Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
MontanaTrumpR+19.9
2024StatewideR+19.9

56 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County56 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Missoula42,90327,306D+21.472,773Glacier2,9331,939D+19.65,078Silver Bow9,3868,110D+7.018,226Gallatin34,93832,695D+3.269,897Deer Lodge2,3762,329D+1.04,870Big Horn2,1122,188R+1.74,470Lewis and Clark19,08521,479R+5.742,023Blaine1,3481,526R+5.93,019Park5,2246,128R+7.711,717Roosevelt1,6802,055R+9.63,914Hill2,6343,871R+18.26,804Lake6,5109,880R+19.916,910Cascade14,02122,419R+22.337,583Yellowstone28,39250,460R+27.181,391Chouteau9401,885R+32.22,934Carbon2,3534,719R+32.47,297Flathead20,06241,390R+33.863,140Jefferson2,5165,544R+36.58,291Rosebud1,0952,466R+37.13,693Ravalli8,48520,617R+40.629,904Pondera7821,972R+41.72,852Sheridan5091,321R+42.51,912Beaverhead1,5434,058R+43.45,794Granite5791,537R+44.02,176Teton9272,533R+45.03,568Madison1,6894,615R+45.36,461Mineral6892,049R+48.02,833Custer1,3854,208R+48.75,797Valley9353,019R+51.14,079Fergus1,5224,965R+51.36,712Sweet Grass5251,789R+53.12,381Lincoln2,6158,909R+53.411,789Powell7102,466R+53.53,282Meagher256888R+53.91,172Liberty214752R+54.5988Sanders1,7056,150R+55.18,069Toole4151,571R+56.52,046Judith Basin2651,051R+58.11,353Wheatland209843R+58.41,086Dawson8943,627R+58.94,638Broadwater8853,770R+60.04,810Prairie122546R+61.6688Stillwater1,0564,699R+61.75,906Phillips3851,753R+62.52,189Daniels154778R+65.6951Richland7784,387R+68.05,309Treasure57367R+70.1442Musselshell3962,550R+71.53,012Wibaux71463R+71.8546Golden Valley67440R+72.4515McCone129931R+74.11,082Powder River131963R+75.21,106Fallon1631,303R+75.61,507Petroleum37284R+76.2324Carter75760R+80.2854Garfield39756R+89.6800

Montana, Montana

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −19.9% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−19.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−2.9%
1896+60.2%
1900+18.5%
1904−20.4%
1908−4.4%
1912+11.8%
1916+19.3%
1920−29.1%
1924−23.1%
1928−17.9%
1932+22.7%
1936+41.7%
1940+18.6%
1944+9.4%
1948+9.9%
1952−19.3%
1956−14.3%
1960−2.5%
1964+18.4%
1968−9.0%
1972−20.1%
1976−7.4%
1980−24.4%
1984−22.3%
1988−5.9%
1992+2.5%
1996−2.9%
2000−25.1%
2004−20.5%
2008−2.4%
2012−13.6%
2016−20.2%
2020−16.4%
2024−19.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
38.5%Harris231,906
58.4%Trump352,079
2.0%Kennedy11,825
−19.9%
602,963
R
40.6%Biden244,786
56.9%Trump343,602
2.5%Jorgensen15,252
−16.4%
603,640
R
35.4%Clinton177,709
55.6%Trump279,240
5.6%Johnson28,037
−20.2%
501,822
R
41.7%Obama201,839
55.3%Romney267,928
2.9%Johnson14,165
−13.6%
484,484
R
47.2%Obama232,159
49.6%McCain243,882
2.2%Paul10,638
−2.4%
491,768
R
38.6%Kerry173,710
59.1%Bush266,063
1.4%Nader6,168
−20.5%
450,445
R
33.4%Gore137,126
58.4%Bush240,178
5.9%Nader24,437
−25.1%
410,986
R
41.3%Clinton167,922
44.1%Dole179,652
13.6%Perot55,229
−2.9%
407,083
D
37.6%Clinton154,507
35.1%Bush144,207
26.1%Perot107,225
+2.5%
410,583
R
46.2%Dukakis168,936
52.1%Bush190,412
1.4%Paul5,047
−5.9%
365,674
R
38.2%Mondale146,742
60.5%Reagan232,450
1.3%Bergland5,185
−22.3%
384,377
R
32.4%Carter118,032
56.8%Reagan206,814
8.0%Anderson29,281
−24.4%
363,952
R
45.4%Carter149,259
52.8%Ford173,703
1.8%Anderson5,772
−7.4%
328,734
R
37.8%McGovern120,197
57.9%Nixon183,976
4.2%Schmitz13,430
−20.1%
317,603
R
41.6%Humphrey114,117
50.6%Nixon138,835
7.8%Wallace21,452
−9.0%
274,404
D
58.9%Johnson164,246
40.6%Goldwater113,032
0.5%Hass1,350
+18.4%
278,628
R
48.6%Kennedy134,891
51.1%Nixon141,841
0.3%Byrd847
−2.5%
277,579
R
42.9%Stevenson116,238
57.1%Eisenhower154,933
0.0%
−14.3%
271,171
R
40.1%Stevenson106,213
59.4%Eisenhower157,394
0.5%Hallinan1,430
−19.3%
265,037
D
53.1%Truman119,071
43.1%Dewey96,770
3.8%Thurmond8,437
+9.9%
224,278
D
54.3%Roosevelt112,556
44.9%Dewey93,163
0.8%Thomas1,636
+9.4%
207,355
D
58.8%Roosevelt145,698
40.2%Willkie99,579
1.0%Thomas2,596
+18.6%
247,873
D
69.3%Roosevelt159,690
27.6%Landon63,598
3.1%Lemke7,214
+41.7%
230,502
D
58.8%Roosevelt127,286
36.1%Hoover78,078
5.1%Thomas11,115
+22.7%
216,479
R
40.5%Smith78,578
58.4%Hoover113,300
1.1%Thomas2,230
−17.9%
194,108
R
19.4%Davis33,805
42.5%Coolidge74,138
38.1%La Follette66,482
−23.1%
174,425
R
32.1%Cox57,372
61.1%Harding109,430
6.8%Debs12,204
−29.1%
179,006
D
56.9%Wilson101,063
37.6%Hughes66,750
5.6%Benson9,866
+19.3%
177,679
O
35.0%Wilson27,941
23.2%Taft18,512
41.8%Roosevelt33,373
Roosevelt +6.8
79,826
R
42.6%Bryan29,326
47.0%Taft32,333
10.4%Debs7,163
−4.4%
68,822
R
33.8%Parker21,773
54.2%Roosevelt34,932
12.0%Debs7,739
−20.4%
64,444
D
58.4%Bryan37,146
39.9%McKinley25,373
1.8%Woolley1,122
+18.5%
63,641
D
79.9%Bryan42,469
19.7%McKinley10,494
0.3%Palmer186
+60.2%
53,149
R
39.7%Cleveland17,581
42.5%Harrison18,851
17.8%Weaver7,883
−2.9%
44,315
2026 election
On the ballot
U.S. Senateopen seat
Seth BodnarnomineeKurt AlmenomineeAlani Bankheadnominee

Sen. Daines (R) withdrew at the March 5 filing deadline and endorsed Kurt Alme, who won the June 2 GOP primary. Independent Seth Bodnar (ex-UM president) is a major candidate, with support from former Sen. Jon Tester.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 35 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
R 239.7%58.6%597,811
R 234.2%52.9%463,632
R 143.6%56.4%601,509
R 146.2%50.9%504,421

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
45.5%276,305
52.6%319,682
607,262
2020R
45.0%272,463
55.0%333,174
605,637
2018D
50.3%253,876
46.8%235,963
504,384
2014R
40.1%148,184
57.8%213,709
369,826
2012D
48.6%236,123
44.9%218,051
486,066
2008D
72.9%348,289
27.1%129,369
477,658
2006D
49.2%199,845
48.3%196,283
406,505
2002D
62.7%204,853
31.7%103,611
326,537
2000R
47.2%194,430
50.6%208,082
411,601
1996D
49.6%201,935
44.7%182,111
407,490
1994R
37.6%131,845
62.4%218,542
350,387
1990D
68.1%217,563
29.4%93,836
319,336
1988R
48.1%175,809
51.9%189,445
365,254
1984D
56.9%215,704
40.7%154,308
379,155
1982D
54.5%174,861
41.7%133,789
321,062
1978D
55.7%160,353
44.3%127,589
287,942
1976D
64.2%206,232
35.8%115,213
321,445
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in MontanaTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 800,573 in 2024.200.1K400.3K600.4K800.6K800.6K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Montana
YearTotal registered
2016694,370
2018706,173
2020747,439
2022757,914
2024800,573
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
Five of Montana’s fifty-six counties voted Democratic in 2024, and Jon Tester’s eighteen-year hold on a Senate seat ended the same night.
Presidential margin, 2024
R+19.9 — widest in five cycles, up from R+16.4 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
Where the blue is
Just 5 of 56 counties went Democratic — Missoula D+21.4 (bluest), Butte’s Silver Bow D+7.0, Glacier D+19.6; Garfield is reddest at R+89.6 · MIT Election Lab
The split ticket closed
Sen. Jon Tester (D), elected 2006 and re-elected 2012 and 2018, lost his seat in 2024 · U.S. Senate records
Reservation counties crossed
Big Horn (Crow) D→R+1.7 and Blaine (Fort Belknap) D+3.8 (2020)→R+5.9, both Democratic through 2020 · MIT Election Lab / per-county returns
Among the least churched
65.3% claim no religious affiliation — 4th of 50; 6th in Latter-day Saints · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
Open Senate seat in 2026
Daines (R) withdrew at filing and endorsed Kurt Alme, who won the June 2 GOP primary; independent Seth Bodnar runs with Tester’s support · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Wyoming
Wyoming
75.1twin score
2000 margin% White% Black≠ elasticity
Idaho
Idaho
67.8twin score
2000–2016 trajectory% Black% White≠ 2008 margin
South Dakota
South Dakota
67.6twin score
2000–2012 trajectorypopulation scale≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MT/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
Largest cities in Montana
Billings
119.4K residents
Missoula
76.5K residents
Great Falls
60.3K residents
Bozeman
56.1K residents
Butte-Silver Bow (balance)
35.1K residents
Helena
33.6K residents
Kalispell
28.5K residents
Belgrade
11.9K residents
Evergreen
9.6K residents
Anaconda-Deer Lodge County
9.6K residents
Havre
9.3K residents
Helena Valley Southeast
9.1K residents
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Presidentcounty detail2024US Senatestatewide2024Governorstate + county2024US Houseall districts2024

Places within Montana

56counties7metro areas6media markets2congressional districts50state senate districts100state house districts
More in Montana
Beaverhead County
Big Horn County
Blaine County
Broadwater County
Carbon County
Carter County

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana voted Republican by 19.9 points (R+19.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 602,963 votes cast, 231,906 went Democratic and 352,079 went Republican.
When did Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Montana?
Montana has a population of 1,116,875 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana?
Median household income in Montana is $72,509 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.