Akashic

county

Valley County, MT

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1896–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1896 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German21.6%22.9%12.5%

Norwegian19.2%7.5%—

American12.3%5.4%5.3%

Irish8.5%13.5%9.4%

English6.4%13.1%9.5%

Swedish4.8%1.4%—

Italian1.6%3.2%4.8%

French1.5%—1.6%

Mexican1.9%2.9%11.3%

Peruvian0.2%——

Spanish0.2%0.3%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Valley County	Montana	United States
Median age	44.3	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	6.3%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	24.5%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Valley County	Montana	United States
Median household income	$71,695	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.1%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	25.7%	35.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Valley County	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.8%	4.2%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Valley County	Montana	United States
Catholic	6.4%	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	6.6%	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	71.8%	65.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	11.2%	4.7%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.5% of 5,798 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic22.9%935TrumpRepublican74.0%3,019KennedyIndependent2.2%89

R+51.1

Lead: 2,084
Total: 4,079
vs nation: R+49.6
Turnout: 71.5%

BidenDemocratic24.2%1,030TrumpRepublican73.6%3,135JorgensenLibertarian2.3%96

R+49.4

Lead: 2,105
Total: 4,261
vs nation: R+53.9
Turnout: 75.5%

ClintonDemocratic22.8%886TrumpRepublican69.3%2,698JohnsonLibertarian6.0%234

R+46.5

Lead: 1,812
Total: 3,894
vs nation: R+48.6
Turnout: 69.4%

ObamaDemocratic35.9%1,385RomneyRepublican60.6%2,337GRAYLibertarian3.6%137

R+24.7

Lead: 952
Total: 3,859
vs nation: R+28.5
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic42.1%1,645McCainRepublican54.2%2,121OtherAll other candidates3.7%145

R+12.2

Lead: 476
Total: 3,911
vs nation: R+19.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic35.6%1,431BushRepublican61.6%2,476OtherAll other candidates2.8%111

R+26.0

Lead: 1,045
Total: 4,018
vs nation: R+23.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic32.1%1,273BushRepublican63.1%2,500NaderGreen2.6%103

R+31.0

Lead: 1,227
Total: 3,963
vs nation: R+31.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic39.8%1,674DoleRepublican43.7%1,838PerotReform15.3%645

R+3.9

Lead: 164
Total: 4,207
vs nation: R+12.4
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+51.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 7,5192024 5-year
Median household income: $71,6952024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 84.2%2024 5-year
Black: 0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+69.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+51.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Bottineau County, ND · twin score 84.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 71.5%4,148 participants ÷ 5,798 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +19.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 52.4%–61.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	4,029	5,808	69.4%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	3,928	5,830	67.4%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	4,327	5,731	75.5%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	3,278	5,814	56.4%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	4,148	5,798	71.5%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

4 precincts · 4,079 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Valley County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -PCT 34PCT 34	567	1,853	77	2,497	22.7%	74.2%	R+51.5
Precinct -PCT 33PCT 33	109	581	21	711	15.3%	81.7%	R+66.4
Precinct -PCT 31PCT 31	221	435	24	680	32.5%	64.0%	R+31.5
Precinct -PCT 32PCT 32	38	150	3	191	19.9%	78.5%	R+58.6

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1896–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1896	+7.7%
1900	−21.5%
1904	−37.1%
1908	−23.8%
1912	+1.1%
1916	+28.8%
1920	−36.0%
1924	−34.8%
1928	−28.4%
1932	+30.7%
1936	+69.0%
1940	+36.7%
1944	+23.9%
1948	+28.2%
1952	−7.2%
1956	+3.2%
1960	+10.6%
1964	+18.6%
1968	−7.9%
1972	−23.1%
1976	−3.4%
1980	−32.3%
1984	−25.2%
1988	−6.5%
1992	+4.8%
1996	−3.9%
2000	−31.0%
2004	−26.0%
2008	−12.2%
2012	−24.7%
2016	−46.5%
2020	−49.4%
2024	−51.1%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	22.9%Harris935	74.0%Trump3,019	2.2%Kennedy89 +2	R+51.1	R+1.7	R+49.6	4,079
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican74.0%3,019 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.9%935 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent2.2%89 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%19 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%17
2020	R	24.2%Biden1,030	73.6%Trump3,135	2.3%Jorgensen96	R+49.4	R+2.9	R+53.9	4,261
2016	R	22.8%Clinton886	69.3%Trump2,698	6.0%Johnson234	R+46.5	R+21.9	R+48.6	3,894
2012	R	35.9%Obama1,385	60.6%Romney2,337	3.6%GRAY137	R+24.7	R+12.5	R+28.5	3,859
2008	R	42.1%Obama1,645	54.2%McCain2,121	3.7%	R+12.2	D+13.8	R+19.4	3,911
2004	R	35.6%Kerry1,431	61.6%Bush2,476	2.8%	R+26.0	D+5.0	R+23.6	4,018
2000	R	32.1%Gore1,273	63.1%Bush2,500	2.6%Nader103	R+31.0	R+27.1	R+31.5	3,963
1996	R	39.8%Clinton1,674	43.7%Dole1,838	15.3%Perot645	R+3.9	R+8.7	R+12.4	4,207
1992	D	37.5%Clinton1,715	32.8%Bush1,497	28.9%Perot1,320	D+4.8	D+11.2	R+0.8	4,568
1988	R	46.0%Dukakis2,163	52.4%Bush2,467	1.6%	R+6.5	D+18.8	D+1.3	4,706
1984	R	36.6%Mondale1,849	61.9%Reagan3,123	1.5%	R+25.2	D+7.0	R+7.0	5,046
1980	R	30.2%Carter1,567	62.5%Reagan3,242	7.3%	R+32.3	R+28.9	R+22.5	5,190
1976	R	47.4%Carter2,352	50.8%Ford2,520	1.8%	R+3.4	D+19.7	R+5.5	4,959
1972	R	36.9%McGovern1,973	60.0%Nixon3,210	3.1%	R+23.1	R+15.3	±0.0	5,348
1968	R	41.6%Humphrey1,926	49.4%Nixon2,290	9.0%	R+7.9	R+26.5	R+7.2	4,632
1964	D	59.2%Johnson3,032	40.5%Goldwater2,077	0.3%	D+18.6	D+8.0	R+3.9	5,125
1960	D	55.2%Kennedy2,953	44.7%Nixon2,387	0.1%	D+10.6	D+7.4	D+10.4	5,346
1956	D	51.6%Stevenson2,511	48.4%Eisenhower2,357	0.0%	D+3.2	D+10.3	D+18.6	4,868
1952	R	46.1%Stevenson2,130	53.3%Eisenhower2,462	0.6%	R+7.2	R+35.4	D+3.6	4,621
1948	D	61.7%Truman2,535	33.5%Dewey1,375	4.9%	D+28.2	D+4.4	D+23.7	4,110
1944	D	61.3%Roosevelt2,196	37.4%Dewey1,341	1.3%	D+23.9	R+12.9	D+16.4	3,582
1940	D	67.7%Roosevelt3,493	30.9%Willkie1,597	1.4%	D+36.7	R+32.2	D+26.8	5,162
1936	D	83.1%Roosevelt5,862	14.1%Landon996	2.8%	D+69.0	D+38.2	D+44.7	7,057
1932	D	61.1%Roosevelt2,499	30.4%Hoover1,242	8.6%	D+30.7	D+59.1	D+12.9	4,092
1928	R	35.5%Smith1,294	63.9%Hoover2,330	0.7%	R+28.4	D+6.4	R+10.9	3,649
1924	R	16.3%Davis497	51.1%Coolidge1,555	32.4%La Follette986	R+34.8	D+1.3	R+9.6	3,043
1920	R	26.9%Cox895	62.9%Harding2,096	10.3%	R+36.0	R+64.8	R+9.8	3,333
1916	D	61.1%Wilson2,102	32.3%Hughes1,111	6.7%	D+28.8	D+27.7	D+25.6	3,442
1912	O	26.9%Wilson696	25.8%Taft668	47.2%	Roosevelt +20.3	D+24.9	R+18.5	2,585
1908	R	35.3%Bryan503	59.1%Taft843	5.6%	R+23.8	D+13.3	R+14.3	1,426
1904	R	30.6%Parker335	67.7%Roosevelt742	1.7%	R+37.1	R+15.6	R+17.5	1,096
1900	R	39.0%Bryan234	60.5%McKinley363	0.5%	R+21.5	R+29.2	R+14.0	600
1896	D	53.8%Bryan204	46.2%McKinley175	0.0%	D+7.7	—	D+13.7	379
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 1 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	23.9%951	76.1%3,030	3,981
2020	R	29.3%1,232	70.7%2,966	4,198
2018	R	34.0%1,256	66.0%2,442	3,698

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	31.9%1,307	65.3%2,672	4,093
2020Class II	R	30.7%Steve Bullock1,306	69.3%Steve Daines2,953	4,259
2018Class I	R	39.8%Jon Tester1,545	55.0%Matthew Rosendale2,137	3,882
2014Class II	R	31.7%Amanda Curtis1,055	65.8%Steve Daines2,193	3,333
2012Class I	R	45.0%Jon Tester1,749	46.9%Denny Rehberg1,824	3,888
2008Class II	D	77.4%Max Baucus2,964	22.6%Bob Kelleher864	3,828
2006Class I	R	42.9%Jon Tester1,560	54.7%Conrad Burns1,987	3,635
2002Class II	D	72.4%Max Baucus2,520	24.3%Mike Taylor845	3,482
2000Class I	R	43.6%Brian Schweitzer1,746	54.4%Conrad Burns2,182	4,009
1996Class II	R	47.0%Max Baucus2,021	47.8%Denny Rehberg2,055	4,299
1994Class I	R	32.8%Jack Mudd1,330	67.2%Conrad Burns2,727	4,057
1990Class II	D	69.4%Max Baucus2,696	28.1%Allen C. Kolstad1,093	3,883
1988Class I	R	48.7%John Melcher2,157	51.3%Conrad Burns2,269	4,426
1984Class II	D	58.6%Max Baucus2,630	39.2%Chuck Cozzens1,760	4,488
1982Class I	D	60.8%John Melcher2,761	37.6%Larry Williams1,707	4,538
1978Class II	D	53.8%Max Baucus2,317	46.2%Larry Williams1,993	4,310
1976Class I	D	64.0%John Melcher3,099	36.0%Stanley C. Burger1,746	4,845
1972Class II	D	57.3%Lee Metcalf2,956	42.7%Henry S. Hibbard2,202	5,158
1970Class I	D	66.8%Mike Mansfield2,784	33.2%Harold E. Wallace1,382	4,166
1966Class II	D	55.6%Lee Metcalf2,629	44.4%Tim Babcock2,097	4,726
1964Class I	D	69.6%Mike Mansfield3,520	30.4%Alex Blewett1,537	5,057
1960Class II	D	60.0%Lee Metcalf3,138	40.0%Orvin B. Fjare2,093	5,231
1958Class I	D	81.8%Mike Mansfield3,249	18.2%Lou W. Welch725	3,974
1954Class II	D	58.2%James E. Murray2,530	41.8%Wesley A. D'Ewart1,820	4,350
1952Class I	D	54.0%Mike Mansfield2,460	45.4%Zales N. Ecton2,068	4,554
1948Class II	D	65.9%James E. Murray2,669	33.3%Tom J. Davis1,349	4,052
1946Class I	R	46.8%Leif Erickson1,664	52.3%Zales N. Ecton1,859	3,554
1942Class II	D	59.0%James E. Murray2,004	38.0%Wellington Rankin1,291	3,398
1940Class I	D	85.0%Burton K. Wheeler4,339	15.0%E.K. Cheadle765	5,104
1936Class II	D	71.0%James E. Murray4,801	16.4%T.O. Larson1,107	6,760
1934Class I	D	83.3%Burton K. Wheeler3,814	15.8%George Bourquin723	4,576
1930Class II	D	71.3%Thomas J. Walsh2,452	27.4%Albert J. Galen941	3,437
1928Class I	R	46.4%Burton K. Wheeler1,711	53.6%Joseph M. Dixon1,974	3,685
1924Class II	R	40.3%Thomas J. Walsh1,199	52.3%Frank B. Linderman1,555	2,973
1922Class I	R	48.6%Burton K. Wheeler1,512	50.6%Carl Riddick1,572	3,109
1918Class II	D	29.5%Thomas J. Walsh664	29.1%Oscar M. Lanstrum657	2,254
1916Class I	D	58.7%Henry L. Myers1,864	34.2%Charles N. Pray1,084	3,173
1912Class II	R	26.3%Thomas J. Walsh613	27.5%Henry C. Smith641	2,334

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1934Special · Class II	D	66.1%James E. Murray2,889	32.8%Scott Leavitt1,433	4,368

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	23.6%Ryan Busse961	73.8%Greg Gianforte3,009	4,077
2020	R	27.8%Mike Cooney And Casey Schreiner1,182	68.2%Greg Gianyes2,899	4,248
2016	R	37.1%Steve Bullock1,465	59.3%Greg Gianforte2,343	3,952
2012	R	44.3%Steve Bullock1,708	51.3%Rick Hill1,979	3,856
2008	D	66.4%Brian Schweitzer2,590	31.9%Roy Brown1,243	3,899
2004	D	55.6%Brian Schweitzer2,215	40.7%Bob Brown1,621	3,986
2000	R	44.0%Mark O'Keefe1,750	53.8%Judy Martz2,137	3,973
1996	R	21.7%Judy Jacobson923	78.3%Marc Racicot3,326	4,249
1992	R	47.5%Dorothy Bradley2,057	52.5%Marc Racicot2,278	4,335
1988	D	48.7%Thomas Lee Judge2,263	47.9%Stan Stephens2,225	4,643
1984	D	72.9%Ted Schwinden3,554	24.6%Pat M. Goodover1,198	4,873
1980	D	59.6%Ted Schwinden2,988	40.4%Jack Ramirez2,023	5,011
1976	D	59.4%Thomas Lee Judge2,842	38.7%Bob Woodahl1,851	4,788

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Valley County, MT
Year	Total registered
2016	4,845
2018	4,891
2020	5,117
2022	4,912
2024	5,185

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+33 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −115 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $43,736 in average income, against $73,041 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Yellowstone County, MT30

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Valley County, MT in Valley County, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+88
2012	+48
2013	+112
2014	+7
2015	−16
2016	−101
2017	−132
2018	−26
2019	−40
2021	+25
2022	−22
2023	−74
2024	−17
2025	+33

Valley County's sparse Hi-Line ranching economy anchors one of Montana's most Republican-leaning electorates, with the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 50 points in a county of fewer than 8,000 residents.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 51.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.1 points.

A population of 7,519, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,695 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bottineau County and Roseau County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Bottineau County

North Dakota

84.0twin score

Norwegian ancestry12-yr trend2000–2020 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Roseau County

Minnesota

82.3twin score

12-yr trendNorwegian ancestry2000–2016 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Turner County

South Dakota

80.1twin score

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Valley County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Cities & towns in Valley County

Glasgow

R+52

3.2K residents

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Valley County, Montana vote in 2024?

In 2024, Valley County, Montana voted Republican by 51.1 points (R+51.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,079 votes cast, 935 went Democratic and 3,019 went Republican.

When did Valley County, Montana last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Valley County, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Valley County, Montana?

Valley County, Montana has a population of 7,519 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Valley County, Montana?

Median household income in Valley County, Montana is $71,695 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Valley County, Montana?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Valley County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.

Measure

Valley County

Montana

United States

Median age

44.3

40.8

39.1

Age 18–24

6.3%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

24.5%

20.0%

17.2%

Measure

Valley County

Montana

United States

Median household income

$71,695

$72,509

$84,427

Poverty rate

10.1%

11.5%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

25.7%

35.3%

35.6%

Measure

Valley County

Montana

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

1.8%

4.2%

22.3%

Measure

Valley County

Montana

United States

Catholic

6.4%

10.3%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

6.6%

13.6%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

71.8%

65.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

11.2%

4.7%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+51.1MIT Election Lab

Population

7,5192024 5-year

Median household income

$71,6952024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

84.2%2024 5-year

Black

0.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.6%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+69.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+51.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Bottineau County, ND · twin score 84.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

4,029

5,808

69.4%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

3,928

5,830

67.4%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

4,327

5,731

75.5%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

3,278

5,814

56.4%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

4,148

5,798

71.5%

A/A

Valley County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -PCT 34PCT 34

567

1,853

2,497

22.7%

74.2%

R+51.5

Precinct -PCT 33PCT 33

109

581

711

15.3%

81.7%

R+66.4

Precinct -PCT 31PCT 31

221

435

680

32.5%

64.0%

R+31.5

Precinct -PCT 32PCT 32

150

191

19.9%

78.5%

R+58.6

Presidential margin, 1896–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1896	+7.7%
1900	−21.5%
1904	−37.1%
1908	−23.8%
1912	+1.1%
1916	+28.8%
1920	−36.0%
1924	−34.8%
1928	−28.4%
1932	+30.7%
1936	+69.0%
1940	+36.7%
1944	+23.9%
1948	+28.2%
1952	−7.2%
1956	+3.2%
1960	+10.6%
1964	+18.6%
1968	−7.9%
1972	−23.1%
1976	−3.4%
1980	−32.3%
1984	−25.2%
1988	−6.5%
1992	+4.8%
1996	−3.9%
2000	−31.0%
2004	−26.0%
2008	−12.2%
2012	−24.7%
2016	−46.5%
2020	−49.4%
2024	−51.1%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

22.9%Harris935

74.0%Trump3,019

2.2%Kennedy89 +2

R+51.1

R+1.7

R+49.6

4,079

All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican74.0%3,019
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.9%935
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent2.2%89
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%19
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%17

2020

24.2%Biden1,030

73.6%Trump3,135

2.3%Jorgensen96

R+49.4

R+2.9

R+53.9

4,261

2016

22.8%Clinton886

69.3%Trump2,698

6.0%Johnson234

R+46.5

R+21.9

R+48.6

3,894

2012

35.9%Obama1,385

60.6%Romney2,337

3.6%GRAY137

R+24.7

R+12.5

R+28.5

3,859

2008

42.1%Obama1,645

54.2%McCain2,121

3.7%

R+12.2

D+13.8

R+19.4

3,911

2004

35.6%Kerry1,431

61.6%Bush2,476

2.8%

R+26.0

D+5.0

R+23.6

4,018

2000

32.1%Gore1,273

63.1%Bush2,500

2.6%Nader103

R+31.0

R+27.1

R+31.5

3,963

1996

39.8%Clinton1,674

43.7%Dole1,838

15.3%Perot645

R+3.9

R+8.7

R+12.4

4,207

1992

37.5%Clinton1,715

32.8%Bush1,497

28.9%Perot1,320

D+4.8

D+11.2

R+0.8

4,568

1988

46.0%Dukakis2,163

52.4%Bush2,467

1.6%

R+6.5

D+18.8

D+1.3

4,706

1984

36.6%Mondale1,849

61.9%Reagan3,123

1.5%

R+25.2

D+7.0

R+7.0

5,046

1980

30.2%Carter1,567

62.5%Reagan3,242

7.3%

R+32.3

R+28.9

R+22.5

5,190

1976

47.4%Carter2,352

50.8%Ford2,520

1.8%

R+3.4

D+19.7

R+5.5

4,959

1972

36.9%McGovern1,973

60.0%Nixon3,210

3.1%

R+23.1

R+15.3

±0.0

5,348

1968

41.6%Humphrey1,926

49.4%Nixon2,290

9.0%

R+7.9

R+26.5

R+7.2

4,632

1964

59.2%Johnson3,032

40.5%Goldwater2,077

0.3%

D+18.6

D+8.0

R+3.9

5,125

1960

55.2%Kennedy2,953

44.7%Nixon2,387

0.1%

D+10.6

D+7.4

D+10.4

5,346

1956

51.6%Stevenson2,511

48.4%Eisenhower2,357

0.0%

D+3.2

D+10.3

D+18.6

4,868

1952

46.1%Stevenson2,130

53.3%Eisenhower2,462

0.6%

R+7.2

R+35.4

D+3.6

4,621

1948

61.7%Truman2,535

33.5%Dewey1,375

4.9%

D+28.2

D+4.4

D+23.7

4,110

1944

61.3%Roosevelt2,196

37.4%Dewey1,341

1.3%

D+23.9

R+12.9

D+16.4

3,582

1940

67.7%Roosevelt3,493

30.9%Willkie1,597

1.4%

D+36.7

R+32.2

D+26.8

5,162

1936

83.1%Roosevelt5,862

14.1%Landon996

2.8%

D+69.0

D+38.2

D+44.7

7,057

1932

61.1%Roosevelt2,499

30.4%Hoover1,242

8.6%

D+30.7

D+59.1

D+12.9

4,092

1928

35.5%Smith1,294

63.9%Hoover2,330

0.7%

R+28.4

D+6.4

R+10.9

3,649

1924

16.3%Davis497

51.1%Coolidge1,555

32.4%La Follette986

R+34.8

D+1.3

R+9.6

3,043

1920

26.9%Cox895

62.9%Harding2,096

10.3%

R+36.0

R+64.8

R+9.8

3,333

1916

61.1%Wilson2,102

32.3%Hughes1,111

6.7%

D+28.8

D+27.7

D+25.6

3,442

1912

26.9%Wilson696

25.8%Taft668

47.2%

Roosevelt +20.3

D+24.9

R+18.5

2,585

1908

35.3%Bryan503

59.1%Taft843

5.6%

R+23.8

D+13.3

R+14.3

1,426

1904

30.6%Parker335

67.7%Roosevelt742

1.7%

R+37.1

R+15.6

R+17.5

1,096

1900

39.0%Bryan234

60.5%McKinley363

0.5%

R+21.5

R+29.2

R+14.0

600

1896

53.8%Bryan204

46.2%McKinley175

0.0%

D+7.7

—

D+13.7

379

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

23.9%951

76.1%3,030

3,981

2020

29.3%1,232

70.7%2,966

4,198

2018

34.0%1,256

66.0%2,442

3,698

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

31.9%1,307

65.3%2,672

4,093

2020Class II

30.7%Steve Bullock1,306

69.3%Steve Daines2,953

4,259

2018Class I

39.8%Jon Tester1,545

55.0%Matthew Rosendale2,137

3,882

2014Class II

31.7%Amanda Curtis1,055

65.8%Steve Daines2,193

3,333

2012Class I

45.0%Jon Tester1,749

46.9%Denny Rehberg1,824

3,888

2008Class II

77.4%Max Baucus2,964

22.6%Bob Kelleher864

3,828

2006Class I

42.9%Jon Tester1,560

54.7%Conrad Burns1,987

3,635

2002Class II

72.4%Max Baucus2,520

24.3%Mike Taylor845

3,482

2000Class I

43.6%Brian Schweitzer1,746

54.4%Conrad Burns2,182

4,009

1996Class II

47.0%Max Baucus2,021

47.8%Denny Rehberg2,055

4,299

1994Class I

32.8%Jack Mudd1,330

67.2%Conrad Burns2,727

4,057

1990Class II

69.4%Max Baucus2,696

28.1%Allen C. Kolstad1,093

3,883

1988Class I

48.7%John Melcher2,157

51.3%Conrad Burns2,269

4,426

1984Class II

58.6%Max Baucus2,630

39.2%Chuck Cozzens1,760

4,488

1982Class I

60.8%John Melcher2,761

37.6%Larry Williams1,707

4,538

1978Class II

53.8%Max Baucus2,317

46.2%Larry Williams1,993

4,310

1976Class I

64.0%John Melcher3,099

36.0%Stanley C. Burger1,746

4,845

1972Class II

57.3%Lee Metcalf2,956

42.7%Henry S. Hibbard2,202

5,158

1970Class I

66.8%Mike Mansfield2,784

33.2%Harold E. Wallace1,382

4,166

1966Class II

55.6%Lee Metcalf2,629

44.4%Tim Babcock2,097

4,726

1964Class I

69.6%Mike Mansfield3,520

30.4%Alex Blewett1,537

5,057

1960Class II

60.0%Lee Metcalf3,138

40.0%Orvin B. Fjare2,093

5,231

1958Class I

81.8%Mike Mansfield3,249

18.2%Lou W. Welch725

3,974

1954Class II

58.2%James E. Murray2,530

41.8%Wesley A. D'Ewart1,820

4,350

1952Class I

54.0%Mike Mansfield2,460

45.4%Zales N. Ecton2,068

4,554

1948Class II

65.9%James E. Murray2,669

33.3%Tom J. Davis1,349

4,052

1946Class I

46.8%Leif Erickson1,664

52.3%Zales N. Ecton1,859

3,554

1942Class II

59.0%James E. Murray2,004

38.0%Wellington Rankin1,291

3,398

1940Class I

85.0%Burton K. Wheeler4,339

15.0%E.K. Cheadle765

5,104

1936Class II

71.0%James E. Murray4,801

16.4%T.O. Larson1,107

6,760

1934Class I

83.3%Burton K. Wheeler3,814

15.8%George Bourquin723

4,576

1930Class II

71.3%Thomas J. Walsh2,452

27.4%Albert J. Galen941

3,437

1928Class I

46.4%Burton K. Wheeler1,711

53.6%Joseph M. Dixon1,974

3,685

1924Class II

40.3%Thomas J. Walsh1,199

52.3%Frank B. Linderman1,555

2,973

1922Class I

48.6%Burton K. Wheeler1,512

50.6%Carl Riddick1,572

3,109

1918Class II

29.5%Thomas J. Walsh664

29.1%Oscar M. Lanstrum657

2,254

1916Class I

58.7%Henry L. Myers1,864

34.2%Charles N. Pray1,084

3,173

1912Class II

26.3%Thomas J. Walsh613

27.5%Henry C. Smith641

2,334

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1934Special · Class II

66.1%James E. Murray2,889

32.8%Scott Leavitt1,433

4,368

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

23.6%Ryan Busse961

73.8%Greg Gianforte3,009

4,077

2020

27.8%Mike Cooney And Casey Schreiner1,182

68.2%Greg Gianyes2,899

4,248

2016

37.1%Steve Bullock1,465

59.3%Greg Gianforte2,343

3,952

2012

44.3%Steve Bullock1,708

51.3%Rick Hill1,979

3,856

2008

66.4%Brian Schweitzer2,590

31.9%Roy Brown1,243

3,899

2004

55.6%Brian Schweitzer2,215

40.7%Bob Brown1,621

3,986

2000

44.0%Mark O'Keefe1,750

53.8%Judy Martz2,137

3,973

1996

21.7%Judy Jacobson923

78.3%Marc Racicot3,326

4,249

1992

47.5%Dorothy Bradley2,057

52.5%Marc Racicot2,278

4,335

1988

48.7%Thomas Lee Judge2,263

47.9%Stan Stephens2,225

4,643

1984

72.9%Ted Schwinden3,554

24.6%Pat M. Goodover1,198

4,873

1980

59.6%Ted Schwinden2,988

40.4%Jack Ramirez2,023

5,011

1976

59.4%Thomas Lee Judge2,842

38.7%Bob Woodahl1,851

4,788

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Valley County, MT
Year	Total registered
2016	4,845
2018	4,891
2020	5,117
2022	4,912
2024	5,185

How did Valley County, Montana vote in 2024?

In 2024, Valley County, Montana voted Republican by 51.1 points (R+51.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,079 votes cast, 935 went Democratic and 3,019 went Republican.

When did Valley County, Montana last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Valley County, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Valley County, Montana?

Valley County, Montana has a population of 7,519 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Valley County, Montana?

Median household income in Valley County, Montana is $71,695 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Valley County, Montana?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Valley County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.