akashic
1876–2024
Valley County, Montana
Valley County·Montana

Valley County is a Western swing county.

One of Montana's most lopsided presidential counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Valley County, Montana · J.B. Chandler · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+51
in 2024
Archetype
Western maverick
since the recent cycles
Population
7,519
2024 ACS
Most similar
Florence County
WI · similarity 1.00
4 precincts · 4,079 votes cast
Trump · R+51
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−51.1%
9353,0194,079
2020R
−49.4%
1,0303,1354,261
2016R
−46.5%
8862,6983,894
2012R
−24.7%
1,3852,3373,859
2008R
−12.2%
1,6452,1213,911
2004R
−26.0%
1,4312,4764,018
2000R
−31.0%
1,2732,5003,963
1996R
−3.9%
1,6741,8384,207
1992D
+4.8%
1,7151,4974,568
1988R
−6.5%
2,1632,4674,706
1984R
−25.2%
1,8493,1235,046
1980R
−32.3%
1,5673,2425,190
1976R
−3.4%
2,3522,5204,959
1972R
−23.1%
1,9733,2105,348
1968R
−7.9%
1,9262,2904,632
1964D
+18.6%
3,0322,0775,125
1960D
+10.6%
2,9532,3875,346
1956D
+3.2%
2,5112,3574,868
1952R
−7.2%
2,1302,4624,621
1948D
+28.2%
2,5351,3754,110
1944D
+23.9%
2,1961,3413,582
1940D
+36.7%
3,4931,5975,162
1936D
+69.0%
5,8629967,057
1932D
+30.7%
2,4991,2424,092
1928R
−28.4%
1,2942,3303,649
1924R
−34.8%
4971,5553,043
1920R
−36.0%
8952,0963,333
1916D
+28.8%
2,1021,1113,442
1912D
+1.1%
6966682,585
1908R
−23.8%
5038431,426
1904R
−37.1%
3357421,096
1900R
−21.5%
234363600
1896D
+7.7%
204175379
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
12.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.4%
Other Christian
5.5%
Baptist
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Methodist
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 71.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Valley County's sparse Hi-Line ranching economy anchors one of Montana's most Republican-leaning electorates, with the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 50 points in a county of fewer than 8,000 residents.

The county has voted both ways in living memory. The Democratic margin peaked at sixty-nine points in 1936; the Republican margin peaked at fifty-one points in 2024. The 2024 margin of fifty-one points fits the pattern of swing.

Valley County's demographics — a population of 7,519, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,695 — describe a Western place. The county shares the Western pattern of independence with Florence County and Mason County.