 2,341
- Total
- 6,293
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Lead
- 1,638
- Total
- 6,305
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Lead
- 2,575
- Total
- 6,341
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Lead
- 1,948
- Total
- 5,541
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Lead
- 838
- Total
- 5,270
- vs nation
- R+24.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,2752024 5-year
- Population density
- 48 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 358 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,1312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, ND · twin score 99.1
presidential history
Party record book
North Dakota 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
62.1%
2,006 votes · D+37.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 61.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.6%
1,124 votes · R+65.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 75.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
2,466votes
58.0% of the vote · D+16.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,279 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,750votes
75.8% of the vote · R+53.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,349 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
+13.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.5 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +9.1 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+65.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.7 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +54.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+53.5, District 38 sits among the most one-sided constituencies in the state, reflecting the deeply rural, agricultural character typical of western North Dakota's legislative map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 65.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.5 points.
A population of 17,275, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,131 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 5.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Dakota 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/38038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.